Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United
Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 46
  • Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan
portugalPortugalSport TV6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.492.62
Ball Possession
23%77%
Total shots
625
Shots on target
04
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
49% (85/174)90% (538/600)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.492.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.18
Total shots
625
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
513
Blocked Shots
18
Shots inside the Box
418
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1141
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
816
Passes
49% (85/174)90% (538/600)
Long passes
29% (19/65)66% (27/41)
Passes in final third
30% (18/61)83% (174/209)
Crosses
38% (3/8)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.231.86
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
168
Tackles
62% (8/13)100% (10/10)
Duels won
4460
Clearances
2528
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.180.00
Goals prevented
-0.820.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Byram S. (Own goal),
  • 44', Tijani M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Gnonto W. ,
  • 66', Roberts C. , Boateng M. ,
  • 67', Tijani M. , Wright C. ,
  • 69', Byram S. , Wober M. ,
  • 78', Szucs K. , Katic N. ,
  • 79', Tanaka A. , Bamford P. ,
  • 79', Edwards J. , Sorinola M. ,
  • 79', Aaronson B. , Ramazani L. ,
  • 81', Bundu M. , Baidoo M. ,
  • 84', Palsson V. 🟨,
  • 85', Piroe J. 🟨,
  • 90', Bogle J. , Joseph M. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Solomon M. ,
  • 90+2', Solomon M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Plymouth Argyle
8.7%
Draw
15.7%
Leeds United
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.3% 17.5% 72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.9% 16.7% 75.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.06
    (9.17)
    5.96
    (5.39)
    1.26
    (1.3)
    5.3%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Leeds will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leeds (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Leeds is Qualified for Premier League
    • In recent matches, Plymouth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leeds is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Leeds is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Sorinola M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Leeds: Struijk P. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Katic N. (Injury) Obafemi M. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leeds: James D. (Muscle Injury) Rothwell J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.6:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle 3:0
    17.02.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United 0:2
    06.02.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United 1:4
    27.01.2024 Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle 1:1
    11.11.2023 Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle 2:1
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Latest results of Leeds United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke22006:156
    2Middlesbrough22004:046
    3West Brom22004:226
    4Bristol City31205:235
    5Coventry21105:324
    6Birmingham21103:214
    7Hull21103:214
    8Preston21103:214
    9Southampton21103:214
    10Charlton21101:014
    11Leicester21013:303
    12Norwich21013:303
    13Portsmouth21012:203
    14Watford21012:203
    15Swansea21011:103
    16Millwall21012:4-23
    17Ipswich20202:202
    18QPR20112:3-11
    19Derby30125:9-41
    20Wrexham20023:5-20
    21Oxford Utd20022:4-20
    22Blackburn20021:3-20
    23Sheffield Utd20021:5-40
    24Sheffield Wed20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One