Result
2:1
21/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 29
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.79 | 1.14 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
86% (326/381) | 78% (257/330) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.79 | 1.14 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.30 | 1.27 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
45 | 12 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
86% (326/381) | 78% (257/330) |
Long passes |
---|
59% (20/34) | 45% (28/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (120/156) | 61% (40/66) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (8/31) | 56% (5/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.69 | 0.89 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (12/17) | 61% (17/28) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 51 |
Clearances Total |
---|
25 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.27 | 2.30 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.27 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', Khlan M. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Kapic R. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Luquinhas ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Olsson E. 🟨,
- 53', Shkurin I. (Pen),
- 56', Khlan M. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
- 70', Luquinhas ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
- 70', Shkurin I. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
- 82', Goncalves C. ↓, Szczepaniak M. ↑,
- 82', Chodyna K. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
- 88', Oyedele M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bobcek T. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Ziolkowski J. ⚽, Bichakhchyan V. (A),
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw 60.4% | Draw 21.6% | Lechia Gdańsk 18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↓ (1.55) |
4.37 ↑ (3.98) |
5.25 ↓ (5.71) |
6.5% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Lechia will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 65% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Legia won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Lechia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Legia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Legia: Gual M.
(Muscle Injury)
Kapustka B.
(Knee Injury)
Kobylak G.
(Injury)
Leszczynski J.
(Knee Injury)
Pankov R.
(Yellow Cards)
Sergio Barcia
(Injury)
Shkurin I.
(Injury)
Wszolek P.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Legia won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30:16 (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Legia won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:8 (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Legia Warsaw has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Legia Warsaw?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
18.10.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Legia Warsaw
0:2
06.07.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:1
24.06.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Lechia Gdańsk
3:1
20.05.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Legia Warsaw
1:0
08.11.2022
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Legia Warsaw
2:3
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
3 | Widzew Lodz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
4 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
5 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
6 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
7 | Termalica B-B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
8 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
9 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
10 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
14 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
15 | GKS Katowice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1