Auda Riga vs Larne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Skonto stadions (Riga).

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
Referee: Kubryak D. (Ukr)
Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Disney+
Sweden	Disney+
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV

Match Stats


Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
27	12
Shots on target
10	4
Corner Kicks
9	4
Yellow Cards
1	2
Total shots
27	12
Shots on target
10	4
Shots off target
10	5
Blocked Shots
7	3
Corner Kicks
9	4
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
8	12
Throw-ins
33	36
Fouls
12	8
Goalkeeper Saves
2	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Randall M. 🟨,
20', Cosgrove T. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Traore A. ⚽, Rubenis O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kone K. ↓, Monteiro E. ↑,
46', McEneff J. ↓, Sloan D. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, McKendry C. ⚽, Randall M. (A),
53', 2 - 1, Monteiro E. ⚽, Rubenis O. (A),
63', Nolan R. ↓, Ridley M. ↑,
65', Rubenis O. ↓, Ramiro J. ↑,
65', Traore A. ↓, Jackson Kenio ↑,
66', 2 - 2, O'Neill P. ⚽, Sloan D. (A),
76', Monteiro E. 🟨,
78', Randall M. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
78', McKendry C. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
90', Hrvoj T. ↓, Ogunji A. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
102', Ramiro J. ↓, Jeudi S. ↑,
106', Lusty M. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
106', Cosgrove T. ↓, Kee J. ↑,
120', Jackson Kenio ↓, Camara O. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Gallagher C. (Pen),
1, Nguena K. (Pen),
2, O'Neill P. (Pen),
2, Jeudi S. (Pen),
3, Bent D. (Pen),
3, Varslavans R. (Pen),
4, O'Connor T. (Pen),
4, Camara O. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Auda Riga
53.3%

Draw
26.1%

Larne
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.1%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auda Riga's performance.

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auda Riga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Auda Riga - Larne Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.95)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	4.49 ↑ (3.61)	7.9% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Auda Riga - Larne?

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 27 - 73%). Larne will win (votes: 1 - 2.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 24.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auda: 58.7% – 87.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Auda (votes: 6 - 50%). Larne (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Larne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Auda is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Auda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Larne?

Auda Riga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Auda Riga?

Larne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Auda Riga - Larne were as follows:

