Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV, SI Solo Calcio, Sport Italia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (229/300) | 83% (358/433) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (229/300) | 83% (358/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (13/37) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (51/80) | 63% (62/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.92 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Galdames P. ⚽, Gimenez M. (A),
- 14', Cardozo A. 🟨,
- 21', Marcelino Moreno 🟨,
- 39', Paredes F. ↓, Valdez S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Segovia A. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 46', Dejesus R. ↓, Izquierdoz C. ↑,
- 56', Bou W. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Salvio E. (Pen),
- 61', Medina A. 🟨,
- 63', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
- 65', Gimenez M. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
- 65', Hidalgo S. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
- 72', Cardozo A. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
- 79', Galdames P. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
- 79', Rodrigo Fernandez ↓, Marcone I. ↑,
- 88', Mendez A. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lanús
41.3% | Draw
30.8% | Independiente
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús's performance.Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lanús - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.81) |
3.03 ↑
(2.98) |
3.36 ↑
(2.72) |
6.2%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers) Network on : TyC Sports
What is the prediction for Lanús - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 2.
- Recent matches Lanús is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Independiente is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Independiente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Lanús have a series of guest games.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Lanús: Acosta L.
(Knee Injury)
Aguilar B.
(Knee Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Morgantini N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ontivero O.
(Muscle Injury)
Pena Biafore F.
(Shoulder Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lanús won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:16 (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Independiente?
Lanús has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Lanús?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Independiente were as follows:
18.10.2024
Lanús
-
Independiente
0:2
27.05.2023
Independiente
-
Lanús
1:1
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Huracan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Banfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Argentinos Jrs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Ind. Rivadavia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Tigre | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Belgrano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Lanus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Godoy Cruz | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Instituto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
