Las Vegas Lights vs Loudoun United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.181.31
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
617
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
78% (240/308)88% (483/549)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.181.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.561.08
Total shots
617
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
19
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
627
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
78% (240/308)88% (483/549)
Long passes
50% (40/80)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
64% (56/88)75% (136/181)
Crosses
17% (1/6)23% (7/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.321.29
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
1713
Tackles
75% (6/8)44% (8/18)
Duels won
3749
Clearances
2112
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.080.56
Goals prevented
1.08-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Nyeman M. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. , Nigro G. (A),
  • 44', Gartig E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Nigro G. , Smart S. ,
  • 56', Gyau J. , Azcona E. ,
  • 59', McCabe T. 🟨,
  • 60', Santos P. 🟨,
  • 62', Nyeman M. , Leggett W. ,
  • 63', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 68', Noel V. , Singer J. ,
  • 68', Santos P. , Bidois R. ,
  • 69', Pinzon C. 🟨,
  • 82', Mines B. , Nagy A. ,
  • 82', Ryan Z. , Turner C. ,
  • 86', Pinzon C. , Covil V. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Las Vegas Lights
28.7%
Draw
28.2%
Loudoun United
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 28.8% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 29.1% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Vegas Lights's form might have worsened.
  • Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Loudoun United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Lights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Loudoun United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Las Vegas Lights - Loudoun United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (2.6)
    3.27
    (3.2)
    2.15
    (2.59)
    8.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Las Vegas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Loudoun is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Loudoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Las Vegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Loudoun United were as follows:
    14.06.2024 Loudoun United - Las Vegas Lights 1:1
    12.08.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Loudoun United 0:3
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay541010:3713
    2Louisville City641114:9513
    3Detroit53116:2410
    4Charleston53027:709
    5Miami FC62317:709
    6Hartford Athletic62317:709
    7Indy Eleven52218:628
    8Pittsburgh62138:11-37
    9Brooklyn62045:9-46
    10Rhode Island51227:8-15
    11Birmingham51225:6-15
    12Loudoun50328:11-33
    13Sporting Jax60155:13-81


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC74217:3414
    2El Paso541014:5913
    3San Antonio73315:3212
    4Sacramento Republic62317:439
    5Oakland Roots52217:618
    6New Mexico52035:8-36
    7Phoenix Rising61328:806
    8Colorado Springs51228:9-15
    9Las Vegas Lights61239:11-25
    10Lexington61236:8-25
    11FC Tulsa51224:6-25
    12Monterey Bay60242:9-72

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)