Lanús vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/09/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús).

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.91
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
81% (387/477)	75% (294/390)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.14	0.16
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
6	6
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
19	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
81% (387/477)	75% (294/390)
Long passes
52% (32/62)	47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
75% (114/151)	63% (69/109)
Crosses
7% (1/15)	35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.98	0.90
Throw-ins
24	27
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
56% (5/9)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
46	45
Clearances
32	18
Interceptions
10	13
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.16	1.14
Goals prevented
0.16	0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Bou W. ⚽, Salvio E. (A),
64', Cardillo M. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
64', Osella A. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
72', Amarfil M. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
72', Fernandez M. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
75', Segovia A. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
75', Bou W. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
80', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
80', Sartori F. ↓, Bergara M. ↑,
86', Castillo R. 🟥,
89', Salvio E. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
90', Medina A. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
90+1', Morgantini N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lanús
46.2%

Draw
31.9%

Independiente Rivadavia
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

30.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

29.4%

20%

Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.89)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	4.34 ↓ (4.58)	4.5% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia?

Users Predictions: Lanús will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Lanús is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Lanús: Carrera R. (Muscle Injury) De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Independiente R: Costa L. (Red Card) Peinipil M. (Injury) Ramis V. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Independiente Rivadavia?

Lanús has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Lanús?

Independiente Rivadavia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:

02.03.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Lanús 1:1

12.05.2024 Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia 0:2

Latest results of Lanús

08.09.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Lanús 1:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Lanús 3:0 ✺

25.08.2025 Lanús - River Plate 1:1 ✺

21.08.2025 Lanús - Central Córdoba 2:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia

05.09.2025 Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia 1:3 ✺

30.08.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors 2:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia 1:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors 0:3 ✺

07.08.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia 2:1 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Clausura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Boca Juniors ✔	15	7	5	3	26:12	14	26
2	Union de Santa Fe ✔	15	6	6	3	20:13	7	24
3	Central Cordoba	15	5	8	2	16:10	6	23
4	Tigre	15	5	7	3	14:11	3	22
5	Barracas Central	15	5	7	3	18:16	2	22
6	Racing Club	15	6	4	5	15:13	2	22
7	Argentinos Jrs	15	6	3	6	16:12	4	21
8	Estudiantes L.P	15	6	3	6	16:16	0	21
9	Banfield	15	6	2	7	14:20	-6	20
10	Belgrano	15	4	7	4	13:11	2	19
11	Defensa y Justicia	15	5	4	6	14:17	-3	19
12	Huracan	15	5	4	6	9:14	-5	19
13	Aldosivi	16	5	3	8	13:18	-5	18
14	Newells Old Boys	15	3	5	7	13:22	-9	14
15	Ind. Rivadavia	15	2	7	6	12:17	-5	13

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rosario Central ✔	16	8	7	1	18:8	10	31
2	Lanus ✔	16	9	3	4	20:13	7	30
3	Dep. Riestra ✔	16	8	4	4	19:12	7	28
4	Velez Sarsfield ✔	15	7	4	4	19:12	7	25
5	San Lorenzo ✔	16	6	6	4	13:11	2	24
6	River Plate	15	6	3	6	20:15	5	21
7	Talleres Cordoba	15	5	5	5	9:12	-3	20
8	Sarmiento Junin	16	5	5	6	13:17	-4	20
9	San Martin S.J	16	4	7	5	13:16	-3	19
10	Gimnasia L.P	15	6	1	8	11:16	-5	19
11	Independiente	16	4	6	6	14:13	1	18
12	Atl. Tucuman	16	5	3	8	17:22	-5	18
13	Instituto	15	3	6	6	9:17	-8	15
14	Godoy Cruz	16	1	9	6	11:19	-8	12
15	Platense	15	2	6	7	12:22	-10	12

Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Union de Santa Fe is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dep. Riestra is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)