Larne vs Cliftonville – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Northern Irish League Cup Larne - Cliftonville
Result
0:1 ET
14/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NORTHERN IRELAND: Irish League Cup - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Clarke T. (Nir)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
817
Shots on Goal
67
Shots off Goal
210
Corner Kicks
79
Goalkeeper Saves
66
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Ives L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Cosgrove T. 🟨,
  • 53', Want S. 🟥,
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 64', McEneff J. , Nolan R. ,
  • 64', McKendry C. , Thomson J. ,
  • 66', 🟨,
  • 80', Gormley J. , Corrigan R. ,
  • 81', Wilson H. , Pettifer A. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 100', Curran R. , Ojo D. ,
  • 106', Sloan D. , Magee B. ,
  • 106', Graham S. , Randall M. ,
  • 112', 🟨,
  • 117', 🟨,
  • 118', 0 - 1, Ojo D. ,
  • 119', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Larne
32.2%
Draw
31.1%
Cliftonville
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 27.9% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 26.7% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Larne's form might have worsened.
  • Cliftonville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cliftonville's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Larne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cliftonville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Larne - Cliftonville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.1)
    2.9
    (3.2)
    2.45
    (3)
    11%
    (12.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Larne - Cliftonville?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Larne won 4.
    • Larne is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Cliftonville is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Larne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Larne will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Larne won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 37:17 (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Larne won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25:8 (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Cliftonville were as follows:
    10.01.2025 Larne - Cliftonville 2:0
    01.12.2024 Larne - Cliftonville 1:1
    27.09.2024 Cliftonville - Larne 1:3
    05.07.2024 Larne - Cliftonville 2:1
    13.04.2024 Larne - Cliftonville 8:1
    Latest results of Larne
    10.01.2025 Larne - Cliftonville 2:0
    07.01.2025 Crusaders - Larne 1:3
    04.01.2025 Limavady United - Larne 1:0
    26.12.2024 Larne - Carrick Rangers 0:0
    23.12.2024 Dungannon Swifts - Larne 0:1
    Latest results of Cliftonville
    10.01.2025 Larne - Cliftonville 2:0
    26.12.2024 Crusaders - Cliftonville 2:0
    21.12.2024 Cliftonville - Glentoran 1:2
    14.12.2024 Portadown - Cliftonville 2:0
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/32-finals
    1MoyolaOxford Sunnyside FC3 : 1
    2ByeAnnagh
    3Carrick RangersBye
    4TobermoreQueens Univ.3 : 4
    5BallymacashBanbridge3 : 0
    6ByeInstitute
    7H&W WeldersBye
    8ByeLarne
    9LoughgallBye
    10ByeArmagh
    11NewingtonBye
    12ByeGlenavon
    13Bangor FCBye
    14WarrenpointLisburn Distillery2 : 0
    15LimavadyBye
    16ByeCliftonville
    17RathfrilandCoagh Utd2 : 1
    18ByeBallymena
    19PortadownBye
    20ByeArds
    21DundelaBye
    22ByeLinfield
    23GlentoranBye
    24DergviewKnockbreda2 : 1
    25BallyclareBye
    26ByeCrusaders
    27BallinamallardBye
    28ByeColeraine
    29DungannonBye
    30ByePortstewart
    31DollingstownBye
    32ByeNewry City

    1/16-finals
    1MoyolaAnnagh2 : 4
    2Carrick RangersQueens Univ.0 : 1
    3BallymacashInstitute0 : 1
    4H&W WeldersLarne1 : 2
    5LoughgallArmagh2 : 3
    6NewingtonGlenavon2 : 3
    7Bangor FCWarrenpoint4 : 0
    8LimavadyCliftonville0 : 2
    9RathfrilandBallymena3 : 4
    10PortadownArds0 : 1
    11DundelaLinfield0 : 3
    12GlentoranDergview2 : 0
    13BallyclareCrusaders2 : 3
    14BallinamallardColeraine0 : 4
    15DungannonPortstewart5 : 0
    16DollingstownNewry City5 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1AnnaghQueens Univ.2 : 0
    2InstituteLarne0 : 2
    3ArmaghGlenavon1 : 0
    4Bangor FCCliftonville0 : 1
    5BallymenaArds1 : 0
    6LinfieldGlentoran0 : 1
    7CrusadersColeraine2 : 1
    8DungannonDollingstown3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1AnnaghLarne0 : 5
    2ArmaghCliftonville0 : 3
    3BallymenaGlentoran0 : 2
    4CrusadersDungannon4 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1LarneCliftonville0 : 1
    2GlentoranCrusaders4 : 2

    Final
    1CliftonvilleGlentoran1 : 0