Legia Warsaw vs Lechia Gdańsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Football Polish Ekstraklasa Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk
Result
2:1
21/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 29
  • Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.791.14
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
86% (326/381)78% (257/330)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.791.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.301.27
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
4512
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
87
Passes
86% (326/381)78% (257/330)
Long passes
59% (20/34)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
77% (120/156)61% (40/66)
Crosses
26% (8/31)56% (5/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.690.89
Fouls
78
Tackles
71% (12/17)61% (17/28)
Duels won
4451
Clearances Total
2533
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.272.30
Goals prevented
0.270.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', Khlan M. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Kapic R. ⚽,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Luquinhas ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Olsson E. 🟨,
  • 53', Shkurin I. (Pen),
  • 56', Khlan M. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
  • 70', Luquinhas ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
  • 70', Shkurin I. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
  • 82', Goncalves C. ↓, Szczepaniak M. ↑,
  • 82', Chodyna K. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
  • 88', Oyedele M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bobcek T. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Ziolkowski J. ⚽, Bichakhchyan V. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
60.4%		Draw
21.6%		Lechia Gdańsk
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 23.5% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 22.8% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
    •

    Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.55 ↓
    (1.55)    		 4.37 ↑
    (3.98)    		 5.25 ↓
    (5.71)    		 6.5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Lechia will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 65% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Legia won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Lechia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Legia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Legia: Gual M. (Muscle Injury) Kapustka B. (Knee Injury) Kobylak G. (Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Pankov R. (Yellow Cards) Sergio Barcia (Injury) Shkurin I. (Injury) Wszolek P. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Legia won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30:16 (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Legia won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:8 (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
    18.10.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Legia Warsaw 0:2
    06.07.2024 Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk 1:1
    24.06.2023 Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk 3:1
    20.05.2023 Lechia Gdańsk - Legia Warsaw 1:0
    08.11.2022 Lechia Gdańsk - Legia Warsaw 2:3
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    17.04.2025 Chelsea - Legia Warsaw 1:2 ✺
    13.04.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:1 ✺
    10.04.2025 Legia Warsaw - Chelsea 0:3 ✺
    06.04.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw 1:2 ✺
    02.04.2025 Ruch Chorzów - Legia Warsaw 0:5 ✺
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    14.04.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec 3:2 ✺
    04.04.2025 Widzew Łódź - Lechia Gdańsk 2:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:0 ✺
    14.03.2025 Radomiak Radom - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze 1:2 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia1173123:131024
    2Gornik Zabrze1272319:10923
    3Cracovia1263321:14721
    4Wisla Plock1163215:8721
    5Korona Kielce1354416:12419
    6Lech Poznan1154220:18219
    7Zaglebie1245325:18717
    8Pogon Szczecin1352620:23-317
    9Widzew Lodz1351720:20016
    10Legia1143414:12215
    11Radomiak Radom1243522:22015
    12Arka Gdynia134369:20-1115
    13Rakow1142512:15-314
    14Motor Lublin1235416:21-514
    15GKS Katowice1342717:24-714
    16Lechia Gdansk1243521:27-610
    17Termalica B-B1324717:25-810
    18Piast Gliwice1114610:15-57

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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