Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (264/360) | 71% (247/348) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (264/360) | 71% (247/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (16/60) | 30% (19/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (43/86) | 51% (55/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, He J. ⚽, Peng Jiahao (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Mijit M. ⚽, Chen Kerui (A),
- 36', Pan N. 🟨,
- 37', Lu J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Tang Tianyi ↓, Wen Y. ↑,
- 46', Zhong W. ↓, Huang Yikai ↑,
- 53', 1 - 2, Mijit M. ⚽,
- 64', Gu Zhiwei ↓, Xin Hongjun ↑,
- 64', Chen Rijin ↓, Yao H. ↑,
- 65', Pan N. ↓, Li Ming ↑,
- 66', Huang Guangliang 🟨,
- 70', Chen Zitong ↓, Chen Yanxin ↑,
- 70', Liu Yang ↓, Zhong Weihong ↑,
- 73', Pan N. ↓, Zhao C. ↑,
- 80', Liu Y. ↓, Muhtar Ular ↑,
- 90+1', Lu J. ↓, Abdukerim O. ↑,
- 90+1', Chen Kerui ↓, Sun Xu ↑,
- 90+2', Mu Qianyu 🟨,
- 90+4', Tai Jianfeng ↓, Yang Shengming ↑,
- 90+7', Zhou Ziang 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guangdong Mingtu
42.1% | Draw
30.9% | Lanzhou Longyuan
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Lanzhou Longyuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Guangdong Mingtu - Lanzhou Longyuan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.18) |
3.14 ↑
(3.05) |
3.6 ↑
(3) |
3.2%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangdong Mingtu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangdong Mingtu won against Lanzhou Longyuan?
Guangdong Mingtu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanzhou Longyuan won against Guangdong Mingtu?
Lanzhou Longyuan has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guangdong Mingtu - Lanzhou Longyuan were as follows:
22.08.2025
Lanzhou Longyuan
-
Guangdong Mingtu
3:0
Latest results of Guangdong Mingtu
Latest results of Lanzhou Longyuan
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen ✔ | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 61:15 | 46 | 73 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou ✔ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 40:17 | 23 | 61 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:21 | 15 | 55 |
| 4 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 50 |
| 5 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 44:25 | 19 | 48 |
| 6 | Nantong Haimen | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 48:34 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan B | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 41 |
Promotion ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guangxi Hengchen is Confirmed as championsnQualified for League One
Wuxi Wugou is Qualified for League One
