Leonesa vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.07
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
85% (508/597)77% (233/301)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.310.79
Total shots
155
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
85% (508/597)77% (233/301)
Long passes
53% (21/40)42% (25/60)
Passes in final third
75% (144/191)61% (46/76)
Crosses
19% (5/27)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.34
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
1511
Tackles
41% (7/17)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4540
Clearances
1244
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.790.31
Goals prevented
-0.210.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Jamelli (Pen),
  • 23', de la Fuente K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', de la Fuente K. , Kone K. ,
  • 65', Justo M. , Collado D. ,
  • 65', Sobrino R. , Ribeiro L. ,
  • 70', Ojeda T. 🟨,
  • 74', Diallo Selu M. , Cortes P. ,
  • 82', Zalazar K. , Bassinga A. ,
  • 82', Ahmed A. , Sanchez S. ,
  • 82', Jamelli , Bodiger Y. ,
  • 82', Chacon L. , Paraschiv D. ,
  • 82', Hinojo R. , Larios J. ,
  • 89', Fernandez Sanchez M. , Caparros A. ,
  • 90+4', Barzic M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yzy5anrs

Chances of winning


Leonesa
39.2%
Draw
29.4%
Ceuta
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 28.9% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 30% 34.6%

Leonesa - Ceuta Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.46
(2.68)
3.21
(3.27)
3
(2.63)
5.2%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leonesa - Ceuta?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Ceuta will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 10).
    • Leonesa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ceuta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Mboula J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceuta: Almenara G. (Injury) Kone K. (Injury) Ortuno J. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Ceuta were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Ceuta - Leonesa 4:3
    28.05.2025 Leonesa - Ceuta 2:2
    22.01.2023 Ceuta - Leonesa 2:1
    04.09.2022 Leonesa - Ceuta 2:0
    Latest results of Leonesa
    18.10.2025 Zaragoza - Leonesa 0:5
    13.10.2025 Córdoba - Leonesa 1:0
    28.09.2025 Valladolid - Leonesa 0:1
    20.09.2025 Leonesa - Castellón 1:3
    Latest results of Ceuta
    18.10.2025 Ceuta - Mirandés 2:0
    12.10.2025 Albacete Balompié - Ceuta 0:0
    03.10.2025 Ceuta - Eibar 1:0
    28.09.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:0
    21.09.2025 Ceuta - Zaragoza 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander19114442:271537
    2Las Palmas1997323:111234
    3Dep. La Coruna1995532:211132
    4Almeria1995535:26932
    5Castellon1994630:24631
    6Cadiz CF1986520:19130
    7Gijon1993723:23030
    8Burgos CF1985624:18629
    9Ceuta1985622:23-129
    10Malaga1975726:24226
    11Cordoba1968523:23026
    12Valladolid1966720:19124
    13Andorra1966721:26-524
    14Albacete1965825:31-623
    15Huesca1965818:24-623
    16Cultural Leonesa19721020:28-823
    17Real Sociedad B19631027:29-221
    18Eibar1956821:24-321
    19Granada CF1949621:24-321
    20Leganes1948717:20-320
    21Zaragoza19451016:30-1417
    22Mirandes19441119:31-1216

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