10.07.2025 Larne - Auda Riga 0:0

Latest results of Auda Riga

10.07.2025 Larne - Auda Riga 0:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Auda Riga - Jelgava 2:0 ✺

01.07.2025 Super Nova - Auda Riga 0:1 ✺

27.06.2025 Auda Riga - Riga 1:3 ✺

22.06.2025 RFS - Auda Riga 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Larne

10.07.2025 Larne - Auda Riga 0:0 ✺

01.07.2025 Larne - Portadown 3:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Stranraer - Larne 0:1 ✺

17.06.2025 Larne - The New Saints 2:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Larne - Glentoran 0:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Dundee Utd	Bye
2	Bye	UNA Strassen
3	Larne	Auda	3 : 2, 0 : 0
4	Bye	Prishtina
5	Kosice	Bye
6	Urartu	Neman	0 : 4, 1 : 2
7	Vaduz	Bye
8	Bye	Dungannon
9	Silkeborg	Bye
10	Bye	KA Akureyri
11	Rosenborg	Bye
12	Bye	Banga
13	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange	3 : 2, 2 : 0
14	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
15	Austria Vienna	Bye
16	Bye	Spaeri
17	FC Ballkani	Bye
18	Floriana	Haverfordwest	3 : 2, 2 : 1
19	Viking	Bye
20	Zeljeznicar	Koper	1 : 3, 1 : 1
21	AEK Athens FC	Bye
22	Bye	H. Beer Sheva
23	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan	0 : 5, 1 : 0
24	Bye	Gyor
25	Riga FC	Bye
26	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori	0 : 1, 1 : 2
27	Rakow	Bye
28	Bye	Zilina
29	Birkirkara	Petrocub	0 : 3, 1 : 0
30	Bye	Sabah Baku
31	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
32	Bye	U. Cluj
33	Varazdin	Bye
34	Bye	Santa Clara
35	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont	1 : 1, 3 : 0
36	Valur	Flora	2 : 1, 3 : 0
37	Paks	Bye
38	Bye	Maribor
39	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils	4 : 2, 0 : 1
40	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik	0 : 8, 0 : 1
41	Hammarby	Bye
42	Bye	Charleroi
43	Radnicki 1923	Bye
44	SJK	Klaksvik	0 : 2, 1 : 2
45	Novi Pazar	Bye
46	Bye	Jagiellonia
47	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
48	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma	2 : 0, 1 : 4
49	La Fiorita	Vardar	2 : 2, 0 : 3
50	Bye	Lausanne
51	HB Torshavn	Bye
52	Bye	Brondby
53	Oleksandriya	Bye
54	Bye	Partizan
55	Hibernians	Bye
56	Bye	Trnava
57	St. Patricks	Hegelmann	2 : 0, 1 : 0
58	Kalju	Partizani	1 : 0, 1 : 1
59	AIK	Bye
60	Magpies	Paide	1 : 4, 2 : 3
61	FK Sarajevo	Bye
62	Bye	Univ. Craiova
63	Aris	Bye
64	Bye	Puskas Academy
65	St Josephs	Cliftonville	3 : 2, 2 : 2
66	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
67	Ilves	Bye
68	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
69	Zira	Bye
70	Bye	Hajduk Split
71	Arda	Bye
72	NSI Runavik	HJK	0 : 5, 4 : 0
73	Aktobe	Bye
74	Bye	Sparta Prague
75	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
76	Bye	FC Astana
77	Decic	Sileks	1 : 2, 2 : 0
78	Bye	SK Rapid
79	Zhodino	Rabotnicki	1 : 0, 3 : 0
80	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
81	Araz	Bye
82	Bye	Aris
83	Omonia	Bye
84	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy	1 : 1, 4 : 3
85	Cherno More	Bye
86	Bye	Basaksehir
87	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest	2 : 0, 1 : 2
88	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem
89	Vikingur	Bye
91	Virtus	Bye
93	Levadia	Bye
94	Bye	Iberia 1999
95	Zalgiris	Bye
96	Bye	Linfield
97	TNS	Bye
98	Bye	Differdange
99	O. Ljubljana	Bye
100	Bye	Inter Escaldes
101	Buducnost	Bye
102	Bye	Milsami
103	Din. Minsk	Bye
104	Bye	Egnatia

Quarter-finals

1	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen
2	Larne	Prishtina
3	Kosice	Neman
4	Vaduz	Dungannon
5	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri
6	Rosenborg	Banga
7	Atletic Escaldes	Dinamo Tirana
8	Austria Vienna	Spaeri
9	FC Ballkani	Floriana
10	Viking	Koper
11	AEK Athens FC	H. Beer Sheva
12	Pyunik Yerevan	Gyor
13	Riga FC	Dila Gori
14	Rakow	Zilina
15	Petrocub	Sabah Baku
16	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj
17	Varazdin	Santa Clara
18	Kauno Zalgiris	Valur
19	Paks	Maribor
20	Vllaznia	Vikingur Reykjavik
21	Hammarby	Charleroi
22	Radnicki 1923	Klaksvik
23	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia
24	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Santa Coloma
25	Vardar	Lausanne
26	HB Torshavn	Brondby
27	Oleksandriya	Partizan
28	Hibernians	Trnava
29	St. Patricks	Kalju
30	AIK	Paide
31	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova
32	Aris	Puskas Academy
33	St Josephs	Shamrock Rovers
34	Ilves	AZ Alkmaar
35	Zira	Hajduk Split
36	Arda	HJK
37	Aktobe	Sparta Prague
38	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana
39	Decic	SK Rapid
40	Zhodino	Maccabi Haifa
41	Araz	Aris
42	Omonia	Torpedo Kutaisi
43	Cherno More	Basaksehir
44	Sutjeska	Beitar Jerusalem
45	Vikingur	Bye
46	Virtus	Bye
47	Levadia	Iberia 1999
48	Zalgiris	Linfield
49	TNS	Differdange
50	O. Ljubljana	Inter Escaldes
51	Buducnost	Milsami
52	Din. Minsk	Egnatia