Result
4:1
14/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 8
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (372/441) | 81% (287/354) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (372/441) | 81% (287/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 48% (21/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (119/161) | 64% (41/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -1.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Kaput M. 🟨,
- 27', Baro R. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Elitim J. ⚽, Kapustka B. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Kaput M. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
- 52', Szymanski D. 🟨,
- 56', Zie Ouattara ↓, Maurides ↑,
- 56', Capita ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
- 59', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
- 64', Tapsoba A. ↓, Balde E. ↑,
- 68', Krasniqi E. ↓, Weisshaupt N. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Szymanski D. ⚽, Elitim J. (A),
- 72', 3 - 0, Rajovic M. ⚽,
- 73', Wolski R. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 0, Wszolek P. (Pen),
- 81', Elitim J. ↓, Augustyniak R. ↑,
- 81', Rajovic M. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
- 82', Szymanski D. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
- 90+5', 4 - 1, Dieguez A. ⚽, Camara I. (A),
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
60.7% | Draw
22.6% | Radomiak Radom
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+4%)
Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.65) |
4.12 ↑
(3.75) |
5.58 ↑
(4.75) |
6.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.
- Legia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Radomiak's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Legia is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Legia: Goncalves C.
(Ankle Injury)
Pankov R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Radomiak: Alves R.
(Inactive)
Cichocki M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Legia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Radomiak Radom?
Legia Warsaw has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Legia Warsaw?
Radomiak Radom has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom were as follows:
22.02.2025
Radomiak Radom
-
Legia Warsaw
3:1
18.08.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Radomiak Radom
4:1
05.05.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Radomiak Radom
0:3
05.11.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Legia Warsaw
0:1
17.03.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Legia Warsaw
0:2
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
