Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV).

USL Championship
Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.49	1.09
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
3	2
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
4	5
Passes
85% (384/454)	83% (374/448)
Yellow cards
2	4
Expected goals (xG)
0.49	1.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.27	0.87
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked shots
3	5
Shots inside the box
3	6
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
7	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free kicks
14	14
Passes
85% (384/454)	83% (374/448)
Long passes
49% (37/75)	42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
61% (63/103)	60% (53/89)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.56
Throw ins
19	29
Fouls
14	14
Tackles
75% (12/16)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
42	37
Clearances
21	17
Interceptions
12	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.87	0.27
Goals prevented
-0.13	-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Guillen A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Kaye M. ⚽, Edwards K. (A),
36', Essel A. 🟨,
43', Kleemann F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Jones N. 🟨,
64', Edwards K. ↓, Ajago F. ↑,
70', Arteaga M. ↓, Leal M. ↑,
70', Wanner D. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
70', Essel A. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
75', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
78', Malango M. 🟨,
81', Okyere A. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
81', Rodriguez A. ↓, Cambridge B. ↑,
90', Pinzon C. ↓, Locker C. ↑,
90+1', Guillen A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Las Vegas Lights
28.9%

Draw
30.9%

Sacramento Republic
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

31.4%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

31.2%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-3%)

Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.91)	2.98 ↑ (2.94)	2.29 ↓ (2.49)	8.8% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 2.
Las Vegas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sacramento Republic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sacramento Republic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of away games.
Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of home games.
Sacramento Republic could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:32. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Las Vegas Lights won against Sacramento Republic?

Las Vegas Lights has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Las Vegas Lights?

Sacramento Republic has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic were as follows:

04.07.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 0:2

31.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 4:0

17.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 5:0

01.11.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 1:0

21.09.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 2:1

Latest results of Las Vegas Lights

04.04.2026 El Paso Locomotive - Las Vegas Lights 3:2 ✺

28.03.2026 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 1:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights 3:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Las Vegas Lights 3:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Sacramento Republic

04.04.2026 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 2:0 ✺

31.03.2026 Valley 559 - Sacramento Republic 0:4 ✺

28.03.2026 Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive 1:2 ✺

21.03.2026 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 1:1 ✺

18.03.2026 Sacramento Republic - El Farolito 2:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tampa Bay	5	4	1	0	10:3	7	13
2	Louisville City	6	4	1	1	14:9	5	13
3	Detroit	5	3	1	1	6:2	4	10
4	Charleston	5	3	0	2	7:7	0	9
5	Miami FC	6	2	3	1	7:7	0	9
6	Hartford Athletic	6	2	3	1	7:7	0	9
7	Indy Eleven	5	2	2	1	8:6	2	8
8	Pittsburgh	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7
9	Brooklyn	6	2	0	4	5:9	-4	6
10	Rhode Island	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5
11	Birmingham	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5
12	Loudoun	5	0	3	2	8:11	-3	3
13	Sporting Jax	6	0	1	5	5:13	-8	1

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	7	4	2	1	7:3	4	14
2	El Paso	5	4	1	0	14:5	9	13
3	San Antonio	7	3	3	1	5:3	2	12
4	Sacramento Republic	6	2	3	1	7:4	3	9
5	Oakland Roots	5	2	2	1	7:6	1	8
6	New Mexico	5	2	0	3	5:8	-3	6
7	Phoenix Rising	6	1	3	2	8:8	0	6
8	Colorado Springs	5	1	2	2	8:9	-1	5
9	Las Vegas Lights	6	1	2	3	9:11	-2	5
10	Lexington	6	1	2	3	6:8	-2	5
11	FC Tulsa	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5
12	Monterey Bay	6	0	2	4	2:9	-7	2

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)