Result
1:1
01/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 17
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (342/419) | 84% (361/428) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (342/419) | 84% (361/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (18/41) | 56% (25/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (47/84) | 79% (119/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Czubak K. (Pen),
- 25', 1 - 1, Augustyniak R. ⚽,
- 45+3', Kapuadi S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Urbanski W. 🟨,
- 61', Urbanski W. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
- 66', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
- 75', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
- 75', Wolski B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 75', Krol M. ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
- 76', Krasniqi E. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
- 83', Arreiol H. ↓, Kapustka B. ↑,
- 83', Augustyniak R. ↓, Szymanski D. ↑,
- 83', Stojanovic P. ↓, Vinagre R. ↑,
- 88', Czubak K. ↓, Haxha F. ↑,
- 89', Szymanski D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motor Lublin
30.7% | Draw
27% | Legia Warsaw
42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↓
(3.45) |
3.5 ↑
(3.21) |
2.21 ↑
(1.93) |
6.4%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Legia will win (votes: 13 - 48.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 29.3% – 66.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Motor (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Legia (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Motor (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Legia (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Motor (votes: 4 - 40%). Legia (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 14)
- Motor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Legia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Legia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Motor: Ndiaye M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Legia: Elitim J.
(Injury)
Nsame J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Legia: Colak A.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.8:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Legia Warsaw?
Motor Lublin has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Motor Lublin?
Legia Warsaw has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
10.03.2025
Motor Lublin
-
Legia Warsaw
3:3
01.09.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Motor Lublin
5:2
10.12.2022
Legia Warsaw
-
Motor Lublin
4:0
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
