Result
1:0
05/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 16
- Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
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| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (427/525) | 69% (220/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 0.84 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.43 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 4 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (427/525) | 69% (220/317) |
| Long passes |
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| 46% (30/65) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 72% (105/145) | 55% (48/87) |
| Crosses |
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| 35% (7/20) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.21 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 24 | 33 |
| Fouls |
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| 23 | 4 |
| Tackles |
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| 72% (28/39) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
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| 61 | 58 |
| Clearances |
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| 21 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
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| 13 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.01 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.01 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Rabillard A. ⚽, Calodat L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Touho M. ↓, Paul P. ↑,
- 65', Gueye D. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
- 66', Rossignol M. ↓, Lauray A. ↑,
- 66', Rabillard A. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
- 70', Robin M. 🟨,
- 75', Hamache I. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 75', Abdelkrim I. ↓, Injai C. ↑,
- 80', Robin M. ↓, Hammoudi I. ↑,
- 84', Calodat L. ↓, Ribelin A. ↑,
- 90', Chabane A. ↓, Talbot N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Le Mans
68.6% | Draw
20.1% | Amiens
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Le Mans's performance.Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amiens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Le Mans that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+5%)
Le Mans - Amiens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.58) |
4.63 ↑
(3.65) |
8.38 ↑
(5.28) |
6.8%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Le Mans - Amiens?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Amiens will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Le Mans (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Le Mans (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15).
- Le Mans has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Amiens is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Le Mans is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Le Mans: Cisse A.
(Knee Injury)
Gomes M.
(Ankle Injury)
Harhouz W.
(Leg Injury)
Vercruysse J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Fofana I.
(Yellow Cards)
Ikia Dimi Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Kandil N.
(Knee Injury)
Lo A.
(Inactive)
Lobry V.
(Knee Injury)
Manitu M.
(Inactive)
Rafii Y.
(Injury)
- We predict that Le Mans will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
- Including home match between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Amiens?
Le Mans has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Le Mans?
Amiens has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Mans - Amiens were as follows:
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
