Deportes Magallanes vs LDU Quito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/05/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Chances of winning


Deportes Magallanes
26.3%
Draw
28%
LDU Quito
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 28.1% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 28.1% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Magallanes's form might have worsened.
  • LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LDU Quito's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Magallanes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for LDU Quito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportes Magallanes - LDU Quito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (2.65)
    3.34
    (3.28)
    2.05
    (2.48)
    7%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Deportes Magallanes - LDU Quito?
  • Users Predictions: LDU Quito will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Magallanes has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • LDU Quito is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Magallanes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Magallanes have a series of home games.
    • LDU Quito will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Magallanes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Magallanes - LDU Quito were as follows:
    19.04.2023 LDU Quito - Deportes Magallanes 4:0
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    14.05.2023 Emelec - LDU Quito 1:1
    08.05.2023 LDU Quito - Delfín 1:1
    04.05.2023 Botafogo RJ - LDU Quito 0:0
    22.04.2023 Orense - LDU Quito 2:1
    Draw
    2026

    Final
    1Nacional AsuncionRecoleta
    2Sportivo TrinidenseOlimpia Asuncion
    3Alianza Atl.Deportivo Garcilaso
    4CiencianoFBC Melgar
    5Montevideo CityDefensor Sp.
    6Boston RiverRacing Montevideo
    7Puerto CabelloMonagas
    8CaracasMetropolitanos
    9U. De ChilePalestino
    10CobresalA. Italiano
    11Atl. NacionalMillonarios
    12America De CaliBucaramanga
    13IndependienteGuabira
    14BloomingSA Bulo Bulo
    15Dep. CuencaLibertad
    16OrenseMacara