Motor Lublin vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw
Result
3:3
10/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 24
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.462.67
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1529
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
810
Blocked Shots
116
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
1216
Shots outside the Box
313
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Free Kicks
1312
Offsides
20
Fouls
1213
Yellow Cards
24
Throw-ins
1816
Touches in the Opposition Box
2449
Passes
75% (288/383)80% (340/425)
Passes in the final third
62% (73/118)74% (133/179)
Crosses
33% (5/15)35% (8/23)
Tackles
57% (13/23)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
2823
Interceptions
84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Gual M. ,
  • 26', Wszolek P. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Van Hoeven B. , Wojcik F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Wszolek P. , Pankov R. ,
  • 48', Labojko J. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 2, Chodyna K. ,
  • 61', Labojko J. , Samper S. ,
  • 62', Chodyna K. , Luquinhas ,
  • 64', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Mraz S. , Wolski B. (A),
  • 71', 2 - 3, Morishita R. , Augustyniak R. (A),
  • 74', Gual M. , Kapustka B. ,
  • 75', Caliskaner K. , Sefer A. ,
  • 76', Ceglarz P. , Ndiaye M. J. ,
  • 76', Van Hoeven B. , Krol M. ,
  • 81', Wojcik F. 🟨,
  • 83', Wolski B. , Scalet M. ,
  • 89', Vinagre R. , Kun P. ,
  • 89', Elitim J. , Goncalves C. ,
  • 90', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Kovacevic V. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Mraz S. (Pen),
  • 90+10', 3 - 3, Mraz S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Motor Lublin
26.3%
Draw
25.7%
Legia Warsaw
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.8% 26.7% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4% 26.3% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.56
    (3.25)
    3.65
    (3.5)
    1.96
    (2.1)
    6.3%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Legia will win (votes: 12 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 30%70%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 5).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Legia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Legia will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Motor: Brkic I. (Knee Injury) Kruk K. (Knee Injury) Najemski A. (Yellow Cards) Tratnik G. (Finger Injury)
    • There will not play in Legia: Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Shkurin I. (Inactive)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Motor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:13 (average 1.5:3.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Motor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Legia Warsaw - Motor Lublin 5:2
    10.12.2022 Legia Warsaw - Motor Lublin 4:0
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock33006:159
    2Cracovia22006:156
    3Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    4Radomiak Radom21106:244
    5Termalica B-B21014:223
    6Legia11002:023
    7Widzew Lodz21013:303
    8Rakow21012:203
    9Pogon Szczecin21015:6-13
    10Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Zaglebie30213:4-12
    14GKS Katowice20112:3-11
    15Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    16Korona Kielce30121:5-41
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

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          Relegation ~ Division 1