Fluminense vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Fluminense - Lanús
Result
1:1
23/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Paramount+, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
malaysiaMalaysiaMola
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainLaLiga+
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.32
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
84% (501/593)65% (159/246)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.371.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.92
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
176
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
429
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
84% (501/593)65% (159/246)
Long passes
59% (34/58)26% (16/61)
Passes in final third
72% (123/170)57% (44/77)
Crosses
55% (16/29)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.750.37
Throw-ins
2410
Fouls
1113
Tackles
57% (12/21)45% (9/20)
Duels won
6750
Clearances
1944
Interceptions
1617
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.921.16
Goals prevented
-0.080.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Canobbio A. , Acosta L. (A),
  • 44', Thiago Silva 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Everaldo , Cano G. ,
  • 46', Hercules , Otavio ,
  • 48', Segovia A. 🟨,
  • 56', Segovia A. , Aquino D. ,
  • 56', Castillo R. , Bou W. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Aquino D. , Marcelino Moreno (A),
  • 71', Acosta L. , John Kennedy ,
  • 71', Serna K. , Keno ,
  • 77', Canobbio A. , Riquelme Felipe ,
  • 82', Salvio E. , Morgantini N. ,
  • 82', Marcelino Moreno , Watson F. N. ,
  • 90', Rene 🟨,
  • 90+2', Perez G. , Munoz E. ,
  • 90+7', Freytes J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fluminense
56.1%
Draw
27.9%
Lanús
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 24.5% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2% 26.7% 14.4%

Fluminense - Lanús Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.59)
3.38
(3.87)
5.85
(6.05)
6.2%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Lanús will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 59.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fluminense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Lanús may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fluminense is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fluminense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Lanús were as follows:
    16.09.2025 Lanús - Fluminense 1:0
    Latest results of Fluminense
    16.09.2025 Lanús - Fluminense 1:0
    13.09.2025 Fluminense - Corinthians 0:1
    10.09.2025 Fluminense - Bahia 2:0
    31.08.2025 Santos - Fluminense 0:0
    Latest results of Lanús
    19.09.2025 Lanús - Platense 2:1
    16.09.2025 Lanús - Fluminense 1:0
    30.08.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Lanús 3:0