Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UdeG – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
11/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAYM Sports

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
66
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
12
Corner Kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', Padilla P. 🟨,
  • 21', Mendoza A. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Razo L. ,
  • 38', Camacho Lastra R. E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, De Los Rios S. , Lopez F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Jimenez J. , Barajas V. ,
  • 46', Lopez R. , Flores L. ,
  • 46', Camacho Lastra R. E. , Perez J. ,
  • 64', Torres U. 🟨,
  • 64', De Los Rios S. , Espinosa B. ,
  • 67', Mazatan O. , Rios P. ,
  • 68', Razo L. , Perez M. ,
  • 71', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. , Brigido J. ,
  • 71', Rivera E. , Madrigal K. ,
  • 77', Lopez F. , Martinez J. ,
  • 83', Ledesma A. 🟨,
  • 87', Gonzalez O. , Meza U. ,

Chances of winning


Mineros de Zacatecas
49.3%
Draw
26.1%
Leones Negros UdeG
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 25.2% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 24.5% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mineros de Zacatecas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Mineros de Zacatecas - Leones Negros UdeG Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.78)
    3.61
    (3.7)
    3.84
    (4.15)
    6%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Mineros de Zacatecas - Leones Negros UdeG?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mineros de Zacatecas will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mineros de Zacatecas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Leones Negros UdeG (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mineros de Zacatecas (votes: 1 - 50%). Leones Negros UdeG (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Zacatecas won 0.
    • Mineros de Zacatecas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Leones Negros UdeG has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Leones Negros UdeG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mineros de Zacatecas is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Zacatecas won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Zacatecas won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mineros de Zacatecas - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Mineros de Zacatecas - Leones Negros UdeG 0:0
    09.11.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Mineros de Zacatecas 3:1
    06.11.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas - Leones Negros UdeG 2:2
    11.08.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Mineros de Zacatecas 1:0
    28.04.2024 Leones Negros UdeG - Mineros de Zacatecas 3:0
    Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Morelia751111:3816
    2Tepatitlan de Morelos84318:4415
    3Tapatio742116:10614
    4Tlaxcala741211:9213
    5Cancun731310:8210
    6Atlante723210:739
    7Atletico La Paz62318:539
    8Irapuato730413:14-19
    9Alebrijes Oaxaca72329:10-19
    10Venados822416:17-18
    11Zacatecas Mineros72239:10-18
    12Leones Negros71338:13-56
    13Jaiba Brava62045:10-56
    14Correcaminos71336:12-66
    15Dorados de Sinaloa813411:19-86

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)