Middlesbrough vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 43
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.942.20
Ball Possession
75%25%
Total shots
2218
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
85% (531/624)63% (130/207)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.942.20
xG on target (xGOT)
3.871.21
Total shots
2218
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
107
Shots inside the Box
1513
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
4526
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
128
Passes
85% (531/624)63% (130/207)
Long passes
48% (25/52)40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
82% (225/273)53% (40/75)
Crosses
24% (6/25)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.021.13
Fouls
812
Tackles
92% (11/12)54% (13/24)
Duels won
5049
Clearances Total
3145
Interceptions
213
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.213.87
Goals prevented
0.211.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Azaz F. ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Bundu M. ,
  • 45+2', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Hazard C. 🟨,
  • 62', Dijksteel A. , Fry D. ,
  • 72', Gyabi D. , Wright C. ,
  • 73', Forss M. , Iheanacho K. ,
  • 78', Bundu M. , Tijani M. ,
  • 88', Pleguezuelo J. , Puchacz T. ,
  • 89', Hardie R. , Obafemi M. ,
  • 89', Houghton J. , Boateng M. ,
  • 89', Whittaker M. , Burgzorg D. ,
  • 89', Iling Junior S. , Giles R. ,
  • 90+2', Edwards J. 🟥,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Conway T. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
69.8%
Draw
18.1%
Plymouth Argyle
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 19.7% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 19.1% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Middlesbrough's performance.
  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.47)
    5.24
    (4.81)
    7.93
    (6.08)
    4.6%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 44.1%94.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Middlesbrough (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Middlesbrough will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Middlesbrough is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Ankle Injury) Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Brynn S. (Muscle Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) Neto Borges (Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Talovierov M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.8:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough 3:3
    24.02.2024 Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle 0:2
    04.11.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough 3:3
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One