Lech Poznań vs Rapid Wien – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
4:1
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 15
germanyGermanyRTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 14, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 16
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.610.61
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
81% (353/438)80% (326/408)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.610.61
xG on target (xGOT)
3.770.68
Total shots
189
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2113
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
189
Passes
81% (353/438)80% (326/408)
Long passes
53% (30/57)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
71% (84/119)68% (68/100)
Crosses
17% (2/12)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.62
Throw-ins
2424
Fouls
918
Tackles
89% (8/9)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4337
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.683.77
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Palma L. ⚽,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Ishak M. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
  • 34', Ishak M. (Pen),
  • 45+2', 3 - 0, Ismaheel T. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Tilio M. ↑,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Radulovic A. ⚽, Horn J. (A),
  • 65', Grgic L. ↓, Ndzie M. ↑,
  • 65', M'Buyi C. ↓, Kara E. ↑,
  • 68', Milic A. ↓, Skrzypczak M. ↑,
  • 68', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
  • 68', Jagiello F. ↓, Kozubal A. ↑,
  • 76', Lisman K. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
  • 77', 4 - 1, Bengtsson L. ⚽, Ismaheel T. (A),
  • 80', Horn J. ↓, Demir F. ↑,
  • 80', Amane R. ↓, Schaub L. ↑,
  • 81', Ismaheel T. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
  • 84', Pereira J. 🟨,
  • 87', Ndzie M. 🟨,
  • 88', Ouma T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Fiabema B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
40.8%		Draw
26.4%		Rapid Wien
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 28% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 29.1% 32%

Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.33 ↓
(2.41)		 3.59 ↑
(3.34)		 2.9 ↑
(2.81)		 5.2%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Rapid will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 27.4% – 68.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Rapid (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Rapid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Thigh Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Rapid: Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) Borkeeiet T. (Knee Injury) Dahl P. (Muscle Injury) Groller A. (Knock) Marcelin J. (Hamstring Injury) Strunz O. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lech: Murawski R. (Leg Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    28.09.2025 Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2 ✺
    24.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań 2:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Lech Poznań 0:2 ✺
    12.09.2025 Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin 1:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Rapid Wien
    28.09.2025 Rapid Wien - Austria Wien 1:3 ✺
    21.09.2025 Grazer AK - Rapid Wien 1:1 ✺
    17.09.2025 Oberwart - Rapid Wien 1:2
    14.09.2025 Rapid Wien - Swarovski Tirol 4:1 ✺
    05.09.2025 Rapid Wien - Venezia 1:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor43109:2710
    2Strasbourg43107:4310
    3Celje43018:449
    4Shakhtar Donetsk43018:539
    5Mainz43014:229
    6Rakow42207:258
    7AEK Larnaca42205:058
    8Drita42204:228
    9Jagiellonia42204:228
    10AEK Athens42119:457
    11Sparta Prague42115:237
    12Rayo Vallecano42118:627
    13Lausanne42115:327
    14Sigma Olomouc42115:507
    15Univ. Craiova42113:307
    16Lech Poznan42029:636
    17Fiorentina42026:336
    18Crystal Palace42026:426
    19Zrinjski42027:8-16
    20AZ Alkmaar42024:7-36
    21Omonia41214:315
    22KuPS41214:315
    23Noah41214:405
    24Rijeka41212:205
    25Shkendija41122:4-24
    26Lincoln Red Imps41124:10-64
    27Dyn. Kyiv41036:7-13
    28Legia41033:5-23
    29Slovan Bratislava41034:7-33
    30Hamrun41033:6-33
    31Hacken40224:6-22
    32Breidablik40222:7-52
    33Aberdeen40223:10-72
    34Shelbourne40130:4-41
    35Shamrock Rovers40133:9-61
    36SK Rapid40042:12-100

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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