Result
1:1
28/03/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV, SI Solo Calcio, Sport Italia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (250/333) | 83% (331/399) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (250/333) | 83% (331/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 59% (22/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (55/93) | 74% (84/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.03 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 41% (7/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Romana J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Cecchini E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Reali M. ↓, Muniain I. ↑,
- 57', Cuello A. ↓, Cerutti E. ↑,
- 60', Ramirez J. ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
- 62', Munoz E. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 0, Muniain I. ⚽,
- 75', Bou W. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 75', Perez G. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
- 75', Salvio E. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 79', Irala E. 🟨,
- 79', Carrera R. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 1, Marcelino Moreno ⚽, Canelo A. (A),
- 84', Herrera E. 🟨,
- 85', Hernandez G. 🟨,
- 89', Marcich S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Romana J. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
- 90+2', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Orozco F. ↑,
- 90+3', Hernandez G. 🟨,
- 90+5', Braida M. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo
34.5% | Draw
33.6% | Lanús
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
San Lorenzo - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.47) |
2.8 ↓
(2.94) |
2.99 ↓
(3.2) |
5.8%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers) Network on : TyC Sports
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- San Lorenzo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F.
(Broken Hand)
Dominguez N.
(Muscle Injury)
Pagano R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lanús: Aguilar B.
(Knee Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Morgantini N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ontivero O.
(Muscle Injury)
Pena Biafore F.
(Shoulder Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 25:34 (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:21 (average 1.7:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Lanús?
San Lorenzo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against San Lorenzo?
Lanús has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Lanús were as follows:
20.05.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Lanús
1:1
27.01.2024
San Lorenzo
-
Lanús
0:2
20.08.2023
Lanús
-
San Lorenzo
0:1
04.02.2023
Lanús
-
San Lorenzo
2:1
24.09.2022
Lanús
-
San Lorenzo
2:0
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
