Deportes Magallanes vs LDU Quito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/05/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Chances of winning


Deportes Magallanes
26.3%
Draw
28%
LDU Quito
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 28.1% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 28.1% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Magallanes's form might have worsened.
  • LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LDU Quito's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Magallanes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for LDU Quito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportes Magallanes - LDU Quito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (2.65)
    3.34
    (3.28)
    2.05
    (2.48)
    7%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Deportes Magallanes - LDU Quito?
  • Users Predictions: LDU Quito will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Magallanes has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • LDU Quito is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Magallanes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Magallanes have a series of home games.
    • LDU Quito will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Magallanes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Magallanes - LDU Quito were as follows:
    19.04.2023 LDU Quito - Deportes Magallanes 4:0
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    14.05.2023 Emelec - LDU Quito 1:1
    08.05.2023 LDU Quito - Delfín 1:1
    04.05.2023 Botafogo RJ - LDU Quito 0:0
    22.04.2023 Orense - LDU Quito 2:1
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigre10101:101
    2America De Cali10101:101
    3Alianza Atl10101:101
    4Macara10101:101


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Puerto Cabello11002:113
    2Cienciano10101:101
    3Juventud10101:101
    4Atletico-MG10011:2-10


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1O'Higgins11002:023
    2Sao Paulo11001:013
    3Boston River10010:1-10
    4Millonarios10010:2-20


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Cuenca11001:013
    2San Lorenzo10101:101
    3Recoleta10101:101
    4Santos10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club11003:123
    2Botafogo RJ10101:101
    3Caracas10101:101
    4Independiente10011:3-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City11001:013
    2Palestino10100:001
    3Dep. Riestra10100:001
    4Gremio10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion11002:023
    2Vasco10100:001
    3Barracas Central10100:001
    4A. Italiano10010:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carabobo11001:013
    2River Plate10101:101
    3Blooming10101:101
    4Bragantino10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)