Lanús vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/08/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 6
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.42
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
73% (317/435)78% (383/488)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.231.59
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2517
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
129
Passes
73% (317/435)78% (383/488)
Long passes
49% (34/70)32% (15/47)
Passes in final third
64% (79/123)59% (48/82)
Crosses
25% (5/20)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.07
Throw-ins
2519
Fouls
1212
Tackles
75% (9/12)77% (17/22)
Duels won
6152
Clearances
2745
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.591.23
Goals prevented
0.590.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Miguel Borja , Salas M. ,
  • 46', Meza J. , Quintero J. ,
  • 56', Segovia A. , Watson F. N. ,
  • 63', Boselli S. , Montiel G. ,
  • 63', Colidio F. , Driussi S. ,
  • 66', Medina A. 🟨,
  • 74', Perez G. , Mendez A. ,
  • 75', Salvio E. , Aquino D. ,
  • 77', 0 - 1, Montiel G. , Giuliano Galoppo (A),
  • 78', Giuliano Galoppo , Costantini G. ,
  • 87', Marcelino Moreno , Bou W. ,
  • 87', Medina A. , Canelo A. ,
  • 90', Salas M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Castillo R. , Bou W. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lanús
30.2%
Draw
32.8%
River Plate
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 31.4% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 32.6% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lanús - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (3.46)
    2.87
    (3.03)
    2.55
    (2.31)
    6.1%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Lanús - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). River Plate will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - River Plate (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lanús: De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Bustos F. (Injury) Meza M. (Knee Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury) Salas M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - River Plate were as follows:
    16.02.2025 River Plate - Lanús 1:0
    21.07.2024 River Plate - Lanús 2:2
    04.03.2023 Lanús - River Plate 0:2
    Latest results of Lanús
    Latest results of River Plate
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    4Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Independiente1346319:16318
    8Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)