Result
2:2
24/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (487/546) | 74% (231/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (487/546) | 74% (231/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (24/36) | 32% (19/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 88% (138/157) | 66% (62/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/35) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 2.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.38 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 29', 0 - 1, Pereira J. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
- 32', Kozubal A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Tudor F. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Palma L. ⚽, Kozubal A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Rondic I. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 46', Racovitan B. ↓, Ameyaw M. ↑,
- 53', Palma L. 🟥,
- 58', Arsenic Z. ↓, Repka O. ↑,
- 61', Repka O. 🟨,
- 63', Lisman K. ↓, Skrzypczak M. ↑,
- 63', Ismaheel T. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
- 64', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Barath P. ⚽, Bulat M. (A),
- 67', 2 - 2, Lopez I. (Pen),
- 76', Pereira J. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
- 89', Kozubal A. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 90+5', Adriano 🟨,
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
44.1% | Draw
28% | Lech Poznań
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2) |
3.37 ↓
(3.55) |
3.39 ↓
(3.41) |
6%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Lech will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Raków will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Raków won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Lech Poznań?
Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Raków Częstochowa?
Lech Poznań has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań were as follows:
14.02.2025
Lech Poznań
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:1
09.08.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Lech Poznań
0:0
03.03.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Lech Poznań
4:0
28.09.2023
Lech Poznań
-
Raków Częstochowa
4:1
14.05.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Lech Poznań
0:2
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Legia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Radomiak Radom | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Zaglebie | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
| 11 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Rakow | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Termalica B-B | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:26 | -7 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
