Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic
Result
0:2
04/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.31
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
620
Shots on target
06
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
85% (289/342)88% (339/386)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.10
Total shots
620
Shots on target
06
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
218
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
834
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1420
Passes
85% (289/342)88% (339/386)
Long passes
50% (30/60)42% (15/36)
Passes in final third
52% (30/58)77% (99/128)
Crosses
22% (2/9)58% (11/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.131.03
Throw-ins
128
Fouls
2014
Tackles
40% (4/10)100% (8/8)
Duels won
3346
Clearances
1514
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.100.00
Goals prevented
-0.900.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Jones N. 🟨,
  • 20', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
  • 22', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 31', Gurr J. , Edwards A. ,
  • 45+1', Leal P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Edwards A. , Lopez R. (A),
  • 53', Kleemann F. 🟨,
  • 60', Peeters D. , Pearson C. ,
  • 60', Stojanovic S. , Pickering N. ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Cicerone R. , Willey B. (A),
  • 70', Boudadi Y. , Gannon C. ,
  • 70', Leal P. , Gyau J. ,
  • 75', Lopez R. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 75', Herrera J. , Wanner D. ,
  • 78', Nigro G. 🟨,
  • 81', Jones N. , Covil V. ,
  • 83', Benitez M. , Ukaegbu C. ,
  • 83', Cicerone R. , Amann T. ,
  • 90+2', Ross N. , Djedje R. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Las Vegas Lights
27%
Draw
28%
Sacramento Republic
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 24% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 21.3% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacramento Republic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (3.8)
    3.28
    (3.8)
    2.03
    (1.75)
    9.1%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 3.
    • Las Vegas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sacramento Republic is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sacramento Republic might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 4:0
    17.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 5:0
    01.11.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 1:0
    21.09.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    03.07.2024 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2094731:29231
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )