Lanús vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Lanús - Independiente
Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV, SI Solo Calcio, Sport Italia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
portugalPortugalSport TV7
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDisney+, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.63
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
511
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
76% (229/300)83% (358/433)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.63
xG on target (xGOT)
2.192.29
Total shots
914
Shots on target
511
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
2215
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1424
Passes
76% (229/300)83% (358/433)
Long passes
35% (13/37)48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
64% (51/80)63% (62/99)
Crosses
22% (2/9)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.92
Fouls
2414
Tackles
71% (12/17)44% (7/16)
Duels won
5055
Clearances Total
1620
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
104
xGOT faced
2.292.19
Goals prevented
1.291.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Galdames P. , Gimenez M. (A),
  • 14', Cardozo A. 🟨,
  • 21', Marcelino Moreno 🟨,
  • 39', Paredes F. , Valdez S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Segovia A. , Aquino D. ,
  • 46', Dejesus R. , Izquierdoz C. ,
  • 56', Bou W. , Cabrera B. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Salvio E. (Pen),
  • 61', Medina A. 🟨,
  • 63', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
  • 65', Gimenez M. , Loyola F. ,
  • 65', Hidalgo S. , Avalos G. ,
  • 72', Cardozo A. , Perez G. ,
  • 79', Galdames P. , Cabral L. ,
  • 79', Rodrigo Fernandez , Marcone I. ,
  • 88', Mendez A. , Ramirez J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lanús
41.3%
Draw
30.8%
Independiente
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 31.7% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 32.5% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús's performance.
  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lanús - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.81)
    3.03
    (2.98)
    3.36
    (2.72)
    6.2%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : TyC Sports
  • What is the prediction for Lanús - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 2.
    • Recent matches Lanús is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Independiente is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Independiente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Lanús have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Lanús: Acosta L. (Knee Injury) Aguilar B. (Knee Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Morgantini N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ontivero O. (Muscle Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lanús won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:16 (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Independiente were as follows:
    18.10.2024 Lanús - Independiente 0:2
    27.05.2023 Independiente - Lanús 1:1
    Latest results of Lanús
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1045115:8717
    2Defensa y Justicia1043311:9215
    3Barracas Central943211:9215
    4Tigre104339:7215
    5Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    6Boca Juniors1035213:8514
    7Argentinos Jrs1042412:8414
    8Central Cordoba1035212:9314
    9Banfield104249:13-414
    10Belgrano93339:7212
    11Huracan93335:8-312
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi100371:14-133


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4San Lorenzo104428:6216
    5Lanus95139:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    8Sarmiento Junin93338:10-212
    9Platense924310:13-310
    10San Martin S.J102448:11-310
    11Talleres Cordoba102445:9-410
    12Gimnasia L.P103166:12-610
    13Instituto92435:11-610
    14Godoy Cruz101548:13-58
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)