Result
3:0
22/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 23
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (175/307) | 53% (179/339) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (175/307) | 53% (179/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (32/91) | 18% (14/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (61/128) | 37% (41/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 43 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 100% (11/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Muhtar Ular ⚽, Zhou Ziang (A),
- 32', Zhang Junzhe 🟨,
- 45', Pan N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pan N. ↓, Luo H. ↑,
- 46', Tang Tianyi ↓, Liu Ziheng ↑,
- 56', 2 - 0, Lu J. ⚽, Liu Yang (A),
- 61', Yao H. ↓, Chen Rijin ↑,
- 63', Huang Guangliang 🟨,
- 66', Huang Guangliang ↓, Abdusemet E. ↑,
- 69', Muhtar Ular 🟨,
- 69', Muhtar Ular ↓, Liu Y. ↑,
- 74', Zhu X. 🟨,
- 75', 3 - 0, Lin Taijun ⚽,
- 78', Mijit M. ↓, Yang Shengming ↑,
- 79', Zhong Weihong ↓, Wan Likai ↑,
- 79', Lin Taijun ↓, Abdukerim O. ↑,
- 80', Zhu X. ↓, Gu Zhiwei ↑,
- 82', Chen Zitong ↓, Xie Hongyu ↑,
- 88', Zhou Ziang ↓, Chen Yanxin ↑,
Chances of winning
Lanzhou Longyuan
33.7% | Draw
31.2% | Guangdong Mingtu
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanzhou Longyuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lanzhou Longyuan's form might have worsened.Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong Mingtu's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lanzhou Longyuan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong Mingtu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangdong Mingtu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↑
(2.15) |
2.98 ↑
(2.85) |
2.64 ↓
(3.55) |
7.7%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangdong Mingtu?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lanzhou Longyuan will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Guangdong Mingtu will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guangdong Mingtu: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guangdong Mingtu (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Lanzhou Longyuan could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanzhou Longyuan won against Guangdong Mingtu?
Lanzhou Longyuan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangdong Mingtu won against Lanzhou Longyuan?
Guangdong Mingtu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangdong Mingtu were as follows:
Latest results of Lanzhou Longyuan
Latest results of Guangdong Mingtu
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 52:12 | 40 | 63 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 35:14 | 21 | 51 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 30:15 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 42:22 | 20 | 44 |
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 35:28 | 7 | 42 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan B | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Changchun Xidu | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 42:30 | 12 | 38 |
Promotion ~ Jia League
