Result
3:4
20/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 28
- Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 2.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (264/352) | 78% (283/362) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 2.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 3.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (264/352) | 78% (283/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (21/54) | 45% (25/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (43/75) | 61% (67/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.10 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 2', 0 - 1, Rabillard A. ⚽,
- 10', Chabane A. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 2, Yohou S. ⚽,
- 18', Bretelle L. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 2, Leautey A. ⚽, Kandil N. (A),
- 31', 1 - 3, Bretelle L. ⚽, Buades L. (A),
- 38', Rabillard A. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
- 45', 2 - 3, Sane I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bretelle L. ↓, Bourabaa A. ↑,
- 54', 3 - 3, Kandil N. ⚽,
- 56', Fofana I. 🟨,
- 57', Voyer H. 🟨,
- 60', Lutin R. ↓, Averlant T. ↑,
- 69', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
- 71', Robin M. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
- 76', Kaiboue K. ↓, Louis C. ↑,
- 76', Sane I. ↓, Ntamack S. ↑,
- 83', Buades L. 🟨,
- 83', Lauray A. 🟨,
- 83', Fofana I. 🟨,
- 85', Leautey A. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
- 85', Gueye D. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
- 85', Voyer H. ↓, Cossier I. ↑,
- 85', Kandil N. ↓, Mlakar J. ↑,
- 90+6', Monconduit T. 🟨,
- 90+7', 3 - 4, Cossier I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Amiens
25.8% | Draw
28.1% | Le Mans
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Amiens - Le Mans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↑
(3.58) |
3.32 ↓
(3.33) |
2.03
(2.03) |
7.1%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Amiens - Le Mans?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Le Mans (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Le Mans will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
- Amiens is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Le Mans has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Le Mans will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Amiens: Alvero S.
(Red Card)
Appiah A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kaiboue K.
(Injury)
Lobry V.
(Knee Injury)
Manitu M.
(Inactive)
Roussillon J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Le Mans: Eyoum T.
(Injury)
Gomes M.
(Ankle Injury)
Rossignol M.
(Inactive)
Vercruysse J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Le Mans?
Amiens has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Amiens?
Le Mans has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Le Mans were as follows:
05.12.2025
Le Mans
-
Amiens
1:0
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
