Result
1:1
23/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Paramount+, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (501/593) | 65% (159/246) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (501/593) | 65% (159/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (34/58) | 26% (16/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (123/170) | 57% (44/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 45% (9/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Canobbio A. ⚽, Acosta L. (A),
- 44', Thiago Silva 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Everaldo ↓, Cano G. ↑,
- 46', Hercules ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 48', Segovia A. 🟨,
- 56', Segovia A. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 56', Castillo R. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Aquino D. ⚽, Marcelino Moreno (A),
- 71', Acosta L. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 71', Serna K. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 77', Canobbio A. ↓, Riquelme Felipe ↑,
- 82', Salvio E. ↓, Morgantini N. ↑,
- 82', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
- 90', Rene 🟨,
- 90+2', Perez G. ↓, Munoz E. ↑,
- 90+7', Freytes J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
56.1% | Draw
27.9% | Lanús
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fluminense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Fluminense - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.59) |
3.38 ↓
(3.87) |
5.85 ↓
(6.05) |
6.2%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Lanús will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 59.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fluminense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Lanús may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fluminense is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fluminense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Lanús?
Fluminense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Fluminense?
Lanús has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Lanús were as follows:
16.09.2025
Lanús
-
Fluminense
1:0
Latest results of Fluminense
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 11 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Huracan | |
| 13 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 15 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. De Chile | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | U. De Chile | Lanus | |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | Atletico-MG | |
Final
