Las Vegas Lights vs Loudoun United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.181.31
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
617
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
78% (240/308)88% (483/549)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.181.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.561.08
Total shots
617
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
19
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
627
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
78% (240/308)88% (483/549)
Long passes
50% (40/80)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
64% (56/88)75% (136/181)
Crosses
17% (1/6)23% (7/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.321.29
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
1713
Tackles
75% (6/8)44% (8/18)
Duels won
3749
Clearances
2112
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.080.56
Goals prevented
1.08-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Nyeman M. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. , Nigro G. (A),
  • 44', Gartig E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Nigro G. , Smart S. ,
  • 56', Gyau J. , Azcona E. ,
  • 59', McCabe T. 🟨,
  • 60', Santos P. 🟨,
  • 62', Nyeman M. , Leggett W. ,
  • 63', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 68', Noel V. , Singer J. ,
  • 68', Santos P. , Bidois R. ,
  • 69', Pinzon C. 🟨,
  • 82', Mines B. , Nagy A. ,
  • 82', Ryan Z. , Turner C. ,
  • 86', Pinzon C. , Covil V. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Las Vegas Lights
28.7%
Draw
28.2%
Loudoun United
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 28.8% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 29.1% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Vegas Lights's form might have worsened.
  • Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Loudoun United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Lights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Loudoun United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Las Vegas Lights - Loudoun United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (2.6)
    3.27
    (3.2)
    2.15
    (2.59)
    8.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Las Vegas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Loudoun is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Loudoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Las Vegas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Loudoun United were as follows:
    14.06.2024 Loudoun United - Las Vegas Lights 1:1
    12.08.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Loudoun United 0:3
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7FC Tulsa833211:9212
    8Colorado Springs723215:1329
    9Las Vegas Lights822413:16-38
    10New Mexico52035:8-36
    11Lexington81347:10-36
    12Monterey Bay80264:15-112

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)