Independiente Rivadavia vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente Rivadavia - Lanús
Result
1:1
02/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.972.22
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
617
Shots on Goal
24
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
17
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
47
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
106
Offsides
30
Fouls
610
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
2220
Touches in the Opposition Box
736
Passes
75% (221/294)84% (348/414)
Passes in the final third
63% (61/97)74% (117/159)
Crosses
0% (0/12)29% (8/28)
Tackles
57% (8/14)63% (10/16)
Clearances Total
1923
Interceptions
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Carrera R. 🟨,
  • 25', Tonetto D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tonetto D. , Sequeira L. ,
  • 46', 1 - 0, Retamar K. ,
  • 60', Carrera R. , Ramirez J. ,
  • 64', Retamar K. , Amato F. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Bou W. (Pen),
  • 72', Perez G. , Mendez A. ,
  • 73', Salvio E. , Canelo A. ,
  • 77', Sartori F. , Ramis V. ,
  • 77', Amarfil M. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 77', Cardillo M. , Costa L. ,
  • 79', Medina A. , Orozco F. ,
  • 80', Aquino D. , Gerez M. ,
  • 90', Sequeira L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
33.2%
Draw
32%
Lanús
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 31.7% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 32.8% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Rivadavia's form might have worsened.
  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanús, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Rivadavia - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.46)
    2.96
    (2.98)
    2.73
    (3.17)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : TyC Sports
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Lanús will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Independiente R could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Abecasis L. (Inactive) Peinipil M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Cardozo A. (Red Card) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Morgantini N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Inactive) Segovia A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lanús: Aguilar B. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente R won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Lanús were as follows:
    12.05.2024 Lanús - Independiente Rivadavia 0:2
    Latest results of Lanús
    21.02.2025 Lanús - Vélez Sársfield 0:0
    16.02.2025 River Plate - Lanús 1:0
    13.02.2025 Lanús - Gimnasia La Plata 0:0
    05.02.2025 Lanús - General Lamadrid 4:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central63219:7211
    2Huracan63125:6-110
    3Boca Juniors62317:349
    4Union de Santa Fe62317:349
    5Defensa y Justicia62316:429
    6Estudiantes L.P53027:619
    7Belgrano52215:238
    8Argentinos Jrs62226:428
    9Tigre62226:608
    10Central Cordoba51405:417
    11Banfield62137:10-37
    12Newells Old Boys61325:6-16
    13Ind. Rivadavia61236:8-25
    14Racing Club61144:9-54
    15Aldosivi50321:5-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate532011:3811
    2San Lorenzo63215:3211
    3Rosario Central62404:2210
    4Atl. Tucuman62318:539
    5Lanus53025:329
    6Velez Sarsfield52214:318
    7San Martin S.J62225:508
    8Dep. Riestra52125:507
    9Gimnasia L.P62134:5-17
    10Sarmiento Junin51315:6-16
    11Platense51314:5-16
    12Talleres Cordoba61233:7-45
    13Instituto61232:10-85
    14Godoy Cruz50324:7-33
    15Independiente50234:7-32

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)