FBC Melgar vs Lanús: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Sudamericana FBC Melgar - Lanús
Result
0:1
06/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
FBC Melgar - Lanús - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.55
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
03
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
83% (397/476)77% (257/333)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.460.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.53
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
187
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
108
Passes
83% (397/476)77% (257/333)
Long passes
54% (32/59)49% (20/41)
Passes in final third
69% (99/143)57% (46/81)
Crosses
17% (4/23)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.19
Throw-ins
3224
Fouls
810
Tackles
61% (11/18)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4954
Clearances
1627
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.530.00
Goals prevented
-0.470.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Canelo A. 🟨,
  • 37', Marcich S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bordacahar C. , Liza P. ,
  • 60', Canelo A. , Bou W. ,
  • 60', Segovia A. , Cabrera B. ,
  • 61', Liza P. 🟨,
  • 63', Arias A. , Bernaola G. ,
  • 64', De Jesus R. 🟨,
  • 71', Ramos E. 🟨,
  • 76', Ramos E. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 78', Losada N. 🟨,
  • 80', Marcelino Moreno , Medina A. ,
  • 80', Salvio E. , Aquino D. ,
  • 84', 0 - 1, Medina A. ,
  • 86', Orzan H. , Lazo M. ,
  • 86', Martinez T. , Vivanco P. ,
  • 90+2', Carrera R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Carrera R. , Ramirez J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


FBC Melgar
34.4%
Draw
32.3%
Lanús
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 31% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 31.2% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • FBC Melgar - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.5)
    2.92
    (3.02)
    2.86
    (2.99)
    6%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Lanús?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: FBC Melgar will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Melgar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Melgar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Lanús were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Lanús - FBC Melgar 3:0
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Latest results of Lanús
    22.04.2025 Vasco da Gama - Lanús 0:0
    19.04.2025 Lanús - Banfield 1:1
    14.04.2025 Godoy Cruz - Lanús 0:0
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of FBC Melgar - Lanús?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
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    israelIsraelSport 4
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    peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
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