Metz vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
29/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 10
  • Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 9
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamOn Golf

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.351.00
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
86% (392/454)88% (458/523)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
3.351.00
xG on target (xGOT)
3.210.21
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2424
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
86% (392/454)88% (458/523)
Long passes
31% (19/61)51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
75% (74/99)77% (109/141)
Crosses
31% (4/13)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.651.46
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
1515
Tackles
79% (15/19)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5041
Clearances
2513
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.213.21
Goals prevented
0.211.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Toure A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Sima A. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Machado D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sima A. , Guilavogui M. ,
  • 46', Edouard O. , Said W. ,
  • 63', Machado D. , Aguilar R. ,
  • 68', Hein G. 🟨,
  • 81', Tsitaishvili G. , Abuashvili G. ,
  • 81', Sabaly C. , Sane I. ,
  • 82', Deminguet J. , Guerti I. ,
  • 87', 1 - 0, Hein G. (Pen),
  • 88', Gradit J. , Bulatovic A. ,
  • 88', Thauvin F. , Fofana R. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 0, Hein G. , Sane I. (A),
  • 90+2', Hein G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Metz
18.3%
Draw
22%
Lens
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.3% 26.2% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1% 26% 53.9%

Metz - Lens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.2
(4.65)
4.28
(3.61)
1.65
(1.77)
3.3%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Metz - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: Lens will win (36 of 40 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%99.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2.
    • Metz is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lens is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Metz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lens is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mbaye M. (Foot Injury) Mboula U. (Hamstring Injury) Sane S. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Lens: Antonio K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Metz: Sy P. (Injury) Traore B. (Illness)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Metz won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Lens were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Lens - Metz 2:1
    12.04.2024 Metz - Lens 2:1
    16.09.2023 Lens - Metz 0:1
    Latest results of Metz
    26.10.2025 Lille - Metz 6:1
    19.10.2025 Toulouse - Metz 4:0
    04.10.2025 Metz - Olympique Marseille 0:3
    28.09.2025 Metz - Le Havre 0:0
    21.09.2025 Monaco - Metz 5:2
    Latest results of Lens
    25.10.2025 Lens - Olympique Marseille 2:1
    19.10.2025 Lens - Paris FC 2:1
    04.10.2025 Auxerre - Lens 1:2
    28.09.2025 Rennes - Lens 0:0
    20.09.2025 Lens - Lille 3:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens17131331:131840
    2PSG17123237:152239
    3Marseille17102536:171932
    4Lille17102533:221132
    5Lyon1793525:17830
    6Rennes1786329:24530
    7Strasbourg1773726:21524
    8Toulouse1765624:22223
    9Monaco1772827:30-323
    10Angers1764718:20-222
    11Brest1764723:27-422
    12Lorient1747620:29-919
    13Le Havre1746715:23-818
    14Nice1753920:30-1018
    15Paris FC1744922:31-916
    16Nantes1735916:28-1214
    17Auxerre17331114:27-1312
    18Metz17331118:38-2012

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2