Result
3:3
10/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 24
- Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 2.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 16 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 24 | 49 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (288/383) | 80% (340/425) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 62% (73/118) | 74% (133/179) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 35% (8/23) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 60% (9/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Gual M. ⚽,
- 26', Wszolek P. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Van Hoeven B. ⚽, Wojcik F. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Wszolek P. ↓, Pankov R. ↑,
- 48', Labojko J. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 2, Chodyna K. ⚽,
- 61', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
- 62', Chodyna K. ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
- 64', Pankov R. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 2, Mraz S. ⚽, Wolski B. (A),
- 71', 2 - 3, Morishita R. ⚽, Augustyniak R. (A),
- 74', Gual M. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
- 75', Caliskaner K. ↓, Sefer A. ↑,
- 76', Ceglarz P. ↓, Ndiaye M. J. ↑,
- 76', Van Hoeven B. ↓, Krol M. ↑,
- 81', Wojcik F. 🟨,
- 83', Wolski B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 89', Vinagre R. ↓, Kun P. ↑,
- 89', Elitim J. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
- 90', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
- 90+9', Kovacevic V. 🟨,
- 90+10', Mraz S. (Pen),
- 90+10', 3 - 3, Mraz S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Motor Lublin
26.3% | Draw
25.7% | Legia Warsaw
48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-3%)
Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.56 ↑
(3.25) |
3.65 ↑
(3.5) |
1.96 ↓
(2.1) |
6.3%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Legia will win (votes: 12 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 30% – 70%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 5).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Legia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Legia will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Motor: Brkic I.
(Knee Injury)
Kruk K.
(Knee Injury)
Najemski A.
(Yellow Cards)
Tratnik G.
(Finger Injury)
- There will not play in Legia: Leszczynski J.
(Knee Injury)
Shkurin I.
(Inactive)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Motor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:13 (average 1.5:3.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Motor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Legia Warsaw?
Motor Lublin has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Motor Lublin?
Legia Warsaw has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
01.09.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Motor Lublin
5:2
10.12.2022
Legia Warsaw
-
Motor Lublin
4:0
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Termalica B-B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Legia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Rakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Zaglebie | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | Korona Kielce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:17 | -6 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
