Troyes vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
04/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA French 1
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaZhiBo8
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
greeceGreeceERT 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
italyItalyComo TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Sport TV2, Voyo
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.413.13
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
99
Big chances
27
Corner kicks
68
Passes
77% (255/331)84% (407/487)
Yellow cards
43
Expected goals (xG)
1.413.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.943.13
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
99
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
1213
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
02
Big chances
27
Corner kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
2726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
35
Free kicks
1012
Passes
77% (255/331)84% (407/487)
Long passes
49% (23/47)54% (29/54)
Passes in final third
68% (90/132)77% (99/129)
Crosses
39% (7/18)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.132.27
Throw ins
2028
Fouls
1210
Tackles
45% (5/11)33% (5/15)
Duels won
3843
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
47
xGOT faced
3.131.94
Goals prevented
-0.87-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Ifnaoui M. , Odede E. ,
  • 17', Gambor H. 🟨,
  • 25', Diop M. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Sotoca F. , Udol M. (A),
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Adeline M. , Donkor N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Haidara A. , Sangare M. ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Sima A. , Udol M. (A),
  • 52', 1 - 3, Bulatovic A. , Sotoca F. (A),
  • 58', 1 - 4, Sima A. , Sotoca F. (A),
  • 62', Sotoca F. , Said W. ,
  • 62', Sima A. , Saint-Maximin A. ,
  • 63', 2 - 4, Ripart R. ,
  • 64', Donkor N. , Ouzenadji A. ,
  • 64', Odede E. , Bentayeb T. ,
  • 66', Said W. 🟨,
  • 69', Abdulhamid S. , Aguilar R. ,
  • 70', Monfray A. 🟨,
  • 71', Ripart R. 🟨,
  • 73', Adeline M. , Mille A. ,
  • 73', Diop M. , El Idrissy M. ,
  • 79', Saint-Maximin A. 🟨,
  • 81', Fofana R. , Masuaku A. ,
  • 86', Risser R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Troyes
25.1%
Draw
24.5%
Lens
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.3% 19.9% 63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6% 19.1% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Troyes's performance.
  • Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Troyes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Troyes - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.74
    (5.73)
    3.85
    (4.7)
    1.88
    (1.47)
    6.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Troyes - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Lens will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 64.3%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 0.
    • Troyes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lens is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Lens is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Lens were as follows:
    28.01.2023 Troyes - Lens 1:1
    09.09.2022 Lens - Troyes 1:0
    Latest results of Troyes
    31.01.2026 Troyes - Le Mans 0:2
    24.01.2026 Guingamp - Troyes 1:0
    17.01.2026 Troyes - Reims 2:1
    10.01.2026 Bastia - Troyes 0:2
    03.01.2026 Troyes - Red Star 1:0
    Latest results of Lens
    30.01.2026 Lens - Le Havre 1:0
    24.01.2026 Olympique Marseille - Lens 3:1
    17.01.2026 Lens - Auxerre 1:0
    11.01.2026 Sochaux - Lens 0:3
    02.01.2026 Toulouse - Lens 0:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1BrestBye
    3AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    4SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    5StrasbourgBye
    7ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    8BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    9Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    10OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    11JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    12Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    13AuxerreBye
    16ByeMonaco
    17Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    18ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    19FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    20EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    21IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    22Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    23AvionTorcy0 : 2
    24OCPAMReims0 : 1
    25Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    26IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    27Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    28MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    29CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    30Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    31SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    32GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    33Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    34Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    35AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    36Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    37LorientBye
    39MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    40OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    41PSGBye
    43FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    44Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    45Paris FCBye
    47MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    48MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    49Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    50St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    52ByeNantes
    53NiceBye
    55Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    56QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    57Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    58ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    60ByeMetz
    61AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    62LavaurRodez1 : 3
    63MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    64AgdeMontpellier0 : 2
    65Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    66CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    68ByeLille
    69LyonBye
    71Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    72FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    73SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    74SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    75SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    76TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    77Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    78St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    79Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    80Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    81EspoirEveil1 : 0
    82ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    83SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    84US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    85Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    86LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    87TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    88AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    89Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    90PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    91SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    92Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    93LensBye
    95APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    96CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    97YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    98BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    99Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    100BloisClermont2 : 1
    101MarseilleBye
    103Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    104Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    105CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    106PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    107WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    108BesanconThionville4 : 0
    109Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    110PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    112ByeRennes
    113PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    114OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    116ByeAngers
    117PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    118Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    120ByeToulouse
    121MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    122GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    123Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    124LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    125Le HavreBye
    127Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    128AubyAmiens0 : 3

    1/64-finals
    1BrestBye
    2AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    3StrasbourgBye
    4AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    5Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    6BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    7AuxerreBye
    8ByeMonaco
    9ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    10MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    11IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    12TorcyReims1 : 5
    13Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    14PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    15AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    16SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    17MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    18Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    19LorientBye
    20AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    21PSGBye
    22FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    23Paris FCBye
    24Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    25ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    26ByeNantes
    27NiceBye
    28Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    29BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    30ByeMetz
    31Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    32MontceauMontpellier0 : 2
    33BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    34ByeLille
    35LyonBye
    36Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    37SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    38SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    39Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    40LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    41EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    42Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    43Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    44TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    45Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    46SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    47LensBye
    48APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    49YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    50RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    51MarseilleBye
    52SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    53CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    54FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    55Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    56ByeRennes
    57PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    58ByeAngers
    59Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    60ByeToulouse
    61MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    62ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    63Le HavreBye
    64Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4

    1/32-finals
    1BrestAvranches1 : 2
    2StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    3OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    4AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    5Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    6IC CroixReims0 : 4
    7Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    8GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    9Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    10LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    11PSGFontenay4 : 0
    12Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    13ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    14NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    15BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    16Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1
    17LusitanosLille0 : 1
    18LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    19IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    20GuingampLaval0 : 1
    21PontivyBastia0 : 1
    22Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    23SochauxBethune4 : 2
    24LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    25BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    26MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    27ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    28Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    29Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    30Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    31MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    32Le HavreAmiens0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    2OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    3Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    4Le MansNancy1 : 0
    5Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    6PSGParis FC0 : 1
    7NantesNice1 : 2
    8MetzMontpellier0 : 4
    9LilleLyon1 : 2
    10IstresLaval0 : 2
    11BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    12SochauxLens0 : 3
    13BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    14ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    15AngersToulouse1 : 2
    16MontreuilAmiens2 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    2ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    3LorientParis FC2 : 0
    4NiceMontpellier3 : 2
    5LyonLaval2 : 0
    6TroyesLens2 : 4
    7MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    8ToulouseAmiens1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    2LorientNice0 : 1
    3LyonLens2 : 3
    4MarseilleToulouse2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1StrasbourgNice
    2LensToulouse