Result
2:3
20/04/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS
- Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | BTV Action |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Sport |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport |
 Germany | RTL |
 Netherlands | ESPN |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
70.7% | Draw
18.2% | Lech Poznań
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Fiorentina - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↑
(1.31) |
5.22 ↑
(5.21) |
8.68 ↓
(9.05) |
5.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 24 - 80%). Lech will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 65.7% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-1.
- Fiorentina has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a very good chance of semis (>99%), a good chance of final (66%), a chance of win league (40%).
- Lech has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a very small chance of semis (<1%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 60, very big importance 100, big match rating 80. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Fiorentina is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Lech is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Fiorentina is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Amrabat S.
(Injury)
Brekalo J.
(Injury)
Ikone J.
(Injury)
Sirigu S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Lech: Salamon B.
(Doping)
Szymczak F.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lech: Dagerstal F.
(Injury)
Karlstrom J.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.3.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Lech Poznań?
Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Fiorentina?
Lech Poznań has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Lech Poznań were as follows:
13.04.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Fiorentina
1:4
Latest results of Fiorentina
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
