Result
0:2
04/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (289/342) | 88% (339/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (289/342) | 88% (339/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (30/60) | 42% (15/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 77% (99/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 58% (11/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Jones N. 🟨,
- 20', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
- 22', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 31', Gurr J. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
- 45+1', Leal P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 1, Edwards A. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
- 53', Kleemann F. 🟨,
- 60', Peeters D. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
- 60', Stojanovic S. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 2, Cicerone R. ⚽, Willey B. (A),
- 70', Boudadi Y. ↓, Gannon C. ↑,
- 70', Leal P. ↓, Gyau J. ↑,
- 75', Lopez R. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 75', Herrera J. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
- 78', Nigro G. 🟨,
- 81', Jones N. ↓, Covil V. ↑,
- 83', Benitez M. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
- 83', Cicerone R. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 90+2', Ross N. ↓, Djedje R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Las Vegas Lights
27% | Draw
28% | Sacramento Republic
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacramento Republic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+1%)
Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.4 ↓
(3.8) |
3.28 ↓
(3.8) |
2.03 ↑
(1.75) |
9.1%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 3.
- Las Vegas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sacramento Republic is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sacramento Republic might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Las Vegas Lights won against Sacramento Republic?
Las Vegas Lights has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Las Vegas Lights?
Sacramento Republic has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
31.05.2025
Sacramento Republic
-
Las Vegas Lights
4:0
17.05.2025
Sacramento Republic
-
Las Vegas Lights
5:0
01.11.2024
Las Vegas Lights
-
Sacramento Republic
1:0
21.09.2024
Las Vegas Lights
-
Sacramento Republic
2:1
03.07.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Las Vegas Lights
0:1
Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
| 8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
