Result
2:0
13/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (284/358) | 78% (292/372) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (284/358) | 78% (292/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 51% (28/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (89/125) | 58% (44/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Millan L. 🟨,
- 28', Marcich S. 🟨,
- 43', Losada N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', Montiel S. ↓, Pussetto I. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 0, Abaldo M. ⚽, Malcorra I. (A),
- 63', 2 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽, Millan L. (A),
- 65', Carrera R. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 65', Salvio E. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
- 69', Pussetto I. 🟨,
- 75', Avalos G. 🟨,
- 76', Malcorra I. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
- 76', Millan L. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
- 76', Watson F. N. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
- 76', Marcich S. ↓, De Martis T. ↑,
- 82', Bou W. ↓, Besozzi L. ↑,
- 88', Avalos G. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
- 90+6', Marcone I. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Independiente
45% | Draw
32.5% | Lanús
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Independiente - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.18) |
2.92 ↑
(2.9) |
4.16 ↑
(3.6) |
6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Independiente - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 46.4% – 99%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Independiente (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Independiente: Lomonaco K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Lanús?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Independiente?
Lanús has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Lanús were as follows:
12.10.2025
Independiente
-
Lanús
0:2
06.04.2025
Lanús
-
Independiente
1:1
18.10.2024
Lanús
-
Independiente
0:2
27.05.2023
Independiente
-
Lanús
1:1
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Independiente | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Tigre | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Argentinos Jrs | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Banfield | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
