Result
1:1
03/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 11
- Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/449) | 79% (271/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (382/449) | 79% (271/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (18/42) | 39% (22/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (48/85) | 69% (67/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 4% (1/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Sezonienko K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 1, Kaminski M. ⚽,
- 59', Sezonienko K. 🟨,
- 59', Salvador I. 🟨,
- 61', Nastic B. ↓, Lecoeuche Q. ↑,
- 61', Salvador I. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
- 61', Djalo M. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
- 67', Juric D. 🟨,
- 74', Juric D. ↓, Sekulski L. ↑,
- 83', Cirkovic A. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
- 83', Pacheco D. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lechia Gdańsk
38.2% | Draw
29.2% | Wisła Płock
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.35) |
3.22 ↓
(3.6) |
2.87 ↑
(2.67) |
7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Wisła Płock (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Wisła Płock (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 25%). Wisła Płock (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.
- In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Wisła Płock has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Lechia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lechia: Kalahur M.
(Red Card)
Mena C.
(Yellow Cards)
Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M.
(Knee Injury)
Wieckowski M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lechia: Pllana B.
(Inactive)
Tsarenko A.
(Groin Injury)
Zhelizko I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wisła Płock: Jimenez J.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.6:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Wisła Płock?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Wisła Płock has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock were as follows:
12.07.2024
Wisła Płock
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:1
17.02.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Wisła Płock
3:1
04.08.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:1
29.01.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Wisła Płock
1:0
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
