Result
4:2
14/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 23
- Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (232/315) | 74% (277/374) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (232/315) | 74% (277/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (14/48) | 50% (35/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (47/92) | 52% (51/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -1.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Buades L. ⚽, Colas E. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Jullien C. ⚽, Mbuku N. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Buades L. ↓, Ribelin A. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Pays N. ⚽,
- 60', 3 - 1, Issoufou Y. ⚽, Pays N. (A),
- 61', Quarshie E. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
- 61', Rabillard A. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
- 67', Lauray A. 🟨,
- 71', Mbuku N. ↓, Sishuba A. ↑,
- 71', Bourabaa A. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
- 71', Lauray A. ↓, Bretelle L. ↑,
- 82', Issoufou Y. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
- 83', Pays N. ↓, Molebe E. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 1, Mendy A. ⚽, Chennahi T. (A),
- 87', 4 - 2, Gueye D. ⚽, Harhouz W. (A),
- 90+6', Calodat L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Montpellier
40.6% | Draw
31% | Le Mans
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Montpellier - Le Mans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.26) |
3.03 ↓
(3.12) |
3.28 ↑
(3.22) |
6.7%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Le Mans?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Le Mans will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Le Mans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Montpellier has had a series of away games.
- Montpellier will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Montpellier: El Hannach N.
(Yellow Cards)
Mouanga Y.
(Injury)
Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Le Mans: Gomes M.
(Ankle Injury)
Harhouz W.
(Leg Injury)
Ribelin A.
(Inactive)
Robin M.
(Injury)
Vercruysse J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montpellier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Le Mans?
Montpellier has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Montpellier?
Le Mans has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Le Mans were as follows:
18.08.2025
Le Mans
-
Montpellier
1:2
Latest results of Montpellier
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
