Result
28/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
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Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.18 | 0.75 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
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7 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 4 |
Passes |
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73% (169/232) | 80% (335/421) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.18 | 0.75 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.58 | 0.30 |
Total shots |
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7 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
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2 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 12 |
Passes |
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73% (169/232) | 80% (335/421) |
Long passes |
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38% (20/52) | 47% (32/68) |
Passes in final third |
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62% (55/89) | 70% (82/117) |
Crosses |
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10% (1/10) | 0% (0/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.59 | 0.56 |
Throw-ins |
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16 | 20 |
Fouls |
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12 | 18 |
Tackles |
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42% (5/12) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
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49 | 46 |
Clearances |
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28 | 15 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.30 | 1.58 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.73 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', Caicedo B. 🟨,
- 37', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Mena A. (Pen),
- 45+4', Arturia G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Cabeza A. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
- 46', Diaz M. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 55', Villamil G. 🟨,
- 66', Quintero J. ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
- 68', Achilier G. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 1, Alzugaray L. ⚽,
- 72', Gruezo C. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 1, Caicedo B. ⚽, Vasquez S. (A),
- 74', Caicedo B. 🟨,
- 76', Herrera A. 🟨,
- 77', Valverde J. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
- 79', Villamil G. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
- 83', Caicedo B. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
- 87', Gruezo C. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
- 88', Herrera A. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orense 32% | Draw 30% | LDU Quito 38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Orense - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.86 ↓ (3.22) |
3.09 ↓ (3.26) |
2.49 ↑ (2.2) |
7.5% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2.
- Orense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- LDU Quito is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Orense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, LDU Quito has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against LDU Quito?
Orense has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Orense?
LDU Quito has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - LDU Quito were as follows:
01.03.2025
LDU Quito
-
Orense
4:0
06.10.2024
LDU Quito
-
Orense
2:0
19.04.2024
Orense
-
LDU Quito
1:0
22.09.2023
LDU Quito
-
Orense
1:0
22.04.2023
Orense
-
LDU Quito
2:1
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
3 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
5 | Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
6 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
8 | U. Catolica | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 31 |
9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Manta | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 23 |
15 | Tecnico U | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
16 | Mushuc Runa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )