Result
2:2
22/11/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 16
- Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (363/462) | 76% (309/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (363/462) | 76% (309/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (21/49) | 40% (22/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (108/156) | 71% (73/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 54% (15/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', Kun P. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Zhelizko I. ⚽, Bobcek T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, Kapustka B. ⚽, Goncalves C. (A),
- 58', Neugebauer T. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
- 70', Sezonienko K. ↓, Cirkovic A. ↑,
- 75', Goncalves C. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 2, Cirkovic A. ⚽, Bobcek T. (A),
- 82', Chodyna K. 🟨,
- 85', Szymanski D. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
- 85', Chodyna K. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
- 85', Kun P. ↓, Vinagre R. ↑,
- 87', Krasniqi E. 🟨,
- 89', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
- 89', Bobcek T. ↓, Pllana B. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Urbanski W. ⚽, Kapustka B. (A),
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
60.7% | Draw
22.6% | Lechia Gdańsk
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.56) |
4.22 ↓
(4.28) |
5.55 ↑
(5.45) |
6.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.
- Legia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Legia is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Legia: Elitim J.
(Injury)
Nsame J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Reca A.
(Injury)
Urbanski K.
(Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Lechia: Jaunzems A.
(Muscle Injury)
Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Legia Warsaw has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Legia Warsaw?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
21.04.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Lechia Gdańsk
2:1
18.10.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Legia Warsaw
0:2
06.07.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:1
24.06.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Lechia Gdańsk
3:1
20.05.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Legia Warsaw
1:0
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
