Laval vs Le Mans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 12
  • Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.79
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
73% (273/372)71% (244/343)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.79
xG on target (xGOT)
3.290.70
Total shots
96
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1312
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1816
Passes
73% (273/372)71% (244/343)
Long passes
45% (36/80)35% (23/66)
Passes in final third
51% (54/105)50% (54/107)
Crosses
40% (8/20)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.50
Throw-ins
4028
Fouls
1618
Tackles
64% (7/11)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5368
Clearances
2542
Interceptions
210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.703.29
Goals prevented
-0.302.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Lauray A. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Rossignol M. ,
  • 45+3', Vargas T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Aradj Y. 🟨,
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 52', Tavares Y. , Montet E. ,
  • 60', Maggiotti J. , Sellouki M. ,
  • 60', Tchokounte M. , Clavreul E. ,
  • 62', Rabillard A. , Harhouz W. ,
  • 62', Gueye D. , Colas E. ,
  • 67', Calodat L. 🟨,
  • 76', Rossignol M. , Buades L. ,
  • 77', Calodat L. , Robin M. ,
  • 79', Vargas T. , Mupemba N. ,
  • 79', Aradj Y. , Samb L. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Samb L. ,
  • 87', Samb L. 🟨,
  • 90', Quarshie E. , Cossier I. ,
  • 90+7', Colas E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Laval
34.4%
Draw
30.3%
Le Mans
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 27.9% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 28.6% 32.3%

Laval - Le Mans Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.72
(2.39)
3.1
(3.35)
2.64
(2.82)
7%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Laval - Le Mans?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Le Mans will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Laval (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 3.
    • Laval has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Le Mans is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Le Mans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Laval: Adilehou M. (Inactive) Commaret M. (Injury) Montet E. (Inactive) Mupemba N. (Inactive) Thomas T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Le Mans: Abanda L. (Inactive) Cisse A. (Inactive) Delbecque A. (Inactive) Guillaume B. (Inactive) Luvambo T. (Injury) Ribelin A. (Inactive) Vercruysse J. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Laval won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).
    Latest results of Laval
    18.10.2025 Laval - Red Star 0:1
    03.10.2025 Annecy - Laval 0:0
    27.09.2025 Laval - Montpellier 0:1
    23.09.2025 Pau - Laval 1:0
    19.09.2025 Laval - Amiens 0:3
    Latest results of Le Mans
    24.10.2025 Le Mans - Boulogne 1:0
    18.10.2025 Saint-Étienne - Le Mans 2:3
    03.10.2025 Le Mans - Troyes 2:2
    26.09.2025 Clermont - Le Mans 1:1
    23.09.2025 Le Mans - Grenoble 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes17105230:161435
    2St Etienne1793535:251030
    3Le Mans1786322:17530
    4Reims1785432:201229
    5Red Star1685321:15629
    6Dunkerque1776429:191027
    7Pau FC1775523:25-226
    8Montpellier1774618:16225
    9Guingamp1765625:30-523
    10Annecy1764721:18322
    11Grenoble1756619:21-221
    12Rodez1756618:23-521
    13Clermont1747616:21-519
    14Amiens1753921:26-518
    15Nancy1753915:22-718
    16Boulogne1744918:26-816
    17Laval1736813:22-915
    18Bastia1615108:22-148

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National