Wisła Płock vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
0:0
30/11/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 17
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
croatiaCroatiaMAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.89
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
725
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
215
Passes
77% (234/303)89% (578/650)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.230.13
Total shots
725
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
213
Shots inside the Box
414
Shots outside the Box
311
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
215
Touches in opposition box
841
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
138
Passes
77% (234/303)89% (578/650)
Long passes
38% (20/53)70% (30/43)
Passes in final third
57% (31/54)82% (248/302)
Crosses
27% (3/11)24% (11/46)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.77
Throw-ins
1022
Fouls
813
Tackles
54% (7/13)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3832
Clearances
4312
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.130.23
Goals prevented
0.130.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Milic A. ↓, Skrzypczak M. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Palma L. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
  • 60', Agnero Y. ↓, Ishak M. ↑,
  • 63', Niarchos G. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
  • 64', Pacheco D. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
  • 72', Sekulski L. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
  • 74', Ishak M. 🟨,
  • 82', Nowak W. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
  • 83', Jagiello F. 🟨,
  • 87', Bengtsson L. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wisła Płock
30.9%		Draw
26.8%		Lech Poznań
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 28.4% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 27.4% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
    •

    Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.04 ↑
    (2.86)    		 3.51 ↑
    (3.14)    		 2.23 ↑
    (2.21)    		 6.2%
    (12.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Lech will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 42.8% – 90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 1.
    • Wisła Płock is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lech has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Wisła Płock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lech is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Wisła Płock: Borowski B. (Muscle Injury) Burek J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lech: Douglas A. (Inactive) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Murawski R. (Surgery) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:30. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań were as follows:
    03.02.2024 Lech Poznań - Wisła Płock 4:0
    11.02.2023 Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań 0:1
    Latest results of Wisła Płock
    21.11.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Płock 1:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock 1:1 ✺
    03.11.2025 Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0 ✺
    27.10.2025 Radomiak Radom - Wisła Płock 1:1 ✺
    20.10.2025 Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    27.11.2025 Lech Poznań - Lausanne-Sport 2:0 ✺
    23.11.2025 Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom 4:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Arka Gdynia - Lech Poznań 3:1 ✺
    06.11.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań 3:2 ✺
    02.11.2025 Lech Poznań - Motor Lublin 2:2 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan26128646:37944
    2Zaglebie26118740:301041
    3Jagiellonia26118743:34941
    4Gornik Zabrze26116936:32439
    5Wisla Plock26109728:25339
    6Rakow261151035:33238
    7Motor Lublin26910735:38-337
    8Korona Kielce261061033:29436
    9Cracovia2699831:28336
    10GKS Katowice261131235:35036
    11Piast Gliwice261051132:33-135
    12Lechia Gdansk26116951:48334
    13Pogon Szczecin261041236:40-434
    14Radomiak Radom2689942:40233
    15Legia26612830:31-130
    16Arka Gdynia26861225:44-1930
    17Widzew Lodz26851331:34-329
    18Termalica B-B26571430:48-1822

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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