Leioa vs Beasain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Leioa - Beasain
Result
1:3
24/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Bengoetxea A. ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Garcia I. ,
  • 34', 1 - 2, Pita M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+4', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Leioa
41.2%
Draw
33.8%
Beasain
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 28.1% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 29.3% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beasain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beasain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leioa - Beasain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.35)
    2.69
    (3.25)
    3.63
    (2.77)
    10%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2.
    • In recent matches, Leioa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Beasain is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Beasain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Beasain has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leioa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Beasain were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Beasain - Leioa 1:0
    08.03.2025 Leioa - Beasain 1:1
    26.10.2024 Beasain - Leioa 0:1
    14.01.2024 Leioa - Beasain 2:0
    Latest results of Leioa
    18.05.2025 Beasain - Leioa 1:0
    10.05.2025 Eibar C - Leioa 2:5
    03.05.2025 Leioa - Touring KE 3:2
    26.04.2025 Deusto - Leioa 2:0
    16.04.2025 Leioa - Durango 1:3
    Latest results of Beasain
    18.05.2025 Beasain - Leioa 1:0
    03.05.2025 Beasain - Lagun Onak 1:0
    16.04.2025 Beasain - Derio 2:0
    12.04.2025 Santurtzi - Beasain 1:3
    29.03.2025 Beasain - Pasaia 4:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete541013:4913
    2Aurrera de Vitoria54019:6312
    3UD Aretxabaleta531111:5610
    4San Ignacio53114:2210
    5Pasaia53113:1210
    6Lagun Onak53029:459
    7Touring KE52125:327
    8Zamudio52127:617
    9Durango51405:417
    10Eibar C52126:10-47
    11Zarautz KE52122:7-57
    12Real Sociedad C52035:416
    13Leioa52034:6-26
    14Santurtzi51225:505
    15Derio51134:8-44
    16Alaves C51133:7-44
    17Anorga50142:8-61
    18SD Deusto50141:8-71

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