Result
1:1
06/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Lanús - Independiente live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (229/300) | 83% (358/433) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (229/300) | 83% (358/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (13/37) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (51/80) | 63% (62/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.92 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Galdames P. ⚽, Gimenez M. (A),
- 14', Cardozo A. 🟨,
- 21', Marcelino Moreno 🟨,
- 39', Paredes F. ↓, Valdez S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Segovia A. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 46', Dejesus R. ↓, Izquierdoz C. ↑,
- 56', Bou W. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Salvio E. (Pen),
- 61', Medina A. 🟨,
- 63', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
- 65', Gimenez M. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
- 65', Hidalgo S. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
- 72', Cardozo A. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
- 79', Galdames P. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
- 79', Rodrigo Fernandez ↓, Marcone I. ↑,
- 88', Mendez A. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lanús
41.3% | Draw
30.8% | Independiente
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús's performance.Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lanús - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.81) |
3.03 ↑
(2.98) |
3.36 ↑
(2.72) |
6.2%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers) Network on : TyC Sports
What is the prediction for Lanús - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 2.
- Recent matches Lanús is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Independiente is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Independiente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Lanús have a series of guest games.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Lanús: Acosta L.
(Knee Injury)
Aguilar B.
(Knee Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Morgantini N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ontivero O.
(Muscle Injury)
Pena Biafore F.
(Shoulder Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lanús won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:16 (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Independiente?
Lanús has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Lanús?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Independiente were as follows:
18.10.2024
Lanús
-
Independiente
0:2
27.05.2023
Independiente
-
Lanús
1:1
Latest results of Independiente
Draw
Apertura - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | Instituto | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | Tigre | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | River Plate | Barracas Central | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Racing Club | Platense | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | Lanus | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Independiente | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | Estudiantes L.P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Huracan | Dep. Riestra | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | San Lorenzo | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | River Plate | Platense | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | Independiente | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | Huracan | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | San Lorenzo | Platense | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Independiente | Huracan | 0 : 1 |
Final
Which TV channels are streaming of Lanús - Independiente?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV, SI Solo Calcio, Sport Italia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
