Result
3:0
02/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 11
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (561/628) | 87% (382/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (561/628) | 87% (382/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (29/51) | 54% (19/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (107/146) | 76% (103/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Edouard O. ⚽, Sangare M. (A),
- 26', Avom A. 🟨,
- 39', Sangare M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', Sangare M. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
- 63', Gradit J. 🟨,
- 64', Bamba M. (Pen),
- 65', Bamba M. ↓, Pagis P. ↑,
- 65', Avom A. ↓, Cadiou N. ↑,
- 71', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
- 72', Thauvin F. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
- 75', Tosin A. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
- 75', Le Bris T. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 0, Said W. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
- 81', Aguilar R. ↓, Abdulhamid S. ↑,
- 82', Said W. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
- 82', Karim D. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
- 85', Abergel L. 🟨,
- 89', 3 - 0, Baidoo S. ⚽, Bulatovic A. (A),
Chances of winning
Lens
62.6% | Draw
21.6% | Lorient
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Lens - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.58) |
4.47 ↑
(4.24) |
5.99 ↑
(5.53) |
4.1%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lens - Lorient?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 24 - 96%). Lorient will win (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 88.3% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Lorient (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lens (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Lorient (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 4.
- Lens is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lorient has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lens is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Lens: Antonio K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N.
(Ankle Injury)
Fadiga B.
(Ankle Injury)
Faye A.
(Foot Injury)
Katseris P.
(Thigh Injury)
Sanusi T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lens won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Lorient?
Lens has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Lens?
Lorient has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Lorient were as follows:
03.05.2024
Lens
-
Lorient
2:0
04.11.2023
Lorient
-
Lens
0:0
21.05.2023
Lorient
-
Lens
1:3
09.02.2023
Lorient
-
Lens
1:2
31.08.2022
Lens
-
Lorient
5:2
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
