Deportes Magallanes vs LDU Quito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Deportes Magallanes - LDU Quito
Result
1:1
23/05/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Chances of winning


Deportes Magallanes
26.3%
Draw
28%
LDU Quito
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 28.1% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 28.1% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Magallanes's form might have worsened.
  • LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LDU Quito's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Magallanes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for LDU Quito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportes Magallanes - LDU Quito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (2.65)
    3.34
    (3.28)
    2.05
    (2.48)
    7%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Deportes Magallanes - LDU Quito?
  • Users Predictions: LDU Quito will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Magallanes has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • LDU Quito is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Magallanes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Magallanes have a series of home games.
    • LDU Quito will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Magallanes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Magallanes - LDU Quito were as follows:
    19.04.2023 LDU Quito - Deportes Magallanes 4:0
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    14.05.2023 Emelec - LDU Quito 1:1
    08.05.2023 LDU Quito - Delfín 1:1
    04.05.2023 Botafogo RJ - LDU Quito 0:0
    22.04.2023 Orense - LDU Quito 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2