Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.491.09
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
32
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
45
Passes
85% (384/454)83% (374/448)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
0.491.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.87
Total shots
99
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
35
Shots inside the box
36
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1414
Passes
85% (384/454)83% (374/448)
Long passes
49% (37/75)42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
61% (63/103)60% (53/89)
Crosses
9% (1/11)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.56
Throw ins
1929
Fouls
1414
Tackles
75% (12/16)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4237
Clearances
2117
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.870.27
Goals prevented
-0.13-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Guillen A. ⚽,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Kaye M. ⚽, Edwards K. (A),
  • 36', Essel A. 🟨,
  • 43', Kleemann F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Jones N. 🟨,
  • 64', Edwards K. ↓, Ajago F. ↑,
  • 70', Arteaga M. ↓, Leal M. ↑,
  • 70', Wanner D. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
  • 70', Essel A. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
  • 75', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 78', Malango M. 🟨,
  • 81', Okyere A. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
  • 81', Rodriguez A. ↓, Cambridge B. ↑,
  • 90', Pinzon C. ↓, Locker C. ↑,
  • 90+1', Guillen A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Las Vegas Lights
28.9%		Draw
30.9%		Sacramento Republic
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 31.4% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 31.2% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-3%)
    •

    Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.19 ↑
    (2.91)    		 2.98 ↑
    (2.94)    		 2.29 ↓
    (2.49)    		 8.8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 2.
    • Las Vegas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sacramento Republic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sacramento Republic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of home games.
    • Sacramento Republic could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:32. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    04.07.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 0:2
    31.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 4:0
    17.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 5:0
    01.11.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 1:0
    21.09.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 2:1
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    04.04.2026 El Paso Locomotive - Las Vegas Lights 3:2
    28.03.2026 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 1:0 ✺
    21.03.2026 Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights 3:2
    14.03.2026 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Las Vegas Lights 3:2
    07.03.2026 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 1:1
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    04.04.2026 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 2:0
    31.03.2026 Valley 559 - Sacramento Republic 0:4
    28.03.2026 Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive 1:2 ✺
    21.03.2026 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 1:1
    18.03.2026 Sacramento Republic - El Farolito 2:0
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7FC Tulsa833211:9212
    8Colorado Springs723215:1329
    9Las Vegas Lights822413:16-38
    10New Mexico52035:8-36
    11Lexington81347:10-36
    12Monterey Bay80264:15-112

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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