Lech Poznań vs Rapid Wien – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
4:1
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 15
germanyGermanyRTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 14, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 16
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.610.61
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
81% (353/438)80% (326/408)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.610.61
xG on target (xGOT)
3.770.68
Total shots
189
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2113
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
189
Passes
81% (353/438)80% (326/408)
Long passes
53% (30/57)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
71% (84/119)68% (68/100)
Crosses
17% (2/12)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.62
Throw-ins
2424
Fouls
918
Tackles
89% (8/9)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4337
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.683.77
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Palma L. ⚽,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Ishak M. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
  • 34', Ishak M. (Pen),
  • 45+2', 3 - 0, Ismaheel T. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Tilio M. ↑,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Radulovic A. ⚽, Horn J. (A),
  • 65', Grgic L. ↓, Ndzie M. ↑,
  • 65', M'Buyi C. ↓, Kara E. ↑,
  • 68', Milic A. ↓, Skrzypczak M. ↑,
  • 68', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
  • 68', Jagiello F. ↓, Kozubal A. ↑,
  • 76', Lisman K. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
  • 77', 4 - 1, Bengtsson L. ⚽, Ismaheel T. (A),
  • 80', Horn J. ↓, Demir F. ↑,
  • 80', Amane R. ↓, Schaub L. ↑,
  • 81', Ismaheel T. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
  • 84', Pereira J. 🟨,
  • 87', Ndzie M. 🟨,
  • 88', Ouma T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Fiabema B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
40.8%		Draw
26.4%		Rapid Wien
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 28% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 29.1% 32%

Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.33 ↓
(2.41)		 3.59 ↑
(3.34)		 2.9 ↑
(2.81)		 5.2%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Rapid will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 27.4% – 68.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Rapid (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Rapid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Thigh Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Rapid: Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) Borkeeiet T. (Knee Injury) Dahl P. (Muscle Injury) Groller A. (Knock) Marcelin J. (Hamstring Injury) Strunz O. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lech: Murawski R. (Leg Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    28.09.2025 Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2 ✺
    24.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań 2:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Lech Poznań 0:2 ✺
    12.09.2025 Lech Poznań - Zagłębie Lubin 1:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Rapid Wien
    28.09.2025 Rapid Wien - Austria Wien 1:3 ✺
    21.09.2025 Grazer AK - Rapid Wien 1:1 ✺
    17.09.2025 Oberwart - Rapid Wien 1:2
    14.09.2025 Rapid Wien - Swarovski Tirol 4:1 ✺
    05.09.2025 Rapid Wien - Venezia 1:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

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