Result
1:0
02/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Ramirez Gutierrez E. A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Catalan A. 🟨,
- 43', Meza U. 🟨,
- 45+2', Trejo Castro M. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fierro C. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 46', Rivera E. ↓, Camacho Lastra R. E. ↑,
- 57', Sanchez J. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 58', Torres U. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 67', Amador K. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
- 67', Guzman W. ↓, Galvan P. ↑,
- 68', Calero J. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
- 68', Madrid W. ↓, Acosta C. ↑,
- 74', Meza U. ↓, Aguayo J. ↑,
- 82', Catalan A. 🟨,
- 86', Navarrete D. ↓, Grijalva A. ↑,
- 88', Lopez C. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 0, Ledesma A. ⚽,
- 90+2', Casillas J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Ledesma A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leones Negros UdeG
49.4% | Draw
24.8% | Venados
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones Negros UdeG's form might have worsened.Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones Negros UdeG, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Venados, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leones Negros UdeG - Venados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.64) |
3.72 ↓
(4.1) |
3.59 ↓
(4.34) |
8.2%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Leones Negros UdeG - Venados?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Venados will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Venados (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 2.
- In recent matches, Leones Negros UdeG has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Venados is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Leones Negros UdeG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Leones Negros UdeG is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leones Negros UdeG won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leones Negros UdeG won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:6. (average 2.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Venados?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Venados has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Venados were as follows:
18.04.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Venados
3:1
01.11.2024
Venados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
3:0
24.01.2024
Venados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:1
17.08.2023
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Venados
4:1
04.04.2023
Venados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:1
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Latest results of Venados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Morelia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tapatio | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlante | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Correcaminos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:23 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Venados | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
