Le Mans vs Amiens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 16
  • Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.14
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
143
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
81% (427/525)69% (220/317)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.430.01
Total shots
143
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
279
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
423
Passes
81% (427/525)69% (220/317)
Long passes
46% (30/65)42% (27/64)
Passes in final third
72% (105/145)55% (48/87)
Crosses
35% (7/20)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.26
Throw-ins
2433
Fouls
234
Tackles
72% (28/39)63% (10/16)
Duels won
6158
Clearances
2123
Interceptions
1315
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.010.43
Goals prevented
0.01-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Rabillard A. , Calodat L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Touho M. , Paul P. ,
  • 65', Gueye D. , Colas E. ,
  • 66', Rossignol M. , Lauray A. ,
  • 66', Rabillard A. , Luvambo T. ,
  • 70', Robin M. 🟨,
  • 75', Hamache I. , Traore A. ,
  • 75', Abdelkrim I. , Injai C. ,
  • 80', Robin M. , Hammoudi I. ,
  • 84', Calodat L. , Ribelin A. ,
  • 90', Chabane A. , Talbot N. ,

Chances of winning


Le Mans
68.6%
Draw
20.1%
Amiens
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 24.9% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 23.3% 16.2%

Le Mans - Amiens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.37
(1.58)
4.63
(3.65)
8.38
(5.28)
6.8%
(9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Le Mans - Amiens?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Amiens will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Le Mans (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Le Mans (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15).
    • Le Mans has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Amiens is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Le Mans is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Le Mans: Cisse A. (Knee Injury) Gomes M. (Ankle Injury) Harhouz W. (Leg Injury) Vercruysse J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Fofana I. (Yellow Cards) Ikia Dimi Y. (Yellow Cards) Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Lo A. (Inactive) Lobry V. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)
    • We predict that Le Mans will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    Latest results of Le Mans
    21.11.2025 Pau - Le Mans 1:2
    15.11.2025 Ivry - Le Mans 1:2
    08.11.2025 Le Mans - Red Star 0:0
    31.10.2025 Le Mans - Nancy 1:0
    Latest results of Amiens
    29.11.2025 Reims Sainte-Anne - Amiens 0:4
    22.11.2025 Amiens - Guingamp 1:2
    07.11.2025 Clermont - Amiens 2:1
    01.11.2025 Amiens - Grenoble 2:3
    28.10.2025 Troyes - Amiens 3:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes22125534:221241
    2Reims22116537:231439
    3Le Mans22109327:19839
    4St Etienne22114737:271037
    5Red Star22107530:22837
    6Dunkerque2297635:231234
    7Pau FC2297633:33034
    8Guingamp2296733:33033
    9Annecy2295828:22632
    10Montpellier2294924:22231
    11Rodez2279628:30-230
    12Grenoble2268824:29-526
    13Nancy22741120:30-1025
    14Boulogne22651123:33-1023
    15Clermont22571024:30-622
    16Amiens22641227:35-822
    17Laval22381115:30-1517
    18Bastia22371211:27-1616

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National