Result
1:3
22/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Gil J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽, Mazatan O. (A),
- 13', 0 - 2, Padilla P. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 2, Munoz D. ⚽, Camacho Lastra R. E. (A),
- 40', Villa O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lara M. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 60', Padilla P. ↓, Trejo E. ↑,
- 65', Gonzalez O. ↓, Brigido J. ↑,
- 65', Cisneros C. ↓, Gil O. ↑,
- 66', Perez M. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 66', Lopez F. ↓, Barajas V. ↑,
- 76', Hernandez L. 🟨,
- 78', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
- 84', Magana K. ↓, Rios P. ↑,
- 84', De Los Rios S. ↓, Villacorta A. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 3, Mazatan O. ⚽,
- 85', Camacho Lastra R. E. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 85', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Villalobos A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Leones Negros UdeG
36.8% | Draw
27.7% | Mineros de Zacatecas
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones Negros UdeG's form might have worsened.Mineros de Zacatecas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mineros de Zacatecas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones Negros UdeG, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mineros de Zacatecas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leones Negros UdeG - Mineros de Zacatecas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(1.97) |
3.36 ↓
(3.43) |
2.62 ↓
(3.43) |
7.4%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leones Negros UdeG - Mineros de Zacatecas?
Users Predictions:
Mineros de Zacatecas will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mineros de Zacatecas will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 2.
- Recent form of Leones Negros UdeG has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mineros de Zacatecas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Leones Negros UdeG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:13. (average 2.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Mineros de Zacatecas?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mineros de Zacatecas won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Mineros de Zacatecas has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Mineros de Zacatecas were as follows:
11.10.2025
Mineros de Zacatecas
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:0
25.01.2025
Mineros de Zacatecas
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:0
09.11.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Mineros de Zacatecas
3:1
06.11.2024
Mineros de Zacatecas
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:2
11.08.2024
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Mineros de Zacatecas
1:0
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Latest results of Mineros de Zacatecas
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Morelia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tapatio | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlante | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Correcaminos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:23 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Venados | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
