Ceuta vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
3:1
26/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 10, Arena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.670.50
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
106
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
58
Passes
80% (309/386)78% (301/384)
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.670.50
xG on target (xGOT)
3.830.95
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
1310
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2724
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1515
Passes
80% (309/386)78% (301/384)
Long passes
37% (15/41)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
74% (87/118)66% (67/102)
Crosses
43% (9/21)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.770.38
Throw ins
1324
Fouls
1515
Tackles
59% (13/22)57% (4/7)
Duels won
5035
Clearances
2617
Interceptions
1810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
57
xGOT faced
0.953.83
Goals prevented
-0.050.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 27', Calero I. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Tresaco R. ⚽,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽, Youness (A),
  • 42', 2 - 1, Campana J. ⚽, Zalazar K. (A),
  • 45', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Zalazar K. 🟨,
  • 55', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
  • 62', Collado D. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
  • 62', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
  • 65', Kone K. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
  • 66', Hernandez C. 🟨,
  • 69', Calero I. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
  • 69', Tresaco R. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
  • 70', Zalazar K. ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
  • 71', Campana J. ↓, Illesca M. ↑,
  • 77', Ribeiro L. 🟥,
  • 82', Fernandez Sanchez M. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
  • 83', Ahmed A. ↓, Domenech M. ↑,
  • 83', Ojeda T. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
  • 88', Illesca M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Bodiger Y. ⚽, Sanchez S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ceuta
43.6%		Draw
28.9%		Leonesa
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 27.7% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.8% 24.7%

Ceuta - Leonesa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.16 ↑
(1.98)		 3.24 ↓
(3.42)		 3.42 ↓
(3.85)		 6.5%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Leonesa?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Leonesa will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 46.4% – 99%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Leonesa (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Ceuta (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Ceuta (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Ceuta (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Ceuta (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Ceuta (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Ceuta (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ceuta will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Leonesa (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18).
    • In recent matches, Ceuta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Leonesa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Ceuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ceuta is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Jamelli (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceuta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Leonesa were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Leonesa - Ceuta 0:1
    31.05.2025 Ceuta - Leonesa 4:3
    28.05.2025 Leonesa - Ceuta 2:2
    22.01.2023 Ceuta - Leonesa 2:1
    04.09.2022 Leonesa - Ceuta 2:0
    Latest results of Ceuta
    17.01.2026 Ceuta - Valladolid 0:3 ✺
    11.01.2026 Málaga - Ceuta 2:1 ✺
    04.01.2026 Ceuta - FC Andorra 2:1 ✺
    21.12.2025 Real Sociedad B - Ceuta 1:3 ✺
    14.12.2025 Ceuta - Las Palmas 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Leonesa
    17.01.2026 Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón 2:4 ✺
    13.01.2026 Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao 3:4 ✺
    10.01.2026 FC Andorra - Leonesa 1:1 ✺
    03.01.2026 Leonesa - Real Sociedad B 1:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Las Palmas - Leonesa 4:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander25145651:331847
    2Castellon25136642:251745
    3Dep. La Coruna25127640:271343
    4Almeria25126747:361142
    5Malaga25125838:29941
    6Las Palmas251010529:20940
    7Burgos CF25116828:24439
    8Gijon251231035:33239
    9Cordoba24108632:27538
    10Ceuta24105930:34-435
    11Cadiz CF2597927:29-234
    12Albacete25961031:36-533
    13Leganes2588927:25232
    14Eibar2588926:27-132
    15Granada CF25611826:29-329
    16Andorra25781027:35-829
    17Real Sociedad B25771132:35-328
    18Valladolid25771125:31-628
    19Huesca25761223:34-1127
    20Cultural Leonesa25741426:40-1425
    21Zaragoza25581222:38-1623
    22Mirandes25551525:42-1720

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          Relegation

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