Result
0:1
18/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 10
- Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (318/417) | 84% (395/471) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (318/417) | 84% (395/471) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/66) | 54% (30/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (68/117) | 72% (71/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 23% (3/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Danger B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Benali H. ↓, Ikanga J. ↑,
- 62', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
- 62', Maggiotti J. ↓, Tchokounte M. ↑,
- 66', Aradj Y. 🟨,
- 75', Cabral K. ↓, Renel S. ↑,
- 79', Sanna S. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
- 79', Camara M. ↓, Maddy E. ↑,
- 82', Haag G. 🟨,
- 86', Aradj Y. ↓, Samb L. ↑,
- 87', Sellouki M. ↓, Faurand-Tournaire A. ↑,
- 89', Sylla D. ↓, Huard M. ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 1, Durand D. ⚽, Hachem R. (A),
Chances of winning
Laval
29.5% | Draw
40.1% | Red Star
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laval's form might have worsened.Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laval, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Laval - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.97 ↑
(2.64) |
2.62 ↓
(3.03) |
3.82 ↑
(2.78) |
-10.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Laval - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Red Star will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Laval (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 2.
- Laval has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Red Star is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Laval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Laval: Adilehou M.
(Inactive)
Commaret M.
(Injury)
Maddy E.
(Inactive)
Pellenard T.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Huard M.
(Injury)
Lemonnier P.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Laval won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Laval won against Red Star?
Laval has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Laval?
Red Star has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Laval - Red Star were as follows:
10.01.2025
Laval
-
Red Star
1:1
20.09.2024
Red Star
-
Laval
0:3
29.07.2023
Laval
-
Red Star
1:1
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Annecy | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Amiens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Nancy | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
