Las Vegas Lights vs Loudoun United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Las Vegas Lights - Loudoun United
Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.181.31
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
617
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
78% (240/308)88% (483/549)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.181.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.561.08
Total shots
617
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
19
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
627
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
78% (240/308)88% (483/549)
Long passes
50% (40/80)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
64% (56/88)75% (136/181)
Crosses
17% (1/6)23% (7/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.321.29
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
1713
Tackles
75% (6/8)44% (8/18)
Duels won
3749
Clearances
2112
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.080.56
Goals prevented
1.08-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Nyeman M. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Nigro G. (A),
  • 44', Gartig E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Nigro G. ↓, Smart S. ↑,
  • 56', Gyau J. ↓, Azcona E. ↑,
  • 59', McCabe T. 🟨,
  • 60', Santos P. 🟨,
  • 62', Nyeman M. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
  • 63', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 68', Noel V. ↓, Singer J. ↑,
  • 68', Santos P. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
  • 69', Pinzon C. 🟨,
  • 82', Mines B. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
  • 82', Ryan Z. ↓, Turner C. ↑,
  • 86', Pinzon C. ↓, Covil V. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Las Vegas Lights
28.7%		Draw
28.2%		Loudoun United
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 28.8% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 29.1% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Vegas Lights's form might have worsened.
  • Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Loudoun United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Lights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Loudoun United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Las Vegas Lights - Loudoun United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.22 ↑
    (2.6)    		 3.27 ↑
    (3.2)    		 2.15 ↓
    (2.59)    		 8.2%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Las Vegas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Loudoun is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Loudoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Las Vegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Loudoun United were as follows:
    14.06.2024 Loudoun United - Las Vegas Lights 1:1
    12.08.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Loudoun United 0:3
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    30.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - AV Alta 2:1
    26.04.2025 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 1:3
    19.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:4
    16.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:3
    12.04.2025 Lexington - Las Vegas Lights 0:0
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    26.04.2025 Lexington - Loudoun United 0:1
    19.04.2025 Loudoun United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2:1
    15.04.2025 Louisville City - Loudoun United 2:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United 1:2
    05.04.2025 Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic 2:0
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City18125134:142041
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1782726:24226
    5Pittsburgh1875617:15226
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1755727:31-420
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1947822:28-619
    10Tampa Bay17521020:26-617
    11Rhode Island1845914:20-617
    12Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1783624:24027
    3Sacramento Republic1776425:131227
    4El Paso1775530:25526
    5New Mexico1681722:21125
    6Phoenix Rising1866630:33-324
    7Orange County SC1672726:23323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights18531013:34-2118

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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