Result
0:2
04/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (289/342) | 88% (339/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (289/342) | 88% (339/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (30/60) | 42% (15/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 77% (99/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 58% (11/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Jones N. 🟨,
- 20', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
- 22', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 31', Gurr J. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
- 45+1', Leal P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 1, Edwards A. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
- 53', Kleemann F. 🟨,
- 60', Peeters D. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
- 60', Stojanovic S. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 2, Cicerone R. ⚽, Willey B. (A),
- 70', Boudadi Y. ↓, Gannon C. ↑,
- 70', Leal P. ↓, Gyau J. ↑,
- 75', Lopez R. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 75', Herrera J. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
- 78', Nigro G. 🟨,
- 81', Jones N. ↓, Covil V. ↑,
- 83', Benitez M. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
- 83', Cicerone R. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 90+2', Ross N. ↓, Djedje R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Las Vegas Lights
27% | Draw
28% | Sacramento Republic
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacramento Republic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+1%)
Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.4 ↓
(3.8) |
3.28 ↓
(3.8) |
2.03 ↑
(1.75) |
9.1%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 3.
- Las Vegas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sacramento Republic is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sacramento Republic might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Las Vegas Lights won against Sacramento Republic?
Las Vegas Lights has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Las Vegas Lights?
Sacramento Republic has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
31.05.2025
Sacramento Republic
-
Las Vegas Lights
4:0
17.05.2025
Sacramento Republic
-
Las Vegas Lights
5:0
01.11.2024
Las Vegas Lights
-
Sacramento Republic
1:0
21.09.2024
Las Vegas Lights
-
Sacramento Republic
2:1
03.07.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Las Vegas Lights
0:1
Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
