Lanús vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Lanús - Independiente
Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV, SI Solo Calcio, Sport Italia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
portugalPortugalSport TV7
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDisney+, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.63
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
511
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
76% (229/300)83% (358/433)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.63
xG on target (xGOT)
2.192.29
Total shots
914
Shots on target
511
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
2215
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1424
Passes
76% (229/300)83% (358/433)
Long passes
35% (13/37)48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
64% (51/80)63% (62/99)
Crosses
22% (2/9)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.92
Fouls
2414
Tackles
71% (12/17)44% (7/16)
Duels won
5055
Clearances Total
1620
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
104
xGOT faced
2.292.19
Goals prevented
1.291.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Galdames P. , Gimenez M. (A),
  • 14', Cardozo A. 🟨,
  • 21', Marcelino Moreno 🟨,
  • 39', Paredes F. , Valdez S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Segovia A. , Aquino D. ,
  • 46', Dejesus R. , Izquierdoz C. ,
  • 56', Bou W. , Cabrera B. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Salvio E. (Pen),
  • 61', Medina A. 🟨,
  • 63', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
  • 65', Gimenez M. , Loyola F. ,
  • 65', Hidalgo S. , Avalos G. ,
  • 72', Cardozo A. , Perez G. ,
  • 79', Galdames P. , Cabral L. ,
  • 79', Rodrigo Fernandez , Marcone I. ,
  • 88', Mendez A. , Ramirez J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lanús
41.3%
Draw
30.8%
Independiente
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 31.7% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 32.5% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús's performance.
  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lanús - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.81)
    3.03
    (2.98)
    3.36
    (2.72)
    6.2%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : TyC Sports
  • What is the prediction for Lanús - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 2.
    • Recent matches Lanús is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Independiente is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Independiente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Lanús have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Lanús: Acosta L. (Knee Injury) Aguilar B. (Knee Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Morgantini N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ontivero O. (Muscle Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lanús won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:16 (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Independiente were as follows:
    18.10.2024 Lanús - Independiente 0:2
    27.05.2023 Independiente - Lanús 1:1
    Latest results of Lanús
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia21102:024
    2Banfield21102:114
    3Union de Santa Fe21102:114
    4Ind. Rivadavia21014:223
    5Belgrano21013:123
    6Newells Old Boys21013:303
    7Tigre21013:303
    8Estudiantes L.P21012:203
    9Racing Club21011:103
    10Barracas Central21011:3-23
    11Boca Juniors20201:102
    12Central Cordoba20201:102
    13Argentinos Jrs20111:2-11
    14Aldosivi20110:2-21
    15Huracan20021:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate22007:166
    2Atl. Tucuman21103:214
    3Rosario Central21102:114
    4Velez Sarsfield21102:114
    5San Lorenzo21102:114
    6San Martin S.J21014:403
    7Talleres Cordoba21013:303
    8Dep. Riestra21013:303
    9Lanus31022:203
    10Instituto21011:4-33
    11Godoy Cruz20201:102
    12Sarmiento Junin30212:4-22
    13Independiente20113:4-11
    14Gimnasia L.P20110:1-11
    15Platense20111:3-21

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)