Guangdong Mingtu vs Lanzhou Longyuan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Yi League Guangdong Mingtu - Lanzhou Longyuan
Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.11
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
73% (264/360)71% (247/348)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.881.17
Total shots
611
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1525
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
91
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
73% (264/360)71% (247/348)
Long passes
27% (16/60)30% (19/64)
Passes in final third
50% (43/86)51% (55/108)
Crosses
38% (5/13)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.93
Throw-ins
3023
Fouls
1013
Tackles
69% (11/16)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4139
Clearances
2421
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.171.88
Goals prevented
-0.830.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, He J. , Peng Jiahao (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Mijit M. , Chen Kerui (A),
  • 36', Pan N. 🟨,
  • 37', Lu J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tang Tianyi , Wen Y. ,
  • 46', Zhong W. , Huang Yikai ,
  • 53', 1 - 2, Mijit M. ,
  • 64', Gu Zhiwei , Xin Hongjun ,
  • 64', Chen Rijin , Yao H. ,
  • 65', Pan N. , Li Ming ,
  • 66', Huang Guangliang 🟨,
  • 70', Chen Zitong , Chen Yanxin ,
  • 70', Liu Yang , Zhong Weihong ,
  • 73', Pan N. , Zhao C. ,
  • 80', Liu Y. , Muhtar Ular ,
  • 90+1', Lu J. , Abdukerim O. ,
  • 90+1', Chen Kerui , Sun Xu ,
  • 90+2', Mu Qianyu 🟨,
  • 90+4', Tai Jianfeng , Yang Shengming ,
  • 90+7', Zhou Ziang 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guangdong Mingtu
42.1%
Draw
30.9%
Lanzhou Longyuan
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 29.3% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 27.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Lanzhou Longyuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Guangdong Mingtu - Lanzhou Longyuan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.18)
    3.14
    (3.05)
    3.6
    (3)
    3.2%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangdong Mingtu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guangdong Mingtu - Lanzhou Longyuan were as follows:
    22.08.2025 Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangdong Mingtu 3:0
    Latest results of Guangdong Mingtu
    Chinese Yi League Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangxi Hengchen ✔ 29234261:154673
    2Wuxi Wugou ✔ 29187440:172361
    3Shenzhen29167636:211555
    4Guizhou Zhucheng29155939:30950
    5Chengdu Rongcheng B29139744:251948
    6Nantong Haimen291210748:341446
    7Shandong Taishan B291112638:271145
    8Changchun Xidu291011822:24-241

          Promotion ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Guangxi Hengchen is Confirmed as championsnQualified for League One
    Wuxi Wugou is Qualified for League One