Lech Poznań vs Rapid Wien – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien
Result
4:1
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 15
germanyGermanyRTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 14, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 16
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.610.61
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
81% (353/438)80% (326/408)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.610.61
xG on target (xGOT)
3.770.68
Total shots
189
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2113
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
189
Passes
81% (353/438)80% (326/408)
Long passes
53% (30/57)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
71% (84/119)68% (68/100)
Crosses
17% (2/12)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.62
Throw-ins
2424
Fouls
918
Tackles
89% (8/9)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4337
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.683.77
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Palma L. ,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Ishak M. , Palma L. (A),
  • 34', Ishak M. (Pen),
  • 45+2', 3 - 0, Ismaheel T. , Palma L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Wurmbrand N. , Tilio M. ,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Radulovic A. , Horn J. (A),
  • 65', Grgic L. , Ndzie M. ,
  • 65', M'Buyi C. , Kara E. ,
  • 68', Milic A. , Skrzypczak M. ,
  • 68', Ishak M. , Agnero Y. ,
  • 68', Jagiello F. , Kozubal A. ,
  • 76', Lisman K. , Bengtsson L. ,
  • 77', 4 - 1, Bengtsson L. , Ismaheel T. (A),
  • 80', Horn J. , Demir F. ,
  • 80', Amane R. , Schaub L. ,
  • 81', Ismaheel T. , Fiabema B. ,
  • 84', Pereira J. 🟨,
  • 87', Ndzie M. 🟨,
  • 88', Ouma T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Fiabema B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
40.8%
Draw
26.4%
Rapid Wien
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 28% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 29.1% 32%

Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.33
(2.41)
3.59
(3.34)
2.9
(2.81)
5.2%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Rapid Wien?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Rapid will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 27.4%68.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Rapid (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Rapid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Thigh Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Rapid: Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) Borkeeiet T. (Knee Injury) Dahl P. (Muscle Injury) Groller A. (Knock) Marcelin J. (Hamstring Injury) Strunz O. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lech: Murawski R. (Leg Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Latest results of Rapid Wien
    28.09.2025 Rapid Wien - Austria Wien 1:3
    21.09.2025 Grazer AK - Rapid Wien 1:1
    17.09.2025 Oberwart - Rapid Wien 1:2
    05.09.2025 Rapid Wien - Venezia 1:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor33007:079
    2Celje33007:259
    3Mainz33004:139
    4AEK Larnaca32105:057
    5Lausanne32105:147
    6Rayo Vallecano32107:437
    7Strasbourg32105:327
    8Fiorentina32016:246
    9Crystal Palace32015:236
    10Shakhtar Donetsk32016:426
    11KuPS31204:225
    12Rakow31203:125
    13Drita31203:215
    14Jagiellonia31203:215
    15AEK Athens FC31118:444
    16Sparta Prague31114:224
    17Noah31113:304
    18Rijeka31112:204
    19Sigma Olomouc31113:4-14
    20Univ. Craiova31112:3-14
    21Shkendija31112:3-14
    22Lincoln Red Imps31113:7-44
    23Lech Poznan31027:613
    24Dyn. Kyiv31026:513
    25Legia31023:4-13
    26Zrinjski31025:7-23
    27AZ Alkmaar31022:7-53
    28Hacken30213:4-12
    29Omonia30212:3-12
    30Shelbourne30120:2-21
    31Shamrock Rovers30122:7-51
    32Breidablik30120:5-51
    33Aberdeen30122:9-71
    34Slovan Bratislava30032:6-40
    35Hamrun30030:5-50
    36SK Rapid30031:8-70

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