Legia Warsaw vs Radomiak Radom – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
14/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 8
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaFOX Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
spainSpainGolStadium
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.730.80
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
84% (372/441)81% (287/354)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.730.80
xG on target (xGOT)
2.440.49
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2516
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
84% (372/441)81% (287/354)
Long passes
46% (24/52)48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
74% (119/161)64% (41/64)
Crosses
6% (1/16)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.51
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
1715
Tackles
80% (12/15)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4947
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.492.44
Goals prevented
-0.51-1.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Kaput M. 🟨,
  • 27', Baro R. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Elitim J. , Kapustka B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Kaput M. , Camara I. ,
  • 52', Szymanski D. 🟨,
  • 56', Zie Ouattara , Maurides ,
  • 56', Capita , Lopes V. ,
  • 59', Bichakhchyan V. , Stojanovic P. ,
  • 64', Tapsoba A. , Balde E. ,
  • 68', Krasniqi E. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 69', 2 - 0, Szymanski D. , Elitim J. (A),
  • 72', 3 - 0, Rajovic M. ,
  • 73', Wolski R. , Alves R. ,
  • 80', 4 - 0, Wszolek P. (Pen),
  • 81', Elitim J. , Augustyniak R. ,
  • 81', Rajovic M. , Colak A. ,
  • 82', Szymanski D. , Urbanski K. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 1, Dieguez A. , Camara I. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
60.7%
Draw
22.6%
Radomiak Radom
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 24.6% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 23.2% 20.6%

Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.55
(1.65)
4.12
(3.75)
5.58
(4.75)
6.9%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom?
  • Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.
    • Legia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Radomiak's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Legia is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Legia: Goncalves C. (Ankle Injury) Pankov R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Radomiak: Alves R. (Inactive) Cichocki M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Legia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw 3:1
    18.08.2024 Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom 4:1
    05.05.2024 Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom 0:3
    05.11.2023 Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw 0:1
    17.03.2023 Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw 0:2
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    31.08.2025 Cracovia - Legia Warsaw 2:1
    28.08.2025 Legia Warsaw - Hibernian 3:3
    21.08.2025 Hibernian - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    14.08.2025 Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca 2:1
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1893629:24530
    2Wisla Plock1778220:11929
    3Rakow1792626:22429
    4Jagiellonia1684428:20828
    5Cracovia1876525:21427
    6Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    7Lech Poznan1768329:26326
    8Zaglebie1767430:24625
    9Korona Kielce1765620:18223
    10Pogon Szczecin1863928:32-421
    11Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    12Lechia Gdansk1874737:37020
    13Widzew Lodz18621026:28-220
    14GKS Katowice1762923:28-520
    15Motor Lublin1748522:27-520
    16Legia1747619:20-119
    17Termalica B-B1854924:35-1119
    18Piast Gliwice1645718:19-117

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1