Independiente Medellín vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Independiente Medellín - Lanús
Result
1:2 penalties
25/09/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
chileChileESPN
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainbeIN Sports, LaLiga+
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
venezuelaVenezuelaESPN, Inter
worldWorldDisney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
69%31%
Goal Attempts
169
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
115
Free Kicks
1414
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
01
Throw-ins
1235
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Fouls
1314
Yellow Cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', Fory J. 🟨,
  • 37', Londono D. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Londono D. (Own goal),
  • 45', Acosta L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Londono D. , Chaverra F. ,
  • 46', Alvarado J. , Garcia M. ,
  • 46', Loaiza R. , Pena Biafore F. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Garcia M. , Fory J. (A),
  • 73', Pena Biafore F. 🟨,
  • 74', Dominguez N. , Perez G. ,
  • 83', Martinez Yepez H. E. , Lima P. ,
  • 84', Leon Muniz B. 🟨,
  • 86', Carrera R. , Torres J. ,
  • 90+3', Torijano F. , Aja J. ,
  • 90+4', Marcelino Moreno 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Bou W. (Pen),
  • 1, Chaverra L. (Pen),
  • 2, Izquierdoz C. (Pen),
  • 2, Chaverra F. (Pen),
  • 3, Salvio E. (Pen),
  • 3, Lima P. (Pen),
  • 4, Soler J. C. (Pen),
  • 4, Sandoval L. (Pen),
  • 5, Pena Biafore F. (Pen),
  • 5, Aja J. (Pen),
  • 6, Torres J. (Pen),
  • 6, Fory J. (Pen),
  • 7, Marcelino Moreno (Pen),
  • 7, Mosquera J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
38.3%
Draw
31.5%
Lanús
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 30.1% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 30% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lanús might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lanús could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Independiente Medellín - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.66)
    2.99
    (3.05)
    3.12
    (2.59)
    6.3%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.
    • Lanús is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Lanús could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Lanús were as follows:
    18.09.2024 Lanús - Independiente Medellín 0:0
    Latest results of Lanús
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2