Wisła Płock vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/11/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Orlen Stadion (Płock).

Ekstraklasa - Round 17
Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
World	Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.58	1.89
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
7	25
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	15
Passes
77% (234/303)	89% (578/650)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58	1.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.23	0.13
Total shots
7	25
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
3	10
Blocked Shots
2	13
Shots inside the Box
4	14
Shots outside the Box
3	11
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	15
Touches in opposition box
8	41
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
13	8
Passes
77% (234/303)	89% (578/650)
Long passes
38% (20/53)	70% (30/43)
Passes in final third
57% (31/54)	82% (248/302)
Crosses
27% (3/11)	24% (11/46)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	1.77
Throw-ins
10	22
Fouls
8	13
Tackles
54% (7/13)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
38	32
Clearances
43	12
Interceptions
12	6
Errors leading to shot
3	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.13	0.23
Goals prevented
0.13	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Milic A. ↓, Skrzypczak M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Palma L. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
60', Agnero Y. ↓, Ishak M. ↑,
63', Niarchos G. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
64', Pacheco D. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
72', Sekulski L. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
74', Ishak M. 🟨,
82', Nowak W. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
83', Jagiello F. 🟨,
87', Bengtsson L. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Wisła Płock
30.9%

Draw
26.8%

Lech Poznań
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.4%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

27.4%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.86)	3.51 ↑ (3.14)	2.23 ↑ (2.21)	6.2% (12.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Lech will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 1.
Wisła Płock is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lech has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Wisła Płock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Lech is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Wisła Płock: Borowski B. (Muscle Injury) Burek J. (Injury)
There will not play in Lech: Douglas A. (Inactive) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Murawski R. (Surgery) Walemark P. (Surgery)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:30. (average 0.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Lech Poznań?

Wisła Płock has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Wisła Płock?

Lech Poznań has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań were as follows:

03.02.2024 Lech Poznań - Wisła Płock 4:0

11.02.2023 Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań 0:1

Latest results of Wisła Płock

21.11.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Wisła Płock 1:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Motor Lublin - Wisła Płock 1:1 ✺

03.11.2025 Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0 ✺

27.10.2025 Radomiak Radom - Wisła Płock 1:1 ✺

20.10.2025 Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Lech Poznań

27.11.2025 Lech Poznań - Lausanne-Sport 2:0 ✺

23.11.2025 Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom 4:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Arka Gdynia - Lech Poznań 3:1 ✺

06.11.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań 3:2 ✺

02.11.2025 Lech Poznań - Motor Lublin 2:2 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	27	12	9	6	46:37	9	45
2	Zaglebie	28	12	8	8	42:33	9	44
3	Jagiellonia	28	11	10	7	44:35	9	43
4	Gornik Zabrze	28	12	7	9	40:33	7	43
5	Wisla Plock	28	11	9	8	29:26	3	42
6	Rakow	27	11	6	10	36:34	2	39
7	GKS Katowice	27	12	3	12	36:35	1	39
8	Motor Lublin	27	9	11	7	36:39	-3	38
9	Lechia Gdansk	28	12	6	10	55:51	4	37
10	Korona Kielce	28	10	7	11	36:34	2	37
11	Cracovia	28	9	10	9	33:33	0	37
12	Piast Gliwice	27	10	5	12	34:36	-2	35
13	Legia	28	7	13	8	33:32	1	34
14	Radomiak Radom	28	8	10	10	43:42	1	34
15	Arka Gdynia	28	9	7	12	30:47	-17	34
16	Pogon Szczecin	27	10	4	13	36:42	-6	34
17	Widzew Lodz	28	9	6	13	33:35	-2	33
18	Termalica B-B	28	6	7	15	33:51	-18	25

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1