Result
0:1
06/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 1 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | Como TV |
Peru | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611, DSports 1 |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.46 | 0.55 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
83% (397/476) | 77% (257/333) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.46 | 0.55 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 0.53 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 7 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
83% (397/476) | 77% (257/333) |
Long passes |
---|
54% (32/59) | 49% (20/41) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (99/143) | 57% (46/81) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (4/23) | 20% (1/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.64 | 0.19 |
Throw-ins |
---|
32 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
61% (11/18) | 53% (9/17) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.53 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.47 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Canelo A. 🟨,
- 37', Marcich S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bordacahar C. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 60', Canelo A. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 60', Segovia A. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
- 61', Liza P. 🟨,
- 63', Arias A. ↓, Bernaola G. ↑,
- 64', De Jesus R. 🟨,
- 71', Ramos E. 🟨,
- 76', Ramos E. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 78', Losada N. 🟨,
- 80', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 80', Salvio E. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 1, Medina A. ⚽,
- 86', Orzan H. ↓, Lazo M. ↑,
- 86', Martinez T. ↓, Vivanco P. ↑,
- 90+2', Carrera R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Carrera R. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar 34.4% | Draw 32.3% | Lanús 33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-2%)
FBC Melgar - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.72 ↑ (2.5) |
2.92 ↓ (3.02) |
2.86 ↓ (2.99) |
6% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Lanús?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
FBC Melgar will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Melgar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Melgar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Lanús?
FBC Melgar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against FBC Melgar?
Lanús has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Lanús were as follows:
09.04.2025
Lanús
-
FBC Melgar
3:0
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | |
7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal