Cliftonville vs Larne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Northern Irish Premiership Cliftonville - Larne
Result
1:1
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 3
  • Referee: McMaster B. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
11
Total shots
104
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
55
Goalkeeper Saves
04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Hale R. 🟨,
  • 20', 🟨,
  • 29', 🟨,
  • 29', 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, O'Connor T. ,
  • 45', Pepper C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Gormley J. ,
  • 58', Randall M. , Magee B. ,
  • 65', Pepper C. , Gordon S. ,
  • 65', Lavery T. , Barr C. ,
  • 69', Lusty M. , Kee J. ,
  • 71', 🟨,
  • 78', Gormley J. , Curran R. ,
  • 78', Falls C. , McWoods E. ,
  • 79', Glynn M. 🟥,
  • 80', Magee B. (Pen),
  • 81', Casey O. 🟨,
  • 86', Fapetu A. , Wilson H. ,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+1', O'Connor T. , Moore K. ,
  • 90+3', Bent D. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Cliftonville
41.3%
Draw
29.8%
Larne
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 29% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 27.9% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cliftonville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Larne than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Cliftonville - Larne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.23)
    3.11
    (3.19)
    3.21
    (3.14)
    7.8%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cliftonville - Larne?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cliftonville will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Larne will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cliftonville won 1.
    • Recent form of Cliftonville has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Larne has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cliftonville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cliftonville will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cliftonville won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:37. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cliftonville won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cliftonville - Larne were as follows:
    14.01.2025 Larne - Cliftonville 0:1
    10.01.2025 Larne - Cliftonville 2:0
    01.12.2024 Larne - Cliftonville 1:1
    27.09.2024 Cliftonville - Larne 1:3
    05.07.2024 Larne - Cliftonville 2:1
    Latest results of Cliftonville
    16.08.2025 Cliftonville - Coleraine 0:0
    10.08.2025 Bangor - Cliftonville 3:1
    17.07.2025 Cliftonville - St Josephs 2:3
    08.07.2025 St Josephs - Cliftonville 2:2
    06.07.2025 Cliftonville - Derry City 2:2
    Latest results of Larne
    15.08.2025 Larne - Crusaders Postponed
    14.08.2025 Santa Clara - Larne 0:0
    10.08.2025 Coleraine - Larne 1:0
    07.08.2025 Larne - Santa Clara 0:3
    31.07.2025 Prishtina - Larne 1:2
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Glentoran44006:0612
    2Coleraine43105:1410
    3Ballymena33008:089
    4Carrick Rangers33007:349
    5Linfield22004:046
    6Larne31115:234
    7Crusaders31026:7-13
    8Portadown41034:8-43
    9Bangor FC41034:9-53
    10Cliftonville40222:5-32
    11Glenavon40041:7-60
    12Dungannon40041:11-100

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