Result
0:1
06/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (397/476) | 77% (257/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (397/476) | 77% (257/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (32/59) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (99/143) | 57% (46/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Canelo A. 🟨,
- 37', Marcich S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bordacahar C. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 60', Canelo A. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 60', Segovia A. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
- 61', Liza P. 🟨,
- 63', Arias A. ↓, Bernaola G. ↑,
- 64', De Jesus R. 🟨,
- 71', Ramos E. 🟨,
- 76', Ramos E. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 78', Losada N. 🟨,
- 80', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 80', Salvio E. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 1, Medina A. ⚽,
- 86', Orzan H. ↓, Lazo M. ↑,
- 86', Martinez T. ↓, Vivanco P. ↑,
- 90+2', Carrera R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Carrera R. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
34.4% | Draw
32.3% | Lanús
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-2%)
FBC Melgar - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.5) |
2.92 ↓
(3.02) |
2.86 ↓
(2.99) |
6%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Lanús?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
FBC Melgar will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Melgar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Melgar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Lanús?
FBC Melgar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against FBC Melgar?
Lanús has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Lanús were as follows:
09.04.2025
Lanús
-
FBC Melgar
3:0
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
