GKS Katowice vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań
Result
0:1
05/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 11
  • Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaFOX Sports 2
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.93
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
81% (308/380)83% (433/519)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.470.26
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
81% (308/380)83% (433/519)
Long passes
49% (24/49)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
58% (63/109)74% (86/116)
Crosses
35% (8/23)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.60
Throw-ins
1015
Fouls
1517
Tackles
65% (11/17)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5049
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.260.47
Goals prevented
-0.740.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45', 0 - 1, Fiabema B. , Jagiello F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Kozubal A. 🟨,
  • 59', Moutinho J. 🟨,
  • 60', Kowalczyk M. , Milewski S. ,
  • 67', Fiabema B. , Ismaheel T. ,
  • 67', Gumny R. , Pereira J. ,
  • 67', Jagiello F. , Agnero Y. ,
  • 67', Moutinho J. , Gurgul M. ,
  • 67', Markovic E. , Wedrychowski M. ,
  • 67', Shkurin I. , Rosolek M. ,
  • 74', Galan B. 🟨,
  • 84', Bengtsson L. , Lisman K. ,
  • 90+2', Czerwinski A. , Blad A. ,
  • 90+2', Galan B. , Rogala G. ,
  • 90+3', Ishak M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


GKS Katowice
27.7%
Draw
26.3%
Lech Poznań
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 24.7% 48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 24.8% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (3.52)
    3.66
    (3.8)
    2.09
    (1.93)
    3.5%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 8).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • GKS Katowice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in GKS Katowice: Paluszek A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Thigh Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Palma L. (Red Card) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, GKS Katowice won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    18.05.2025 GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań 2:2
    23.11.2024 Lech Poznań - GKS Katowice 2:0
    Latest results of GKS Katowice
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia1173123:131024
    2Gornik Zabrze1272319:10923
    3Cracovia1163220:12821
    4Wisla Plock1163215:8721
    5Korona Kielce1254316:11519
    6Lech Poznan1154220:18219
    7Zaglebie1144324:17716
    8Widzew Lodz1251620:17316
    9Legia1143414:12215
    10Radomiak Radom1243522:22015
    11Rakow1142512:15-314
    12Pogon Szczecin1242618:22-414
    13Arka Gdynia123367:19-1212
    14GKS Katowice1232716:24-811
    15Motor Lublin1125413:21-811
    16Lechia Gdansk1243521:27-610
    17Termalica B-B1223716:24-89
    18Piast Gliwice101459:13-47

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1