Metz vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
29/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 10
  • Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 9
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamOn Golf

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.351.00
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
86% (392/454)88% (458/523)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
3.351.00
xG on target (xGOT)
3.210.21
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2424
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
86% (392/454)88% (458/523)
Long passes
31% (19/61)51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
75% (74/99)77% (109/141)
Crosses
31% (4/13)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.651.46
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
1515
Tackles
79% (15/19)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5041
Clearances
2513
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.213.21
Goals prevented
0.211.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Toure A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Sima A. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Machado D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sima A. , Guilavogui M. ,
  • 46', Edouard O. , Said W. ,
  • 63', Machado D. , Aguilar R. ,
  • 68', Hein G. 🟨,
  • 81', Tsitaishvili G. , Abuashvili G. ,
  • 81', Sabaly C. , Sane I. ,
  • 82', Deminguet J. , Guerti I. ,
  • 87', 1 - 0, Hein G. (Pen),
  • 88', Gradit J. , Bulatovic A. ,
  • 88', Thauvin F. , Fofana R. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 0, Hein G. , Sane I. (A),
  • 90+2', Hein G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Metz
18.3%
Draw
22%
Lens
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.3% 26.2% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1% 26% 53.9%

Metz - Lens Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.2
(4.65)
4.28
(3.61)
1.65
(1.77)
3.3%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Metz - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: Lens will win (36 of 40 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%99.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2.
    • Metz is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lens is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Metz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lens is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mbaye M. (Foot Injury) Mboula U. (Hamstring Injury) Sane S. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Lens: Antonio K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Metz: Sy P. (Injury) Traore B. (Illness)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Metz won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Lens were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Lens - Metz 2:1
    12.04.2024 Metz - Lens 2:1
    16.09.2023 Lens - Metz 0:1
    Latest results of Metz
    26.10.2025 Lille - Metz 6:1
    19.10.2025 Toulouse - Metz 4:0
    04.10.2025 Metz - Olympique Marseille 0:3
    28.09.2025 Metz - Le Havre 0:0
    21.09.2025 Monaco - Metz 5:2
    Latest results of Lens
    25.10.2025 Lens - Olympique Marseille 2:1
    19.10.2025 Lens - Paris FC 2:1
    04.10.2025 Auxerre - Lens 1:2
    28.09.2025 Rennes - Lens 0:0
    20.09.2025 Lens - Lille 3:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens16121328:131537
    2PSG16113235:142136
    3Marseille16102436:152132
    4Lille16102433:201332
    5Lyon1683522:16627
    6Rennes1676327:24327
    7Strasbourg1672725:20523
    8Toulouse1665524:19523
    9Monaco1672726:27-123
    10Angers1664617:18-122
    11Brest1654721:27-619
    12Lorient1646619:28-918
    13Nice1652919:29-1017
    14Paris FC1644821:29-816
    15Le Havre1636713:22-915
    16Auxerre16331014:25-1112
    17Nantes1625914:28-1411
    18Metz16321117:37-2011

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2