Lechia Gdańsk vs Górnik Zabrze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
05/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 18
  • Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineSport 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.57
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
71% (176/248)81% (299/370)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.57
xG on target (xGOT)
2.821.12
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2626
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
414
Passes
71% (176/248)81% (299/370)
Long passes
35% (14/40)53% (31/58)
Passes in final third
52% (40/77)61% (44/72)
Crosses
14% (1/7)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.46
Throw-ins
2529
Fouls
144
Tackles
69% (9/13)62% (8/13)
Duels won
3443
Clearances
2023
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.122.82
Goals prevented
-0.88-2.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Bobcek T. , Cirkovic A. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Hellebrand P. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Sezonienko K. , Vojtko M. (A),
  • 45+8', 3 - 1, Sezonienko K. , Bobcek T. (A),
  • 45+13', Neugebauer T. 🟨,
  • 45+17', 3 - 2, Janicki R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Donio B. , Lukoszek K. ,
  • 54', Cirkovic A. 🟨,
  • 56', Kapic R. 🟨,
  • 60', 4 - 2, Bobcek T. , Cirkovic A. (A),
  • 68', Goh Young-Jun , Podolski L. ,
  • 69', Szczesniak K. , Kmet M. ,
  • 69', Cirkovic A. , Viunnyk B. ,
  • 69', Bobcek T. , Kurminowski D. ,
  • 71', 5 - 2, Viunnyk B. , Neugebauer T. (A),
  • 83', Khlan M. , Dziegielewski N. ,
  • 89', Sow O. , Abdullahi A. ,
  • 90+2', Dyachuk M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Dziegielewski N. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Rodin M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lechia Gdańsk
49%
Draw
25.8%
Górnik Zabrze
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 28.9% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 28.7% 37.5%

Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.93
(2.64)
3.65
(3.09)
3.74
(2.39)
6.1%
(12.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 56%94%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Lechia has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Lechia: Jaunzems A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M. (Leg Injury) Szala D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Massimo R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
    02.12.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze 1:3
    20.07.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1
    09.03.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze 1:2
    01.09.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Lechia Gdańsk 2:3
    04.02.2023 Górnik Zabrze - Lechia Gdańsk 1:1
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1893629:24530
    2Wisla Plock1778220:11929
    3Rakow1792626:22429
    4Jagiellonia1684428:20828
    5Cracovia1876525:21427
    6Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    7Lech Poznan1768329:26326
    8Zaglebie1767430:24625
    9Korona Kielce1765620:18223
    10Pogon Szczecin1863928:32-421
    11Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    12Lechia Gdansk1874737:37020
    13Widzew Lodz18621026:28-220
    14GKS Katowice1762923:28-520
    15Motor Lublin1748522:27-520
    16Legia1747619:20-119
    17Termalica B-B1854924:35-1119
    18Piast Gliwice1645718:19-117

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1