Result
1:2
12/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 13 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 13 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (259/325) | 88% (545/618) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 75% (92/123) | 79% (81/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 27% (3/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 79% (15/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Morishita R. ⚽, Gual M. (A),
- 23', Bislimi U. 🟨,
- 29', Wszolek P. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Bottani M. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 65', Mahou H. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
- 72', Celhaka J. ↓, Sergio Barcia ↑,
- 74', 1 - 2, Hajdari A. ⚽,
- 78', Bottani M. ↓, Cimignani Y. ↑,
- 78', Belhadj M. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
- 82', Chodyna K. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
- 84', Kapustka B. 🟨,
- 88', Bislimi U. ↓, Mai L. ↑,
- 90+1', Pankov R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Pankov R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Gual M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Zanotti M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Luquinhas 🟨,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
51.8% | Draw
25% | Lugano
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Legia Warsaw - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.1) |
3.76 ↑
(3.05) |
4.05 ↑
(3.1) |
6.4%
(12.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lugano?
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 99.23%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Legia in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Legia have a series of guest games.
- Legia will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Legia: Augustyniak R.
(Injury)
Elitim J.
(Knee Injury)
Leszczynski J.
(Knee Injury)
Mustafaev R.
(Knee Injury)
Oyedele M.
(Ankle Injury)
Tobiasz K.
(Arm Injury)
Vinagre R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lugano: Babic B.
(Injury)
Ryter Y.
(Injury)
Saipi A.
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Lugano?
Legia Warsaw has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Legia Warsaw?
Lugano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Lugano were as follows:
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zrinjski | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Celje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mainz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Samsunspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Noah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Drita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Hacken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Shelbourne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Aberdeen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Rijeka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Omonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Legia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Hamrun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 28 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Dyn. Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Shkendija | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Univ. Craiova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | SK Rapid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Breidablik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
