Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cardinale Stadium (Seaside, CA).

USL Championship
Referee: Vincze R. (Hun)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	0.91
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
78% (248/318)	84% (454/540)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	0.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.39	1.08
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
19	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
8	12
Passes
78% (248/318)	84% (454/540)
Long passes
49% (26/53)	57% (53/93)
Passes in final third
67% (82/123)	70% (94/134)
Crosses
10% (2/20)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.09	0.54
Throw-ins
22	21
Fouls
12	8
Tackles
83% (15/18)	70% (14/20)
Duels won
45	46
Clearances
21	32
Interceptions
8	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.08	0.39
Goals prevented
0.08	-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Leal P. ⚽, Covil V. (A),
24', Gartig E. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Malango M. ⚽, Sojberg A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ivanovic L. ↓, Fehr M. ↑,
46', Stojanovic S. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
55', Sojberg A. (Pen),
71', Lyons M. 🟨,
71', Leal P. ↓, O'Driscoll R. ↑,
72', Singer J. ↓, Smart S. ↑,
72', Covil V. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
72', Malango M. ↓, Guediri S. ↑,
74', Fonguck W. 🟨,
76', Fonguck W. ↓, Gallaway P. ↑,
76', Lyons M. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
78', Probo G. ↓, Gannon C. ↑,
90+4', Klein J. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Monterey Bay
50.7%

Draw
25.6%

Las Vegas Lights
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

22.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monterey Bay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.91)	3.64 ↑ (3.62)	3.95 ↑ (3.68)	7.1% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 3.
Recent form of Monterey Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Las Vegas has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Las Vegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of home games.
Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of away games.
In this match, Monterey Bay is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Las Vegas Lights?

Monterey Bay has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Las Vegas Lights won against Monterey Bay?

Las Vegas Lights has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:

14.06.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 2:0

14.09.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 0:0

13.04.2024 Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights 3:1

16.09.2023 Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights 3:2

10.06.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 1:2

Latest results of Monterey Bay

18.10.2025 Monterey Bay - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0:3 ✺

04.10.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay 4:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Monterey Bay - New Mexico United 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Monterey Bay - Hartford Athletic 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Las Vegas Lights

18.10.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Las Vegas Lights 1:0 ✺

11.10.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Oakland Roots 2:2 ✺

05.10.2025 Rhode Island - Las Vegas Lights 3:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Las Vegas Lights 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Louisville City - Las Vegas Lights 3:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

Main

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	30	22	7	1	56:19	37	73
2	Charleston	30	19	5	6	62:32	30	62
3	North Carolina	30	13	6	11	40:39	1	45
4	Hartford Athletic	30	13	5	12	48:36	12	44
5	Pittsburgh	30	12	8	10	32:28	4	44
6	Loudoun	30	12	6	12	45:48	-3	42
7	Rhode Island	30	10	8	12	29:29	0	38
8	Detroit	30	9	10	11	33:35	-2	37
9	Indy Eleven	30	10	5	15	44:52	-8	35
10	Tampa Bay	30	9	7	14	43:50	-7	34
11	Miami FC	30	8	6	16	29:44	-15	30
12	Birmingham	30	5	12	13	36:50	-14	27

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	30	16	9	5	50:30	20	57
2	New Mexico	30	14	6	10	45:41	4	48
3	Sacramento Republic	30	13	9	8	44:27	17	48
4	El Paso	30	10	11	9	47:45	2	41
5	San Antonio	30	11	7	12	39:38	1	40
6	Phoenix Rising	30	9	13	8	48:48	0	40
7	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	44:45	-1	39
8	Colorado Springs	30	10	7	13	35:47	-12	37
9	Lexington	30	9	9	12	31:42	-11	36
10	Oakland Roots	30	8	8	14	42:52	-10	32
11	Monterey Bay	30	7	8	15	27:45	-18	29
12	Las Vegas Lights	30	6	9	15	23:50	-27	27

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