Lechia Gdańsk vs Wisła Płock – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock
Result
1:1
03/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 11
  • Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
ukraineUkraineSport 2
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
worldWorldSport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.47
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
85% (382/449)79% (271/344)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.740.24
Total shots
129
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
117
Passes
85% (382/449)79% (271/344)
Long passes
43% (18/42)39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
56% (48/85)69% (67/97)
Crosses
28% (5/18)4% (1/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.27
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
711
Tackles
50% (3/6)85% (11/13)
Duels won
3841
Clearances
2635
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.241.74
Goals prevented
-0.760.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Sezonienko K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Kaminski M. ,
  • 59', Sezonienko K. 🟨,
  • 59', Salvador I. 🟨,
  • 61', Nastic B. , Lecoeuche Q. ,
  • 61', Salvador I. , Pomorski K. ,
  • 61', Djalo M. , Custovic K. ,
  • 67', Juric D. 🟨,
  • 74', Juric D. , Sekulski L. ,
  • 83', Cirkovic A. , Viunnyk B. ,
  • 83', Pacheco D. , Mijuskovic N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lechia Gdańsk
38.2%
Draw
29.2%
Wisła Płock
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 25.7% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 25.2% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.35)
    3.22
    (3.6)
    2.87
    (2.67)
    7%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Wisła Płock (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.
    • In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Wisła Płock has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Lechia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lechia: Kalahur M. (Red Card) Mena C. (Yellow Cards) Sarnavskyi B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M. (Knee Injury) Wieckowski M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lechia: Pllana B. (Inactive) Tsarenko A. (Groin Injury) Zhelizko I. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wisła Płock: Jimenez J. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.6:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock were as follows:
    12.07.2024 Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk 1:1
    17.02.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock 3:1
    04.08.2023 Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk 1:1
    29.01.2023 Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Płock 1:0
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Latest results of Wisła Płock
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1382321:111026
    2Jagiellonia1273224:15924
    3Cracovia1263321:14721
    4Wisla Plock1163215:8721
    5Lech Poznan1255220:18220
    6Korona Kielce1354416:12419
    7Zaglebie1245325:18717
    8Rakow1252514:16-217
    9Pogon Szczecin1352620:23-317
    10Legia1244414:12216
    11Widzew Lodz1351720:20016
    12Radomiak Radom1243522:22015
    13Arka Gdynia134369:20-1115
    14Motor Lublin1235416:21-514
    15GKS Katowice1342717:24-714
    16Lechia Gdansk1343622:29-710
    17Termalica B-B1324717:25-810
    18Piast Gliwice1114610:15-57

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1