Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdańsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Radomiak Radom
41.3%
Draw
26.5%
Lechia Gdańsk
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 27.8% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 28% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radomiak Radom's performance.
  • Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radomiak Radom that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Radomiak Radom - Lechia Gdańsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.45)
    3.48
    (3.18)
    2.87
    (2.45)
    7.9%
    (13.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 4.
    • Radomiak is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Radomiak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lechia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
    03.11.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Radomiak Radom 1:2
    14.03.2025 Radomiak Radom - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1
    14.09.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Radomiak Radom 1:0
    25.02.2023 Lechia Gdańsk - Radomiak Radom 1:3
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan301410655:411452
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    4Rakow301371043:37646
    5Wisla Plock30129932:28445
    6GKS Katowice301351243:41244
    7Zaglebie301281043:36744
    8Radomiak Radom3010101046:43340
    9Motor Lublin30912939:45-639
    10Piast Gliwice301161339:40-139
    11Lechia Gdansk301271157:54338
    12Korona Kielce301081237:36138
    13Cracovia309111035:38-338
    14Pogon Szczecin301151440:45-538
    15Legia30813934:36-237
    16Widzew Lodz301061436:37-136
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B30771636:55-1928

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