Result
3:3
12/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 28
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Strike, Strike |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (474/540) | 82% (263/322) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 3.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (474/540) | 82% (263/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (14/37) | 43% (23/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (117/142) | 68% (63/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.30 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Markovic E. ⚽, Czerwinski A. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 48', 1 - 1, Jedrych A. (Own goal),
- 53', Walemark P. 🟨,
- 59', Rodriguez P. ↓, Jagiello F. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Shkurin I. ⚽,
- 68', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 68', Bengtsson L. ↓, Hakans D. ↑,
- 68', Walemark P. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
- 73', Milewski S. ↓, Lukasiak K. ↑,
- 73', Shkurin I. ↓, Zrelak A. ↑,
- 73', Galan B. ↓, Jirka E. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Hakans D. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
- 78', 2 - 3, Markovic E. ⚽,
- 80', Kozubal A. ↓, Ouma T. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 3, Palma L. ⚽, Gholizadeh A. (A),
- 90', Czerwinski A. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
- 90+3', Markovic E. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
60.9% | Draw
21% | GKS Katowice
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lech Poznań's performance.GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Lech Poznań - GKS Katowice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.59) |
4.44 ↑
(3.52) |
5.11 ↑
(4.6) |
7.5%
(13%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - GKS Katowice?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Lech (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Lech (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(35 of 36 users predict this - 97.22%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.85% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lech Poznań will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 13 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- Lech is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- GKS Katowice's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- GKS Katowice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lech is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lech: Douglas A.
(Ribs Injury)
Lisman K.
(Knee Injury)
Murawski R.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Bosch J.
(Pelvis Injury)
Brod A.
(Injury)
Kowalczyk M.
(Injury)
Marzec M.
(Knee Injury)
Paluszek A.
(Knee Injury)
Rejczyk F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lech: Jagiello F.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lech won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Lech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against GKS Katowice?
Lech Poznań has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Lech Poznań?
GKS Katowice has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - GKS Katowice were as follows:
05.10.2025
GKS Katowice
-
Lech Poznań
0:1
18.05.2025
GKS Katowice
-
Lech Poznań
2:2
23.11.2024
Lech Poznań
-
GKS Katowice
2:0
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
