Result
3:1
18/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Solorio Arreola H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Calzadilla L. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ⚽,
- 41', Grijalva A. ↓, Espinosa E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Flores B. ↓, Carreon A. ↑,
- 52', Organista A. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ⚽,
- 64', Suarez V. ↓, Villanueva J. ↑,
- 66', Fierro C. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 66', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 74', Guzman W. ↓, Torres Sauri M. ↑,
- 82', Flores L. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Torres E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leones Negros UdeG
52.6% | Draw
24.2% | Venados
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leones Negros UdeG's performance.Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Venados might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones Negros UdeG that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venados could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leones Negros UdeG - Venados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(2.06) |
3.85 ↑
(3.77) |
4.01 ↑
(3.01) |
7.5%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Leones Negros UdeG - Venados?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leones Negros UdeG (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Leones Negros UdeG will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Leones Negros UdeG is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Venados is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones Negros UdeG won 2.
- Recent matches Leones Negros UdeG is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Venados is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Leones Negros UdeG will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Leones Negros UdeG won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27:17 (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Leones Negros UdeG won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:5 (average 2.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Venados?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Venados has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros UdeG - Venados were as follows:
01.11.2024
Venados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
3:0
24.01.2024
Venados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:1
17.08.2023
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Venados
4:1
04.04.2023
Venados
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:1
28.10.2022
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Venados
3:0
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Latest results of Venados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
