Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
0:2
04/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.31
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
620
Shots on target
06
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
85% (289/342)88% (339/386)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.10
Total shots
620
Shots on target
06
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
218
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
834
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1420
Passes
85% (289/342)88% (339/386)
Long passes
50% (30/60)42% (15/36)
Passes in final third
52% (30/58)77% (99/128)
Crosses
22% (2/9)58% (11/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.131.03
Throw-ins
128
Fouls
2014
Tackles
40% (4/10)100% (8/8)
Duels won
3346
Clearances
1514
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.100.00
Goals prevented
-0.900.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Jones N. 🟨,
  • 20', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
  • 22', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 31', Gurr J. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
  • 45+1', Leal P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Edwards A. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
  • 53', Kleemann F. 🟨,
  • 60', Peeters D. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
  • 60', Stojanovic S. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Cicerone R. ⚽, Willey B. (A),
  • 70', Boudadi Y. ↓, Gannon C. ↑,
  • 70', Leal P. ↓, Gyau J. ↑,
  • 75', Lopez R. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
  • 75', Herrera J. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
  • 78', Nigro G. 🟨,
  • 81', Jones N. ↓, Covil V. ↑,
  • 83', Benitez M. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
  • 83', Cicerone R. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
  • 90+2', Ross N. ↓, Djedje R. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Las Vegas Lights
27%		Draw
28%		Sacramento Republic
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 24% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 21.3% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacramento Republic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.4 ↓
    (3.8)    		 3.28 ↓
    (3.8)    		 2.03 ↑
    (1.75)    		 9.1%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 3.
    • Las Vegas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sacramento Republic is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sacramento Republic might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 4:0
    17.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 5:0
    01.11.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 1:0
    21.09.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    03.07.2024 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    21.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    14.06.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 2:0
    07.06.2025 San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights 3:0
    31.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 4:0
    28.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 0:1
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    21.06.2025 Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺
    18.06.2025 Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic 1:0 ✺
    14.06.2025 Sacramento Republic - San Antonio 0:0 ✺
    07.06.2025 Sacramento Republic - Tulsa 0:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 4:0
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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