Dungannon Swifts vs Larne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Northern Irish Premiership Dungannon Swifts - Larne
Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 10
  • Referee: Boyce E. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
71
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
104
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Kelly T. ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Dillon K. ,
  • 41', Simpson J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', McEneff J. , McKendry C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Simpson J. , Magee B. ,
  • 65', Gallagher C. , Millar L. ,
  • 78', Randall M. , O'Connor T. ,
  • 78', Lusty M. , Donnelly A. ,
  • 78', Dillon K. , Knowles J. ,
  • 78', Alves L. , Maguire T. ,
  • 88', Bent D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dungannon Swifts
39.8%
Draw
34.7%
Larne
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 27.1% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 26.3% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dungannon Swifts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dungannon Swifts's performance.
  • Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Larne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dungannon Swifts that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+23.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Larne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dungannon Swifts - Larne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (3.62)
    4
    (3.45)
    5.42
    (1.98)
    -27.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Dungannon Swifts - Larne?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Larne (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Larne will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 2.
    • Recent performances by Dungannon have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Larne is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Larne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Larne has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Larne is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:35. (average 0.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dungannon won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 3:19. (average 0.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dungannon Swifts - Larne were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Dungannon Swifts - Larne 1:1
    22.02.2025 Larne - Dungannon Swifts 0:1
    23.12.2024 Dungannon Swifts - Larne 0:1
    06.10.2024 Larne - Dungannon Swifts 0:3
    20.01.2024 Dungannon Swifts - Larne 0:2
    Latest results of Dungannon Swifts
    Latest results of Larne
    27.09.2025 Glentoran - Larne Postponed
    20.09.2025 Larne - Carrick Rangers 2:0
    16.09.2025 Larne - Crusaders 4:0
    13.09.2025 Larne - Glenavon 1:0
    06.09.2025 Bangor - Larne 0:2
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coleraine1181224:81625
    2Glentoran1072115:6923
    3Larne1071218:41422
    4Bangor FC1160517:18-118
    5Linfield851213:4916
    6Ballymena1251615:16-116
    7Portadown1250715:23-815
    8Dungannon1250713:22-915
    9Carrick Rangers1041512:13-113
    10Cliftonville1032512:15-311
    11Crusaders1031614:20-610
    12Glenavon1210114:23-193

          Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
          NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )