Pisa vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
01/05/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 35
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, ZAP
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.141.14
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
74
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
61
Passes
78% (308/395)72% (205/286)
Yellow cards
42
Expected goals (xG)
2.141.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.501.56
Total shots
177
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
136
Shots outside the box
41
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
2520
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free kicks
1315
Passes
78% (308/395)72% (205/286)
Long passes
37% (19/52)26% (10/38)
Passes in final third
66% (59/90)63% (63/100)
Crosses
47% (9/19)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.64
Throw ins
1920
Fouls
1513
Tackles
61% (11/18)43% (6/14)
Duels won
5655
Clearances
1731
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
36
xGOT faced
1.561.50
Goals prevented
-0.440.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Caracciolo Ant. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Banda L. , Cheddira W. (A),
  • 56', 1 - 1, Leris M. ,
  • 61', Aebischer M. 🟨,
  • 64', Angori S. , Toure I. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Cheddira W. , Pierotti S. (A),
  • 66', Cheddira W. 🟨,
  • 70', Vural I. , Piccinini G. ,
  • 70', Stojilkovic F. , Meister H. ,
  • 71', Banda L. , Jean G. ,
  • 71', Cheddira W. , Camarda F. ,
  • 81', Bozhinov R. , Cuadrado J. ,
  • 81', Akinsanmiro E. , Durosinmi R. ,
  • 82', Durosinmi R. 🟨,
  • 88', Pierotti S. 🟨,
  • 90', Meister H. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Pierotti S. , Gandelman O. ,

Chances of winning


Pisa
28.4%
Draw
32.2%
Lecce
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 30.7% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 30.9% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pisa's form might have worsened.
  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lecce's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pisa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lecce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pisa - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (2.56)
    2.95
    (3.09)
    2.43
    (2.93)
    4.8%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Pisa - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 2 - 5.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 21 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 34.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 43.8%76.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Pisa (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 2.
    • Pisa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lecce's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lecce could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pisa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pisa - Lecce were as follows:
    12.12.2025 Lecce - Pisa 1:0
    Latest results of Pisa
    25.04.2026 Parma - Pisa 1:0
    19.04.2026 Pisa - Genoa 1:2
    10.04.2026 Roma - Pisa 3:0
    05.04.2026 Pisa - Torino 0:1
    22.03.2026 Como - Pisa 5:0
    Latest results of Lecce
    25.04.2026 Verona - Lecce 0:0
    20.04.2026 Lecce - Fiorentina 1:1
    12.04.2026 Bologna - Lecce 2:0
    06.04.2026 Lecce - Atalanta 0:3
    22.03.2026 Roma - Lecce 1:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter ✔ 35264582:315182
    2Napoli35217752:331970
    3AC Milan351910648:291967
    4Juventus351811658:302865
    5Como351711759:283162
    6AS Roma341941148:291961
    7Atalanta351413847:321555
    8Bologna351471442:41149
    9Sassuolo351471443:44-149
    10Lazio3412121037:33448
    11Udinese351381443:46-347
    12Parma3510121325:42-1742
    13Torino351181639:58-1941
    14Genoa3510101540:48-840
    15Cagliari359101636:49-1337
    16Fiorentina348131338:45-737
    17Lecce35881924:47-2332
    18Cremonese346101826:51-2528
    19Verona ✔ 353112124:57-3320
    20Pisa ✔ 352122125:63-3818

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Verona is Relegated to Serie B
    Pisa is Relegated to Serie B