Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/06/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV).

USL Championship
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	0.59
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
83% (315/379)	86% (330/382)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	0.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.58	0.15
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
0	5
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
5	6
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
14	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
11	14
Passes
83% (315/379)	86% (330/382)
Long passes
60% (49/82)	63% (30/48)
Passes in final third
73% (93/128)	74% (76/103)
Crosses
44% (4/9)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.88	0.44
Throw-ins
23	18
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
80% (12/15)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
45	45
Clearances
21	13
Interceptions
4	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
0.15	0.58
Goals prevented
0.15	-1.54

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Jones N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Gartig E. 🟨,
59', Rebollar A. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
59', Dixon A. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
59', Guediri S. ↓, Robinson G. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Leal P. (A),
63', Fonguck W. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Nigro G. (A),
66', Jones N. ↓, Howell M. ↑,
66', Smart S. ↓, Gyau J. ↑,
66', Sojberg A. ↓, Gnaulati X. ↑,
73', Leal P. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
82', Peeters D. ↓, Covil V. ↑,
82', Rodriguez J. ↓, Stojanovic ↑,
82', Fonguck W. ↓, Gallaway P. ↑,
87', Covil V. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Las Vegas Lights
42.8%

Draw
27.8%

Monterey Bay
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.7%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.9%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Vegas Lights's performance.

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Vegas Lights that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.38)	3.32 ↑ (3)	3.14 ↑ (2.7)	8.2% (12.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Monterey Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 1.
Las Vegas is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Monterey Bay has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of home games.
Las Vegas might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Monterey Bay will win today's game, with odds of 3.14.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Las Vegas Lights won against Monterey Bay?

Las Vegas Lights has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Las Vegas Lights?

Monterey Bay has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay were as follows:

14.09.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 0:0

13.04.2024 Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights 3:1

16.09.2023 Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights 3:2

10.06.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 1:2

27.09.2022 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 4:0

Latest results of Las Vegas Lights

07.06.2025 San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights 3:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 4:0 ✺

28.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 0:1 ✺

24.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive 1:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 5:0 ✺

Latest results of Monterey Bay

07.06.2025 Monterey Bay - Lexington 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 3:2 ✺

28.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Spokane Velocity 1:0 ✺

24.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Louisville City 0:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay 2:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	18	13	2	3	38:16	22	41
2	Louisville City	17	11	5	1	30:13	17	38
3	Loudoun	17	8	3	6	26:24	2	27
4	North Carolina	16	8	2	6	25:20	5	26
5	Pittsburgh	16	6	4	6	14:14	0	22
6	Detroit	17	5	6	6	20:22	-2	21
7	Indy Eleven	16	5	5	6	26:28	-2	20
8	Miami FC	16	5	3	8	16:24	-8	18
9	Birmingham	18	4	6	8	19:25	-6	18
10	Rhode Island	17	4	5	8	14:18	-4	17
11	Tampa Bay	16	4	2	10	17:25	-8	14
12	Hartford Athletic	15	3	4	8	15:21	-6	13

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	16	8	5	3	24:16	8	29
2	San Antonio	16	8	3	5	23:21	2	27
3	New Mexico	15	8	1	6	22:17	5	25
4	Sacramento Republic	16	6	6	4	22:12	10	24
5	Phoenix Rising	16	6	5	5	26:26	0	23
6	El Paso	16	6	5	5	24:25	-1	23
7	Monterey Bay	18	6	4	8	19:23	-4	22
8	Orange County SC	15	6	2	7	22:22	0	20
9	Oakland Roots	17	6	2	9	19:25	-6	20
10	Lexington	17	4	7	6	17:23	-6	19
11	Las Vegas Lights	17	5	3	9	13:28	-15	18
12	Colorado Springs	16	4	6	6	19:22	-3	18

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )