Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 46
  • Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan
portugalPortugalSport TV6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.492.62
Ball Possession
23%77%
Total shots
625
Shots on target
04
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
49% (85/174)90% (538/600)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.492.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.18
Total shots
625
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
513
Blocked Shots
18
Shots inside the Box
418
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1141
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
816
Passes
49% (85/174)90% (538/600)
Long passes
29% (19/65)66% (27/41)
Passes in final third
30% (18/61)83% (174/209)
Crosses
38% (3/8)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.231.86
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
168
Tackles
62% (8/13)100% (10/10)
Duels won
4460
Clearances
2528
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.180.00
Goals prevented
-0.820.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Byram S. (Own goal),
  • 44', Tijani M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Gnonto W. ,
  • 66', Roberts C. , Boateng M. ,
  • 67', Tijani M. , Wright C. ,
  • 69', Byram S. , Wober M. ,
  • 78', Szucs K. , Katic N. ,
  • 79', Tanaka A. , Bamford P. ,
  • 79', Edwards J. , Sorinola M. ,
  • 79', Aaronson B. , Ramazani L. ,
  • 81', Bundu M. , Baidoo M. ,
  • 84', Palsson V. 🟨,
  • 85', Piroe J. 🟨,
  • 90', Bogle J. , Joseph M. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Solomon M. ,
  • 90+2', Solomon M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Plymouth Argyle
8.7%
Draw
15.7%
Leeds United
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.3% 17.5% 72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.9% 16.7% 75.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.06
    (9.17)
    5.96
    (5.39)
    1.26
    (1.3)
    5.3%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Leeds will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 25.1%83.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.75 - Plymouth (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leeds United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Leeds (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Leeds is Qualified for Premier League
    • In recent matches, Plymouth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leeds is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Leeds is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Hip Injury) Sorinola M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Leeds: Struijk P. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Katic N. (Injury) Obafemi M. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leeds: James D. (Muscle Injury) Rothwell J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.6:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle 3:0
    17.02.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United 0:2
    06.02.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United 1:4
    27.01.2024 Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle 1:1
    11.11.2023 Leeds United - Plymouth Argyle 2:1
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Latest results of Leeds United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich412112871:422975
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Southampton4220121073:502372
    5Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Portsmouth4212121843:57-1448
    20Blackburn4312121938:53-1548
    21West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One