Ceuta vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
3:1
26/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 10, Arena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.670.50
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
106
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
58
Passes
80% (309/386)78% (301/384)
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.670.50
xG on target (xGOT)
3.830.95
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
1310
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2724
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1515
Passes
80% (309/386)78% (301/384)
Long passes
37% (15/41)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
74% (87/118)66% (67/102)
Crosses
43% (9/21)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.770.38
Throw ins
1324
Fouls
1515
Tackles
59% (13/22)57% (4/7)
Duels won
5035
Clearances
2617
Interceptions
1810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
57
xGOT faced
0.953.83
Goals prevented
-0.050.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 27', Calero I. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Tresaco R. ⚽,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ⚽, Youness (A),
  • 42', 2 - 1, Campana J. ⚽, Zalazar K. (A),
  • 45', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Zalazar K. 🟨,
  • 55', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
  • 62', Collado D. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
  • 62', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
  • 65', Kone K. ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
  • 66', Hernandez C. 🟨,
  • 69', Calero I. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
  • 69', Tresaco R. ↓, Moreno V. ↑,
  • 70', Zalazar K. ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
  • 71', Campana J. ↓, Illesca M. ↑,
  • 77', Ribeiro L. 🟥,
  • 82', Fernandez Sanchez M. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
  • 83', Ahmed A. ↓, Domenech M. ↑,
  • 83', Ojeda T. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
  • 88', Illesca M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Bodiger Y. ⚽, Sanchez S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ceuta
43.6%		Draw
28.9%		Leonesa
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 27.7% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.8% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
    •

    Ceuta - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.16 ↑
    (1.98)    		 3.24 ↓
    (3.42)    		 3.42 ↓
    (3.85)    		 6.5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ceuta - Leonesa?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Leonesa will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 46.4% – 99%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Leonesa (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Ceuta (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Ceuta (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Ceuta (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Ceuta (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Ceuta (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Ceuta (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ceuta will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Leonesa (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 18).
    • In recent matches, Ceuta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Leonesa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Ceuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ceuta is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Jamelli (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceuta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Leonesa were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Leonesa - Ceuta 0:1
    31.05.2025 Ceuta - Leonesa 4:3
    28.05.2025 Leonesa - Ceuta 2:2
    22.01.2023 Ceuta - Leonesa 2:1
    04.09.2022 Leonesa - Ceuta 2:0
    Latest results of Ceuta
    17.01.2026 Ceuta - Valladolid 0:3 ✺
    11.01.2026 Málaga - Ceuta 2:1 ✺
    04.01.2026 Ceuta - FC Andorra 2:1 ✺
    21.12.2025 Real Sociedad B - Ceuta 1:3 ✺
    14.12.2025 Ceuta - Las Palmas 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Leonesa
    17.01.2026 Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón 2:4 ✺
    13.01.2026 Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao 3:4 ✺
    10.01.2026 FC Andorra - Leonesa 1:1 ✺
    03.01.2026 Leonesa - Real Sociedad B 1:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Las Palmas - Leonesa 4:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

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