Middlesbrough vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 43
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.942.20
Ball Possession
75%25%
Total shots
2218
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
85% (531/624)63% (130/207)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.942.20
xG on target (xGOT)
3.871.21
Total shots
2218
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
107
Shots inside the Box
1513
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
4526
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
128
Passes
85% (531/624)63% (130/207)
Long passes
48% (25/52)40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
82% (225/273)53% (40/75)
Crosses
24% (6/25)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.021.13
Fouls
812
Tackles
92% (11/12)54% (13/24)
Duels won
5049
Clearances Total
3145
Interceptions
213
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.213.87
Goals prevented
0.211.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Azaz F. ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Bundu M. ,
  • 45+2', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Hazard C. 🟨,
  • 62', Dijksteel A. , Fry D. ,
  • 72', Gyabi D. , Wright C. ,
  • 73', Forss M. , Iheanacho K. ,
  • 78', Bundu M. , Tijani M. ,
  • 88', Pleguezuelo J. , Puchacz T. ,
  • 89', Hardie R. , Obafemi M. ,
  • 89', Houghton J. , Boateng M. ,
  • 89', Whittaker M. , Burgzorg D. ,
  • 89', Iling Junior S. , Giles R. ,
  • 90+2', Edwards J. 🟥,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Conway T. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
69.8%
Draw
18.1%
Plymouth Argyle
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 19.7% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 19.1% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Middlesbrough's performance.
  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.47)
    5.24
    (4.81)
    7.93
    (6.08)
    4.6%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 44.1%94.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Middlesbrough (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Middlesbrough will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Middlesbrough is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Ankle Injury) Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Brynn S. (Muscle Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) Neto Borges (Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Talovierov M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.8:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough 3:3
    24.02.2024 Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle 0:2
    04.11.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough 3:3
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One