Le Mans vs Amiens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 16
  • Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.14
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
143
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
81% (427/525)69% (220/317)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.430.01
Total shots
143
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
279
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
423
Passes
81% (427/525)69% (220/317)
Long passes
46% (30/65)42% (27/64)
Passes in final third
72% (105/145)55% (48/87)
Crosses
35% (7/20)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.26
Throw-ins
2433
Fouls
234
Tackles
72% (28/39)63% (10/16)
Duels won
6158
Clearances
2123
Interceptions
1315
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.010.43
Goals prevented
0.01-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Rabillard A. , Calodat L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Touho M. , Paul P. ,
  • 65', Gueye D. , Colas E. ,
  • 66', Rossignol M. , Lauray A. ,
  • 66', Rabillard A. , Luvambo T. ,
  • 70', Robin M. 🟨,
  • 75', Hamache I. , Traore A. ,
  • 75', Abdelkrim I. , Injai C. ,
  • 80', Robin M. , Hammoudi I. ,
  • 84', Calodat L. , Ribelin A. ,
  • 90', Chabane A. , Talbot N. ,

Chances of winning


Le Mans
68.6%
Draw
20.1%
Amiens
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 24.9% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 23.3% 16.2%

Le Mans - Amiens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.37
(1.58)
4.63
(3.65)
8.38
(5.28)
6.8%
(9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Le Mans - Amiens?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Amiens will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15).
    • Le Mans has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Amiens is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Le Mans is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Le Mans: Cisse A. (Knee Injury) Gomes M. (Ankle Injury) Harhouz W. (Leg Injury) Vercruysse J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Fofana I. (Yellow Cards) Ikia Dimi Y. (Yellow Cards) Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Lo A. (Inactive) Lobry V. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)
    • We predict that Le Mans will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    Latest results of Le Mans
    21.11.2025 Pau - Le Mans 1:2
    15.11.2025 Ivry - Le Mans 1:2
    08.11.2025 Le Mans - Red Star 0:0
    31.10.2025 Le Mans - Nancy 1:0
    Latest results of Amiens
    29.11.2025 Reims Sainte-Anne - Amiens 0:4
    22.11.2025 Amiens - Guingamp 1:2
    07.11.2025 Clermont - Amiens 2:1
    01.11.2025 Amiens - Grenoble 2:3
    28.10.2025 Troyes - Amiens 3:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1695228:151332
    2St Etienne1692533:231029
    3Reims1684432:201228
    4Red Star1584321:15628
    5Le Mans1676320:16427
    6Pau FC1675422:23-126
    7Dunkerque1666427:18924
    8Montpellier1673617:15224
    9Guingamp1665524:28-423
    10Annecy1664620:16422
    11Grenoble1655618:20-220
    12Clermont1647516:20-419
    13Rodez1646616:22-618
    14Boulogne1644817:24-716
    15Amiens1643919:25-615
    16Laval1636712:20-815
    17Nancy1643914:22-815
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National