Larne vs Glentoran – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 28
  • Referee: Andrews S. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
42
Corner kicks
32
Yellow cards
32
Red cards
01
Total shots
78
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
36
Corner kicks
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', Mills A. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, O'Neill P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 22', Graham S. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Hoban P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kane M. , O'Rourke J. ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Hoban P. ,
  • 62', Thomson J. , Amos D. ,
  • 67', Millar L. , Sloan D. ,
  • 67', O'Neill P. , Doherty R. ,
  • 67', O'Connor T. , Lusty M. ,
  • 67', McEneff J. , Ryan A. ,
  • 75', McEneff A. , Jenkins J. ,
  • 78', Wallace L. , McKendry C. ,
  • 79', Hoban P. 🟥,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Ryan A. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Larne
42.6%
Draw
30%
Glentoran
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 28.7% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 26.9% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Glentoran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Larne - Glentoran Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.15)
    3.07
    (3.21)
    3.36
    (3.22)
    8.5%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Larne - Glentoran?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Larne (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Glentoran (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Larne (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Glentoran (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Larne (votes: 2 - 40%). Glentoran (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 3.
    • Larne has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Glentoran is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Glentoran may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Larne has had a series of away games.
    • Larne might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Larne won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:17. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.4:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Glentoran were as follows:
    13.01.2026 Glentoran - Larne 1:4
    12.12.2025 Larne - Glentoran 1:0
    26.04.2025 Larne - Glentoran 0:0
    18.03.2025 Glentoran - Larne 2:2
    02.11.2024 Glentoran - Larne 0:2
    Latest results of Larne
    07.02.2026 Warrenpoint Town - Larne 0:2
    03.02.2026 Ballymena United - Larne 1:2
    31.01.2026 Crusaders - Larne 2:4
    23.01.2026 Larne - Bangor 2:1
    16.01.2026 Linfield - Larne 0:0
    Latest results of Glentoran
    03.02.2026 Glentoran - Coleraine 2:1
    25.01.2026 Glentoran - Cliftonville Postponed
    17.01.2026 Glenavon - Glentoran 1:2
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Larne ✔ 31207455:213467
    2Coleraine ✔ 31194860:303061
    3Linfield ✔ 31178653:213259
    4Glentoran ✔ 29185654:292559
    5Dungannon311511539:55-1646
    6Cliftonville281171044:42240
    7Carrick Rangers301171246:48-240
    8Portadown291111734:51-1734
    9Bangor FC ✔ 31961637:53-1633
    10Ballymena ✔ 30851734:46-1229
    11Crusaders ✔ 30741938:68-3025
    12Glenavon ✔ 31712330:60-3022

          Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
          NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Glentoran is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Bangor FC is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
    Ballymena is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
    Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
    Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )