Result
0:2
12/10/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/448) | 67% (158/237) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/448) | 67% (158/237) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (36/56) | 26% (12/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (128/177) | 46% (26/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (9/36) | 60% (3/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Vera F. 🟨,
- 17', Cardozo A. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Bou W. ⚽,
- 29', Valdez S. 🟨,
- 30', Quinteros G. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vera F. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
- 52', Montiel S. 🟨,
- 53', Carrera R. 🟨,
- 61', Cabral L. ↓, Taborda E. ↑,
- 64', Perez G. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
- 64', Bou W. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 80', Pussetto I. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
- 80', Galdames P. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
- 83', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 83', Montiel S. 🟨,
- 86', Losada N. 🟨,
- 89', 0 - 2, Castillo R. ⚽,
- 90', Salvio E. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- 90', Carrera R. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 90+6', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente
38.8% | Draw
34% | Lanús
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Independiente - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.31) |
2.92 ↓
(3.25) |
3.49 ↑
(3.08) |
0.9%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Independiente - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Lanús will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.
- Independiente has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lanús is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lanús may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Independiente might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Independiente: Freire N.
(Hamstring Injury)
Millan L.
(International duty)
Paredes F.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Lanús: De Jesus R.
(Head Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Ortellado F.
(Knee Injury)
Pena Biafore F.
(Shoulder Injury)
Watson F. N.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Lanús?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Independiente?
Lanús has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Lanús were as follows:
06.04.2025
Lanús
-
Independiente
1:1
18.10.2024
Lanús
-
Independiente
0:2
27.05.2023
Independiente
-
Lanús
1:1
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
