Legia Warsaw vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Legia Warsaw - Lugano
Result
1:2
12/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 13
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 13
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport Player, RTS Sport Player, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.85
Ball Possession
34%66%
Goal Attempts
1216
Shots on Goal
211
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
42
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
12
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
91
Free Kicks
1615
Offsides
10
Fouls
1516
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
2013
Touches in the Opposition Box
2419
Passes
80% (259/325)88% (545/618)
Passes in the final third
75% (92/123)79% (81/103)
Crosses
9% (1/11)27% (3/11)
Tackles
50% (6/12)79% (15/19)
Clearances Total
1213
Interceptions
413

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Morishita R. , Gual M. (A),
  • 23', Bislimi U. 🟨,
  • 29', Wszolek P. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Bottani M. , Grgic A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', Mahou H. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 72', Celhaka J. , Sergio Barcia ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Hajdari A. ,
  • 78', Bottani M. , Cimignani Y. ,
  • 78', Belhadj M. , Doumbia O. ,
  • 82', Chodyna K. , Pekhart T. ,
  • 84', Kapustka B. 🟨,
  • 88', Bislimi U. , Mai L. ,
  • 90+1', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Gual M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Zanotti M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Luquinhas 🟨,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
51.8%
Draw
25%
Lugano
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29.1% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 27.6% 27.1%

Legia Warsaw - Lugano Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.82
(2.1)
3.76
(3.05)
4.05
(3.1)
6.4%
(12.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Lugano?
  • Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.71%99.23%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Legia in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lugano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Legia have a series of guest games.
    • Legia will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Legia: Augustyniak R. (Injury) Elitim J. (Knee Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury) Oyedele M. (Ankle Injury) Tobiasz K. (Arm Injury) Vinagre R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lugano: Babic B. (Injury) Ryter Y. (Injury) Saipi A. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Lugano
    07.12.2024 Luzern - Lugano 1:4
    04.12.2024 Yverdon - Lugano 0:2
    01.12.2024 Servette - Lugano 3:0
    28.11.2024 Lugano - Gent 2:0
    24.11.2024 Lugano - Zürich 4:1
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
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    6Rayo Vallecano32107:437
    7Strasbourg32105:327
    8Fiorentina32016:246
    9Crystal Palace32015:236
    10Shakhtar Donetsk32016:426
    11KuPS31204:225
    12Rakow31203:125
    13Drita31203:215
    14Jagiellonia31203:215
    15AEK Athens FC31118:444
    16Sparta Prague31114:224
    17Noah31113:304
    18Rijeka31112:204
    19Sigma Olomouc31113:4-14
    20Univ. Craiova31112:3-14
    21Shkendija31112:3-14
    22Lincoln Red Imps31113:7-44
    23Lech Poznan31027:613
    24Dyn. Kyiv31026:513
    25Legia31023:4-13
    26Zrinjski31025:7-23
    27AZ Alkmaar31022:7-53
    28Hacken30213:4-12
    29Omonia30212:3-12
    30Shelbourne30120:2-21
    31Shamrock Rovers30122:7-51
    32Breidablik30120:5-51
    33Aberdeen30122:9-71
    34Slovan Bratislava30032:6-40
    35Hamrun30030:5-50
    36SK Rapid30031:8-70

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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