Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 26
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (259/338) | 91% (563/617) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 2.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (259/338) | 91% (563/617) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 74% (29/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (45/78) | 85% (203/240) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 26% (15/58) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.11 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Dieng B. ⚽,
- 23', Celik N. 🟨,
- 26', Faye A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 1, Edouard O. ⚽, Sangare M. (A),
- 54', Talbi M. 🟨,
- 64', Dieng B. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Tosin A. ⚽, Kouassi A. (A),
- 68', Celik N. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
- 71', Ganiou I. 🟨,
- 73', Thomasson A. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
- 73', Sima A. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,
- 75', Abdulhamid S. 🟨,
- 81', Makengo J. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
- 82', Karim D. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
- 84', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
- 84', Abdulhamid S. ↓, Garnier E. ↑,
- 90+6', Le Bris T. ↓, Adjei N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lorient
18.9% | Draw
24.1% | Lens
57% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorient's form might have worsened.Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lens's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lorient - Lens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.99 ↑
(3.84) |
3.97 ↑
(3.6) |
1.68 ↓
(1.92) |
4.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lorient - Lens?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). Lens will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 57.6% – 90.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Lorient (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorient (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Lens (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 0.
- In recent matches, Lorient has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lens is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lorient may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lens is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Lorient: Abergel L.
(Ankle Injury)
Fadiga B.
(Injury)
Pagis P.
(Red Card)
Sanusi T.
(Injury)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R.
(Injury)
Antonio K.
(Foot Injury)
Baidoo S.
(Muscle Injury)
Gradit J.
(Thigh Injury)
Gurtner R.
(Muscle Injury)
Masuaku A.
(Red Card)
Said W.
(Injury)
Saint-Maximin A.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Lorient: Igor Silva
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Lens?
Lorient has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Lorient?
Lens has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Lens were as follows:
02.11.2025
Lens
-
Lorient
3:0
03.05.2024
Lens
-
Lorient
2:0
04.11.2023
Lorient
-
Lens
0:0
21.05.2023
Lorient
-
Lens
1:3
09.02.2023
Lorient
-
Lens
1:2
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49:34 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Nice | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:56 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Nantes | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
