Result
0:1
05/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 11
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (308/380) | 83% (433/519) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (308/380) | 83% (433/519) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (24/49) | 52% (27/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (63/109) | 74% (86/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 0 - 1, Fiabema B. ⚽, Jagiello F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Kozubal A. 🟨,
- 59', Moutinho J. 🟨,
- 60', Kowalczyk M. ↓, Milewski S. ↑,
- 67', Fiabema B. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
- 67', Gumny R. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
- 67', Jagiello F. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 67', Moutinho J. ↓, Gurgul M. ↑,
- 67', Markovic E. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
- 67', Shkurin I. ↓, Rosolek M. ↑,
- 74', Galan B. 🟨,
- 84', Bengtsson L. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
- 90+2', Czerwinski A. ↓, Blad A. ↑,
- 90+2', Galan B. ↓, Rogala G. ↑,
- 90+3', Ishak M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
GKS Katowice
27.7% | Draw
26.3% | Lech Poznań
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(3.52) |
3.66 ↓
(3.8) |
2.09 ↑
(1.93) |
3.5%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lech Poznań will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 8).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- GKS Katowice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Paluszek A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A.
(Thigh Injury)
Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Palma L.
(Red Card)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, GKS Katowice won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Lech Poznań?
GKS Katowice has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against GKS Katowice?
Lech Poznań has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań were as follows:
18.05.2025
GKS Katowice
-
Lech Poznań
2:2
23.11.2024
Lech Poznań
-
GKS Katowice
2:0
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
