Auda Riga vs Larne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
16/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Kubryak D. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
swedenSwedenDisney+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSolidsport TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2712
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
2712
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
73
Corner Kicks
94
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
812
Throw-ins
3336
Fouls
128
Goalkeeper Saves
28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Randall M. 🟨,
  • 20', Cosgrove T. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Traore A. , Rubenis O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Kone K. , Monteiro E. ,
  • 46', McEneff J. , Sloan D. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, McKendry C. , Randall M. (A),
  • 53', 2 - 1, Monteiro E. , Rubenis O. (A),
  • 63', Nolan R. , Ridley M. ,
  • 65', Rubenis O. , Ramiro J. ,
  • 65', Traore A. , Jackson Kenio ,
  • 66', 2 - 2, O'Neill P. , Sloan D. (A),
  • 76', Monteiro E. 🟨,
  • 78', Randall M. , Magee B. ,
  • 78', McKendry C. , Lusty M. ,
  • 90', Hrvoj T. , Ogunji A. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 102', Ramiro J. , Jeudi S. ,
  • 106', Lusty M. , O'Connor T. ,
  • 106', Cosgrove T. , Kee J. ,
  • 120', Jackson Kenio , Camara O. ,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Gallagher C. (Pen),
  • 1, Nguena K. (Pen),
  • 2, O'Neill P. (Pen),
  • 2, Jeudi S. (Pen),
  • 3, Bent D. (Pen),
  • 3, Varslavans R. (Pen),
  • 4, O'Connor T. (Pen),
  • 4, Camara O. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Auda Riga
53.3%
Draw
26.1%
Larne
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 27.1% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 27.4% 25.3%

Auda Riga - Larne Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.75
(1.95)
3.52
(3.4)
4.49
(3.61)
7.9%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Auda Riga - Larne?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 27 - 73%). Larne will win (votes: 1 - 2.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 24.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Auda: 58.7%87.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Auda (votes: 6 - 50%). Larne (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Larne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Auda is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Auda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auda Riga - Larne were as follows:
    10.07.2025 Larne - Auda Riga 0:0
    Latest results of Auda Riga
    10.07.2025 Larne - Auda Riga 0:0
    05.07.2025 Auda Riga - Jelgava 2:0
    01.07.2025 Super Nova - Auda Riga 0:1
    27.06.2025 Auda Riga - Riga 1:3
    22.06.2025 RFS - Auda Riga 1:0
    Latest results of Larne
    10.07.2025 Larne - Auda Riga 0:0
    01.07.2025 Larne - Portadown 3:0
    21.06.2025 Stranraer - Larne 0:1
    17.06.2025 Larne - The New Saints 2:2
    26.04.2025 Larne - Glentoran 0:0
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor43109:2710
    2Strasbourg43107:4310
    3Celje43018:449
    4Shakhtar Donetsk43018:539
    5Mainz43014:229
    6Rakow42207:258
    7AEK Larnaca42205:058
    8Drita42204:228
    9Jagiellonia42204:228
    10AEK Athens42119:457
    11Sparta Prague42115:237
    12Rayo Vallecano42118:627
    13Lausanne42115:327
    14Sigma Olomouc42115:507
    15Univ. Craiova42113:307
    16Lech Poznan42029:636
    17Fiorentina42026:336
    18Crystal Palace42026:426
    19Zrinjski42027:8-16
    20AZ Alkmaar42024:7-36
    21Omonia41214:315
    22KuPS41214:315
    23Noah41214:405
    24Rijeka41212:205
    25Shkendija41122:4-24
    26Lincoln Red Imps41124:10-64
    27Dyn. Kyiv41036:7-13
    28Legia41033:5-23
    29Slovan Bratislava41034:7-33
    30Hamrun41033:6-33
    31Hacken40224:6-22
    32Breidablik40222:7-52
    33Aberdeen40223:10-72
    34Shelbourne40130:4-41
    35Shamrock Rovers40133:9-61
    36SK Rapid40042:12-100

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