Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Home Park (Plymouth).

Championship - Round 46
Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Hungary	Net4+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sport TV6
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	2.62
Ball Possession
23%	77%
Total shots
6	25
Shots on target
0	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	7
Passes
49% (85/174)	90% (538/600)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	2.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	1.18
Total shots
6	25
Shots on target
0	4
Shots off target
5	13
Blocked Shots
1	8
Shots inside the Box
4	18
Shots outside the Box
2	7
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
11	41
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
8	16
Passes
49% (85/174)	90% (538/600)
Long passes
29% (19/65)	66% (27/41)
Passes in final third
30% (18/61)	83% (174/209)
Crosses
38% (3/8)	28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.23	1.86
Throw-ins
17	17
Fouls
16	8
Tackles
62% (8/13)	100% (10/10)
Duels won
44	60
Clearances
25	28
Interceptions
15	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
1.18	0.00
Goals prevented
-0.82	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Byram S. (Own goal),
44', Tijani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, Gnonto W. ⚽,
66', Roberts C. ↓, Boateng M. ↑,
67', Tijani M. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
69', Byram S. ↓, Wober M. ↑,
78', Szucs K. ↓, Katic N. ↑,
79', Tanaka A. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
79', Edwards J. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
79', Aaronson B. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
81', Bundu M. ↓, Baidoo M. ↑,
84', Palsson V. 🟨,
85', Piroe J. 🟨,
90', Bogle J. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Solomon M. ⚽,
90+2', Solomon M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Plymouth Argyle
8.7%

Draw
15.7%

Leeds United
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.3%

17.5%

72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.9%

16.7%

75.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.06 ↑ (9.17)	5.96 ↑ (5.39)	1.26 ↓ (1.3)	5.3% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Leeds will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leeds (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Leeds is Qualified for Premier League
In recent matches, Plymouth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Leeds is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Leeds is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Sorinola M. (Injury)
There will not play in Leeds: Struijk P. (Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Plymouth: Katic N. (Injury) Obafemi M. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Leeds: James D. (Muscle Injury) Rothwell J. (Calf Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.6:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Leeds United?

Plymouth Argyle has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Leeds United won against Plymouth Argyle?

Leeds United has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United were as follows:

02.11.2024 Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle 3:0

17.02.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United 0:2

06.02.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United 1:4

27.01.2024 Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle 1:1

11.11.2023 Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle 2:1

Latest results of Plymouth Argyle

26.04.2025 Preston North End - Plymouth Argyle 1:2 ✺

21.04.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Coventry City 3:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle 2:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield United 2:1 ✺

09.04.2025 Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Leeds United

28.04.2025 Leeds United - Bristol City 4:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Leeds United - Stoke City 6:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Oxford United - Leeds United 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Leeds United - Preston North End 2:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Middlesbrough - Leeds United 0:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	8	5	3	0	12:5	7	18
2	Coventry	8	4	4	0	22:7	15	16
3	Stoke	8	4	2	2	10:5	5	14
4	West Brom	8	4	2	2	9:7	2	14
5	Bristol City	8	3	4	1	14:8	6	13
6	Leicester	8	3	4	1	10:7	3	13
7	Preston	8	3	4	1	9:7	2	13
8	Swansea	8	3	3	2	9:7	2	12
9	Charlton	8	3	3	2	8:6	2	12
10	QPR	8	3	3	2	11:13	-2	12
11	Birmingham	8	3	2	3	7:10	-3	11
12	Millwall	8	3	2	3	6:12	-6	11
13	Ipswich	7	2	4	1	12:7	5	10
14	Southampton	8	2	4	2	10:11	-1	10
15	Wrexham	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9
16	Watford	8	2	3	3	9:10	-1	9
17	Portsmouth	8	2	3	3	7:9	-2	9
18	Hull	8	2	3	3	13:16	-3	9
19	Norwich	8	2	2	4	10:11	-1	8
20	Derby	8	1	4	3	10:14	-4	7
21	Oxford Utd	8	1	3	4	9:11	-2	6
22	Blackburn	7	2	0	5	6:10	-4	6
23	Sheffield Wed	8	1	3	4	8:15	-7	6
24	Sheffield Utd	8	1	0	7	3:15	-12	3

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One