Result
1:2
19/10/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 12
- Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (444/526) | 74% (235/318) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (444/526) | 74% (235/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 33% (14/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (121/157) | 53% (51/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.38 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Zhelizko I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kludka B. ↓, Olsson E. ↑,
- 48', Neugebauer T. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 1, Barkovskiy G. ⚽, Sanca L. (A),
- 54', Kapic R. 🟨,
- 63', Cirkovic A. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
- 64', Neugebauer T. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
- 68', Boisgard Q. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
- 68', Jirka E. ↓, Chrapek M. ↑,
- 77', Czerwinski J. 🟨,
- 78', Drapinski I. 🟨,
- 83', Sanca L. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Bobcek T. ⚽,
- 90+6', Bobcek T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Piast Gliwice
41.2% | Draw
28.4% | Lechia Gdańsk
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piast Gliwice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Piast Gliwice - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.06) |
3.3 ↓
(3.44) |
3.13 ↓
(3.44) |
5.3%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Lechia will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piast: 41.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Lechia (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 3.
- In recent matches, Piast has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lechia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Piast could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Piast: Dalmau A.
(Red Card)
Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
Tsarenko A.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Lechia: Vojtko M.
(Injury)
Zhelizko I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Piast won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Piast Gliwice has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Piast Gliwice?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Piast Gliwice - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
26.04.2025
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Piast Gliwice
3:1
25.10.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Lechia Gdańsk
3:3
02.07.2023
Piast Gliwice
-
Lechia Gdańsk
3:1
27.05.2023
Piast Gliwice
-
Lechia Gdańsk
0:1
13.11.2022
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Piast Gliwice
1:3
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
