Zaragoza vs Las Palmas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 20
  • Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, TV Canaria
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 9
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.84
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
72% (282/394)80% (362/451)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.050.63
Total shots
812
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1725
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
1820
Passes
72% (282/394)80% (362/451)
Long passes
32% (22/69)42% (26/62)
Passes in final third
41% (42/103)71% (82/115)
Crosses
18% (2/11)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.63
Throw-ins
2120
Fouls
2018
Tackles
76% (16/21)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5357
Clearances
627
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.631.05
Goals prevented
-1.370.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Jese , Fuster M. (A),
  • 39', Tachi 🟨,
  • 41', Viera J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Kodro K. ,
  • 61', Pejino , Pedrola E. ,
  • 61', Jese , Lukovic M. ,
  • 66', Sebastian J. , Cuenca M. A. ,
  • 66', Soberon M. , Moya T. ,
  • 69', Radovanovic A. , Saidu Y. ,
  • 72', Viera J. , Garcia A. ,
  • 81', Clemente E. 🟨,
  • 86', Kodro K. , Bakis S. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Pedrola E. , Loiodice E. (A),
  • 89', Fuster M. , Gil I. ,
  • 89', Clemente E. , Gutierrez C. ,
  • 90+2', Moya T. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Tasende D. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mr3byzvc

Chances of winning


Zaragoza
32.3%
Draw
32.4%
Las Palmas
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 32.2% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 32.7% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Zaragoza - Las Palmas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (3.17)
    2.88
    (2.93)
    2.63
    (2.49)
    7%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Zaragoza - Las Palmas?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 21.4%67.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 25%). Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Zaragoza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Zaragoza: Aguirregabiria M. (Injury) Bazdar S. (Inactive) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Insua P. (Yellow Cards) Kosa S. (Injury) Radovanovic A. (Inactive) Sans P. (Inactive) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Las Palmas: Garcia A. (Hamstring Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez K. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
    Latest results of Zaragoza
    21.12.2025 Burgos - Zaragoza 1:1
    13.12.2025 Zaragoza - Cádiz 1:2
    08.12.2025 Málaga - Zaragoza 1:1
    04.12.2025 Zaragoza - Burgos 0:1
    30.11.2025 Zaragoza - Leganés 3:2
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    20.12.2025 Las Palmas - Leonesa 4:0
    14.12.2025 Ceuta - Las Palmas 1:1
    08.12.2025 Las Palmas - Mirandés 0:0
    30.11.2025 Castellón - Las Palmas 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation