Fiorentina vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Fiorentina - Lech Poznań
Result
2:3
20/04/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport
germanyGermanyRTL
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBT Sport

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
70.7%
Draw
18.2%
Lech Poznań
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.6% 18% 10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75% 17.2% 9.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Fiorentina - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.31)
    5.18
    (5.21)
    8.69
    (9.05)
    5.4%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 24 - 80%). Lech will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 65.7%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-1.
    • Fiorentina has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a very good chance of semis (>99%), a good chance of final (66%), a chance of win league (40%).
    • Lech has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a very small chance of semis (<1%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 60, very big importance 100, big match rating 80. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Fiorentina is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Lech is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Fiorentina is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Amrabat S. (Injury) Brekalo J. (Injury) Ikone J. (Injury) Sirigu S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Lech: Salamon B. (Doping) Szymczak F. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lech: Dagerstal F. (Injury) Karlstrom J. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.3.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    13.04.2023 Lech Poznań - Fiorentina 1:4
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    17.04.2023 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:1
    13.04.2023 Lech Poznań - Fiorentina 1:4
    08.04.2023 Fiorentina - Spezia 1:1
    05.04.2023 Cremonese - Fiorentina 0:2
    01.04.2023 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 0:1
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

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