Result
1:1
13/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 25
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Usa | beIN Connect |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (310/405) | 70% (199/284) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 3 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (310/405) | 70% (199/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/52) | 44% (24/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (69/113) | 57% (53/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Maurides ⚽, Wolski R. (A),
- 7', 1 - 1, Pankov R. ⚽, Elitim J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Luquinhas ↓, Balde E. ↑,
- 56', Baro R. 🟨,
- 59', Kingue S. 🟨,
- 65', Camara I. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
- 65', Baro R. ↓, Kaput M. ↑,
- 65', Rajovic M. ↓, Nsame J. ↑,
- 74', Urbanski W. ↓, Szymanski D. ↑,
- 74', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
- 76', Maurides ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
- 80', Kun P. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
- 80', Chodyna K. ↓, Wszolek P. ↑,
- 80', Wilson-Esbrand J. ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
- 88', Elitim J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Radomiak Radom
35.4% | Draw
28.5% | Legia Warsaw
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radomiak Radom that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↓
(2.91) |
3.3 ↑
(3.05) |
2.6 ↑
(2.23) |
6.4%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Legia will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 27.9% – 64.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Radomiak (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Radomiak (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Radomiak (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Radomiak (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Legia (votes: 7 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2.
- Recent performances by Radomiak have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Legia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Radomiak may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Radomiak: Alves R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Legia: Vinagre R.
(Injury)
Wszolek P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Legia: Arreiol H.
(Inactive)
Zewlakow J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Legia Warsaw?
Radomiak Radom has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Radomiak Radom?
Legia Warsaw has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
14.09.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Radomiak Radom
4:1
22.02.2025
Radomiak Radom
-
Legia Warsaw
3:1
18.08.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Radomiak Radom
4:1
05.05.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Radomiak Radom
0:3
05.11.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Legia Warsaw
0:1
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
