Orense vs LDU Quito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Orense - LDU Quito
28/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.75
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
73% (169/232)80% (335/421)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.180.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.580.30
Total shots
78
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
73% (169/232)80% (335/421)
Long passes
38% (20/52)47% (32/68)
Passes in final third
62% (55/89)70% (82/117)
Crosses
10% (1/10)0% (0/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.56
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
1218
Tackles
42% (5/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
2815
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.301.58
Goals prevented
-0.73-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', Caicedo B. 🟨,
  • 37', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Mena A. (Pen),
  • 45+4', Arturia G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Cabeza A. , Estrada M. ,
  • 46', Diaz M. , Alvarado A. ,
  • 55', Villamil G. 🟨,
  • 66', Quintero J. , de la Cruz D. I. ,
  • 68', Achilier G. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Alzugaray L. ,
  • 72', Gruezo C. 🟨,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Caicedo B. , Vasquez S. (A),
  • 74', Caicedo B. 🟨,
  • 76', Herrera A. 🟨,
  • 77', Valverde J. , Luna R. ,
  • 79', Villamil G. , Cornejo F. ,
  • 83', Caicedo B. , Vinan B. ,
  • 87', Gruezo C. , Pastran L. ,
  • 88', Herrera A. , Bianchi O. ,

Chances of winning


Orense
32%
Draw
30%
LDU Quito
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 28.6% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 27.6% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Orense - LDU Quito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (3.22)
    3.09
    (3.26)
    2.49
    (2.2)
    7.5%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2.
    • Orense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • LDU Quito is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Orense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, LDU Quito has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - LDU Quito were as follows:
    01.03.2025 LDU Quito - Orense 4:0
    06.10.2024 LDU Quito - Orense 2:0
    19.04.2024 Orense - LDU Quito 1:0
    22.09.2023 LDU Quito - Orense 1:0
    22.04.2023 Orense - LDU Quito 2:1
    Latest results of Orense
    23.06.2025 Manta - Orense 0:0
    16.06.2025 Orense - Deportivo Macará 1:0
    31.05.2025 Emelec - Orense 1:0
    24.05.2025 Orense - SD Aucas 2:1
    17.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Orense 2:5
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle26168246:202656
    2Barcelona SC26145738:29947
    3LDU Quito26128641:251644
    4Dep. Cuenca26126831:25642
    5Libertad26118740:34641
    6U. Catolica26109748:331539
    7Aucas261151035:37-238
    8Orense25115927:29-238
    9Emelec2698924:29-535
    10EL Nacional26871131:35-431
    11Macara26791025:27-230
    12Delfin25610924:37-1328
    13Manta265101131:43-1225
    14Tecnico U26671324:37-1325
    15Vinotinto26661429:37-824
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 26551628:45-1720

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )