Result
0:0
16/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie A - Round 25
- Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 2, New World Sport App |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Israel | ONE Sport 2 |
 Italy | 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 4 |
 Maldives | ICE Sports |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport |
 United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports 2 Premium |
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (408/486) | 81% (306/376) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 77% (75/97) | 69% (81/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 35% (7/20) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 46% (6/13) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Izzo A. 🟨,
- 35', Pereira P. 🟨,
- 37', Pierotti S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Mota D. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
- 65', Ciurria P. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
- 69', Pierret B. ↓, Ramadani Y. ↑,
- 74', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
- 76', Guilbert F. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
- 79', D'Ambrosio D. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,
- 79', Ganvoula S. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
- 89', Helgason T. J. ↓, Rebic A. ↑,
- 89', Pierotti S. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
- 90', Urbanski K. ↓, Martins K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monza
34% | Draw
31.4% | Lecce
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monza's form might have worsened.Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lecce's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lecce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monza - Lecce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↑
(2.21) |
3.04 ↓
(3.3) |
2.77 ↓
(3.43) |
4.6%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Monza - Lecce?
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 12 - 26.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 14 - 31.1%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 42.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.8% – 56.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 0.
- Monza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Lecce is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Monza: Gagliardini R.
(Thigh Injury)
Pessina M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Lecce: Gonzalez J.
(Chest Injury)
Marchwinski F.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Monza: Akpa Akpro J.
(Injury)
Birindelli S.
(Thigh Injury)
D'Ambrosio D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lecce: Banda L.
(Broken ankle)
Gaspar K.
(Knee Injury)
Helgason T. J.
(Abdominal strain)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Monza won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Lecce?
Monza has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Monza?
Lecce has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Lecce were as follows:
15.12.2024
Lecce
-
Monza
2:1
27.04.2024
Lecce
-
Monza
1:1
17.09.2023
Monza
-
Lecce
1:1
28.05.2023
Monza
-
Lecce
0:1
11.09.2022
Lecce
-
Monza
1:1
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 62:21 | 41 | 64 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 41:20 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Napoli | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:27 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 34:16 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Juventus | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 43:25 | 18 | 46 |
| 6 | Como | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 41:19 | 22 | 45 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 8 | Bologna | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 | Lazio | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 26:25 | 1 | 34 |
| 11 | Udinese | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 | Parma | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 32 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Genoa | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:37 | -5 | 27 |
| 15 | Torino | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 25:47 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 24 |
| 18 | Lecce | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 26 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 20:43 | -23 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 26 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 19:46 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
