Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights
Result
1:1
25/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Vincze R. (Hun)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.91
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
78% (248/318)84% (454/540)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.391.08
Total shots
129
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
197
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
812
Passes
78% (248/318)84% (454/540)
Long passes
49% (26/53)57% (53/93)
Passes in final third
67% (82/123)70% (94/134)
Crosses
10% (2/20)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.54
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
128
Tackles
83% (15/18)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4546
Clearances
2132
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.080.39
Goals prevented
0.08-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Leal P. , Covil V. (A),
  • 24', Gartig E. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Malango M. , Sojberg A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ivanovic L. , Fehr M. ,
  • 46', Stojanovic S. , Pickering N. ,
  • 55', Sojberg A. (Pen),
  • 71', Lyons M. 🟨,
  • 71', Leal P. , O'Driscoll R. ,
  • 72', Singer J. , Smart S. ,
  • 72', Covil V. , Gaines M. ,
  • 72', Malango M. , Guediri S. ,
  • 74', Fonguck W. 🟨,
  • 76', Fonguck W. , Gallaway P. ,
  • 76', Lyons M. , Garcia J. ,
  • 78', Probo G. , Gannon C. ,
  • 90+4', Klein J. , Bryant E. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
50.7%
Draw
25.6%
Las Vegas Lights
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 25.8% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 22.9% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monterey Bay that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.91)
    3.64
    (3.62)
    3.95
    (3.68)
    7.1%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 3.
    • Recent form of Monterey Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Las Vegas has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Las Vegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Monterey Bay is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 2:0
    14.09.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 0:0
    13.04.2024 Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights 3:1
    16.09.2023 Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights 3:2
    10.06.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 1:2
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
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    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

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