Lanús vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/09/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús).

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.91
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
81% (387/477)	75% (294/390)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.14	0.16
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
6	6
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
19	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
81% (387/477)	75% (294/390)
Long passes
52% (32/62)	47% (27/58)
Passes in final third
75% (114/151)	63% (69/109)
Crosses
7% (1/15)	35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.98	0.90
Throw-ins
24	27
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
56% (5/9)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
46	45
Clearances
32	18
Interceptions
10	13
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.16	1.14
Goals prevented
0.16	0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Bou W. ⚽, Salvio E. (A),
64', Cardillo M. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
64', Osella A. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
72', Amarfil M. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
72', Fernandez M. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
75', Segovia A. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
75', Bou W. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
80', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
80', Sartori F. ↓, Bergara M. ↑,
86', Castillo R. 🟥,
89', Salvio E. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
90', Medina A. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
90+1', Morgantini N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lanús
46.2%

Draw
31.9%

Independiente Rivadavia
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

30.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

29.4%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.89)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	4.34 ↓ (4.58)	4.5% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lanús will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Lanús is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Lanús: Carrera R. (Muscle Injury) De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Independiente R: Costa L. (Red Card) Peinipil M. (Injury) Ramis V. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Independiente Rivadavia?

Lanús has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Lanús?

Independiente Rivadavia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:

02.03.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Lanús 1:1

12.05.2024 Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia 0:2

Latest results of Lanús

08.09.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Lanús 1:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Lanús 3:0 ✺

25.08.2025 Lanús - River Plate 1:1 ✺

21.08.2025 Lanús - Central Córdoba 2:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia

05.09.2025 Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia 1:3 ✺

30.08.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors 2:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia 1:1 ✺

17.08.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors 0:3 ✺

07.08.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia 2:1 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Apertura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Velez Sarsfield	11	6	4	1	12:6	6	22
2	Defensa y Justicia	11	4	7	0	15:8	7	19
3	Lanus	10	5	3	2	16:12	4	18
4	Estudiantes L.P	10	5	3	2	9:5	4	18
5	Talleres Cordoba	11	5	3	3	12:10	2	18
6	Boca Juniors	11	4	5	2	13:7	6	17
7	Union de Santa Fe	11	4	4	3	16:12	4	16
8	Independiente	11	3	5	3	17:15	2	14
9	Platense	11	3	5	3	6:7	-1	14
10	San Lorenzo	10	3	4	3	10:11	-1	13
11	Central Cordoba	10	3	3	4	5:7	-2	12
12	Instituto	11	3	2	6	11:15	-4	11
13	Gimnasia Mendoza	11	2	3	6	6:13	-7	9
14	Dep. Riestra	10	0	6	4	2:6	-4	6
15	Newells Old Boys	11	1	3	7	7:22	-15	6

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	11	7	2	2	18:12	6	23
2	River Plate	11	6	2	3	14:9	5	20
3	Belgrano	11	5	4	2	12:9	3	19
4	Racing Club	11	5	3	3	15:10	5	18
5	Rosario Central	11	5	3	3	12:9	3	18
6	Tigre	11	4	5	2	16:10	6	17
7	Barracas Central	10	4	3	3	10:9	1	15
8	Argentinos Jrs	9	3	5	1	6:4	2	14
9	Gimnasia L.P	11	4	2	5	13:15	-2	14
10	Huracan	10	3	4	3	9:9	0	13
11	Banfield	11	4	1	6	12:13	-1	13
12	Sarmiento Junin	11	4	1	6	8:11	-3	13
13	Atl. Tucuman	11	2	3	6	12:16	-4	9
14	Aldosivi	10	0	5	5	3:11	-8	5
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	11	1	1	9	3:17	-14	4

Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)