FBC Melgar vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana FBC Melgar - Lanús
Result
0:1
06/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.55
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
03
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
83% (397/476)77% (257/333)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.53
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
187
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
108
Passes
83% (397/476)77% (257/333)
Long passes
54% (32/59)49% (20/41)
Passes in final third
69% (99/143)57% (46/81)
Crosses
17% (4/23)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.19
Throw-ins
3224
Fouls
810
Tackles
61% (11/18)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4954
Clearances
1627
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.530.00
Goals prevented
-0.470.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Canelo A. 🟨,
  • 37', Marcich S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bordacahar C. , Liza P. ,
  • 60', Canelo A. , Bou W. ,
  • 60', Segovia A. , Cabrera B. ,
  • 61', Liza P. 🟨,
  • 63', Arias A. , Bernaola G. ,
  • 64', De Jesus R. 🟨,
  • 71', Ramos E. 🟨,
  • 76', Ramos E. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 78', Losada N. 🟨,
  • 80', Marcelino Moreno , Medina A. ,
  • 80', Salvio E. , Aquino D. ,
  • 84', 0 - 1, Medina A. ,
  • 86', Orzan H. , Lazo M. ,
  • 86', Martinez T. , Vivanco P. ,
  • 90+2', Carrera R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Carrera R. , Ramirez J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


FBC Melgar
34.4%
Draw
32.3%
Lanús
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 31% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 31.2% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • FBC Melgar - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.5)
    2.92
    (3.02)
    2.86
    (2.99)
    6%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Lanús?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: FBC Melgar will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Melgar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Melgar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Lanús were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Lanús - FBC Melgar 3:0
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Latest results of Lanús
    22.04.2025 Vasco da Gama - Lanús 0:0
    19.04.2025 Lanús - Banfield 1:1
    14.04.2025 Godoy Cruz - Lanús 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2